06 December 2023

Exclusive: Boeing eliminated from US Air Force's 'Doomsday Plane' competition | Reuters

Two sources familiar with the situation said Boeing - the incumbent manufacturer of the E-4B - and the Air Force were unable to come to an agreement on data rights and contract terms, with the U.S. plane maker refusing to sign onto any fixed-price agreement that locks it into paying costs above an agreed limit.

Exclusive: Boeing eliminated from US Air Force's 'Doomsday Plane'  competition | Reuters

Boeing's defense unit has lost $1.3 billion this year on fixed-price development programs that include NASA's Starliner and the next Air Force One. It has lost $16.3 billion on fixed-price programs since 2014, according to a Reuters review of Boeing's regulatory filings.

Boeing leaders have sought to prove to investors that the company is seeking more advantageous contract terms in future deals with the Pentagon.

"Rest assured, we haven't signed any fixed-price development contracts nor (do we) intend to," Brian West, Boeing's chief financial officer, said in October.

The Air Force plans to spend $889 million in fiscal 2024 to continue SOAC development and $8.3 billion on the program through fiscal 2028, according to budget documents.
While typically used to transport the U.S. secretary of defense, the E-4B is designed as a mobile command post capable of withstanding nuclear blasts and electromagnetic effects, allowing U.S. leaders to deliver orders to the military in the event of a national emergency.
The Air Force currently operates four E-4B aircraft with at least one on alert at all times. The fleet of highly-modified Boeing 747-200 jumbo jets date from the 1970s, and have become increasingly difficult and expensive to maintain as parts become obsolete.
The E-4B is expected to reach the end of its service life in the early 2030s.
Boeing eliminated from Air Force 'doomsday plane' competition (NYSE:BA) |  Seeking Alpha

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Boeing Bows Out Of Competition For The New E-4B 'Nightwatch' Doomsday Plane
Boeing eliminated from Air Force's 'Doomsday Plane' competition
Boeing Exits Air Force's 'Doomsday Plane' Competition (Updated)

UPDATE: From a Boeing spokesperson to The War Zone confirming the company is no longer competing for the SAOC contract:

“We are approaching all new contract opportunities with added discipline to ensure we can meet our commitments and support the long-term health of our business. We remain confident our SAOC approach is the most comprehensive, technically mature and lowest-risk solution for the customer and Boeing. Our proposal is based on 60 years of military commercial derivative aircraft knowledge and experience including the design, development, and sustainment of the E-4B Nightwatch, which currently serves the national security command and control mission.”


Boeing Exits Air Force’s ‘Doomsday Plane’ Competition (Updated)

The ejection of Boeing from the Survivable Airborne Operations Center competition would leave Sierra Nevada Corporation poised for success.

BYTHOMAS NEWDICK|
Boeing Exits Air Force’s ‘Doomsday Plane’ Competition (Updated)

In a surprising development in the program, Boeing has reportedly been dropped from the competition to build a successor to the U.S. Air Force’s E-4B Nightwatch ‘Doomsday Plane.’ 
If true, the latest move would appear to leave the door wide open for Sierra Nevada Corporation (SNC) to provide the Survivable Airborne Operations Center (SAOC) that will supersede the E-4B, which is based on a Boeing 747-200 airframe. 
However, the new aircraft platform will almost certainly still be a Boeing product.
  • According to a recent report from Reuters, Boeing told the news agency that the Air Force has “eliminated” it from the SAOC competition. 
  • Valued at over $8 billion over the next five years, a contract award for SAOC is expected in early 2024.
Personnel at Offutt Air Force Base, Nebraska, move an E-4B Nightwatch command and control aircraft out of a hangar.&nbsp;<em>U.S. Air Force</em>
Personnel at Offutt Air Force Base, Nebraska, move an E-4B Nightwatch command and control aircraft out of a hangar. U.S. Air Force

This would appear to leave the privately owned SNC as the only company still in contention for SAOC. The Air Force would not confirm or deny to Reuters whether or not any other firms were now involved.

“We cannot discuss an active source selection and detailed program information is classified,” an Air Force spokesperson told the news agency.

Two unnamed sources meanwhile confirmed to Reuters the apparent reason why Boeing — the original manufacturer of the E-4B, and the 747 airliner on which it’s based — was out of the running. 
  • Namely, Boeing and the Air Force “were unable to come to an agreement on data rights and contract terms, with the U.S. plane-maker refusing to sign onto any fixed-price agreement that locks it into paying costs above an agreed limit.”
A KC-46A tanker and an E-4B flying above Southern California during an aerial refueling trial.&nbsp;<em>U.S. Air Force</em>
A KC-46A tanker and an E-4B flying above Southern California during an aerial refueling trial. U.S. Air Force
In a statement provided to the news agency, Boeing said: “We are approaching all new contract opportunities with added discipline to ensure we can meet our commitments and support the long-term health of our business.”
  • In a comment seemingly at odds with it being “eliminated” from the SAOC competition, the company added: “We remain confident our SAOC approach is the most comprehensive, technically mature, and lowest-risk solution for the customer and Boeing.”

If Boeing is really out of the competition, it seems likely that the company’s relatively terrible experience with previous fixed-price agreements was a critical factor in the decision.

This year alone, Boeing’s defense unit has reportedly lost $1.3 billion on fixed-price development efforts, including the high-profile VC-25B Presidential Airlift Replacement program, which you can read more about here. Other programs include the T-7 trainer, KC-46 tanker, MQ-25 carrier-based tanker drone, and MH-139 support helicopter, all of which have cratered profitability. Stretching back to 2014, the company has lost $16.3 billion on fixed-price programs.

An artist’s concept of the Air Force’s future VC-25B presidential aircraft. <em>U.S. Air Force</em>
An artist’s concept of the Air Force’s future VC-25B presidential aircraft. U.S. Air Force USAF

In October this year, in an apparent effort to reassure its investors, Boeing’s chief financial officer, Brian West, confirmed that the company had not signed any more fixed-price development contracts, nor would it in the future.

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