Saturday, February 22, 2025

Bloomberg Out of The Boxes

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Steve Cohen ‘Negative’ on US Economy, Citing Tariffs and DOGE

James E. Thorne on X: "Wall St legend Cohen waking up to the fact that  growth is going to slow. My thesis, now becoming consensus. Yes a growth  scare. Wall St is 

Steve Cohen says tariffs and DOGE’s cuts are negative for economy, market correction could be soon



Key Points
  • The chairman and CEO of hedge fund Point72 said he turned bearish for the first time in a while after President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policy made him worry about inflationary pressures and lower consumer spending.
  • “Tariffs cannot be positive, okay? I mean, it’s a tax,” Cohen said Friday at the FII Priority Summit in Miami Beach, Florida.
Steve Cohen, chairman and CEO Point72 speaking to CNBC on April 3rd, 2024.Steve Cohen, chairman and CEO of Point72, speaking to CNBC on April 3, 2024.CNBC
 
Billionaire investor Steve Cohen doubled down on his negative view of the U.S. economy due to a backdrop of punitive tariffs, immigration crackdown and federal spending cuts spearheaded by the so-called Department of Government Efficiency.The chairman and CEO of hedge fund Point72 said he turned bearish for the first time in a while after President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policy made him worry about inflationary pressures and lower consumer spending. Meanwhile, his tough stance on immigration could mean a constrained supply of labor, he said.

“Tariffs cannot be positive, okay? I mean, it’s a tax,” Cohen said Friday at the FII Priority Summit in Miami Beach, Florida. “On top of that, we have slowing immigration, which means the labor force will not grow as rapidly as … the last five years and so.”

The prominent hedge fund investor took a stab at DOGE’s cost-cutting moves led by Elon Musk, saying they could only hurt the economy more. Musk has said his goal is to cut federal spending by $2 trillion.

  • “When that money has been coursing through the economy over many years, and now, potentially it will be reduced or stopped in many ways, has got to be negative for the economy,” Cohen said.
Cohen believes a pullback in the stock market could be likely given the uncertain macroeconomic environment. 
  • He sees the U.S. economy’s growth slowing down to 1.5% from 2.5% in the second half of the year. 
“I think we’re seeing the regime shift a little bit. It may only last a year or so, but it’s definitely a period where I think the best gains have been had and wouldn’t surprise me to see a significant correction,” Cohen said. “I don’t think it’s going to be a disaster.

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