25 April 2024

What's this? A Closely-Watched Measure of Underlying Anflation Advanced at A Greater-Than-Expected 3.7%

OOPS, Stagflationary Numbers Out of US! 

US economy expands at 1.6% rate in Q1, trailing all forecasts. 
  • Main growth engine – personal spending – rose at a slower-than-forecast 2.5% pace. 

BUT a closely watc
hed measure of underlying inflation advanced at a greater-than-expected 3.7% clip.


POST SCRIPT: 


Bonds rally as Fed’s preferred #inflation metric not as bad as feared. PCE deflator rose to 2.7% in March from 2.5% in Feb vs 2.6% expected. Core PCE, the Fed's preferred measure of underlying price pressures, remained at 2.8%, compared w/an anticipated fall to 2.7%. First full…
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Slower than expected GDP and higher-than-expected Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Prices triggered initial negative reaction in stocks.
  • Core PCE prices up to 3.7% quarter over quarter from 2% in Q4 2023, above 3% expected.
  • VIX up ~5%
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