Tuesday, December 09, 2025

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10:22 PM
Tuesday December 9, 2025
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Federal Reserve kicks off meeting ahead of expected rate cut

Dec 9, 2025, 2:56am MST
The Federal Reserve
Aaron Schwartz/Reuters

The Federal Reserve, widely expected to lower interest rates Wednesday for the third time this year, kicks off its two-day meeting today.

Gathering policymakers must simultaneously grapple with
  1. growing internal divisions over the best path forward; the Trump administration’s ongoing search for the next Fed chair; 
  2. a looming Supreme Court ruling on the president’s ability to fire independent agency officials; and, of course, 
  3. President Donald Trump’s continued campaign for dramatically lower interest rates as he seeks to make life more affordable for Americans.
That campaign is sure to feature prominently in Trump’s remarks on inflation today at Pennsylvania’s Mount Airy Resort, despite mounting evidence that it may not be so straightforward: 
Treasury yields hit multi-month highs Monday in a key sign that bond traders remain worried about rising prices.
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Bond Traders Defy Fed and Spark Heated Debate on Wall Street

The bond market’s reaction to the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate cuts has been highly unusual. By some measures, a disconnect like this, with Treasury yields climbing as the central bank lowers rates, hasn’t been seen since the 1990s.

What the divergence indicates is a matter of heated debate. Opinions are all over the place, from the bullish (a sign of confidence that recession will be averted) to the more neutral (a return to pre-2008 market norms) to the favorite culprit of the so-called bond vigilantes (investors are losing confidence the US will ever rein in the constantly swelling national debt).

https://thetradable.com/uploads/MXoJJFImRgNloEyjJmGeo5Iys0QJUArOtUN7Pp7K.jpg
 
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Mike Lee and Burgess Everett
Kris Tripplaar/Semafor
Sen. Mike Lee, R-Utah, thinks Netflix’s deal to buy Warner Bros. Discovery will likely get derailed by federal antitrust cops, he told Burgess Everett.
“I have grave doubts about the ability of that deal” to survive a federal antitrust review, Lee said, calling it “a lot of market consolidation.”
“I will not be surprised if this gets thwarted,” he added. 
  • Lee, a member of the Senate Judiciary Committee, also said there would be hearings on the proposed deal.
Meanwhile, Paramount is ramping up its lobbying after launching its hostile takeover offer. Paramount CEO David Ellison spent Tuesday meeting with major shareholders in Warner Bros. Discovery, seeking to convince them to turn their shares over to him, Semafor’s Rohan Goswami scooped
  • Three people he met with said investors walked away reassured by what they saw from Ellison and his top team.
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Kevin Stitt
Kris Tripplaar/Semafor
Oklahoma’s Republican governor, Kevin Stitt, criticized the Trump administration for its handling of wind energy projects during a Semafor event focused on permitting reform.

“It’s very disappointing,” Stitt told Semafor’s Ben Smith when asked about the administration’s efforts to kill wind projects, like a nearly-finished project in Rhode Island and Connecticut.

“That just looks like politics when you’re canceling those.”

Stitt said he has raised the issue in conversations with Energy Secretary Chris Wright. “We’ve got to be agnostic on these issues,” he continued.

His comments came soon after a federal judge struck down President Donald Trump’s order halting wind projects on federal lands and waters. 
Sens. Mike Lee, R-Utah, and Martin Heinrich, D-N.M., also expressed cautious optimism about the prospect of a permitting deal in Congress next year, during separate interviews with Semafor’s Burgess Everett.
> Lee, who leads the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, described himself as “guardedly optimistic” about the prospect of a breakthrough. 
> He cited conversations he is having with Heinrich and others across the aisle and said that he has talked to Senate leadership.
Permitting reform could “absolutely” be on the Senate floor next year, Lee said.

Still, there’s reason to be skeptical, after a bipartisan deal passed out of the Senate last year only to be blocked by the House.

Lee said members “ran out of game clock” last time and that he believes there is more urgency now, citing the growing power demands of data centers amid the artificial intelligence race.

Heinrich, the top Democrat on the committee, said he is “optimistic that this is a space where we’re more aligned than maybe some of the other spaces.” He added that he’s more worried about the Trump administration’s action stopping projects than about Congress’ lack of agreement on the issue of permitting reform.

Exclusive / AI regulation delays plague Congress

Burgess Everett
Congressional Bureau Chief
Updated Dec 9, 2025, 2:52am MST
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Steve Daines
Annabelle Gordon/Reuters

We Have To Do Something GIFs - Find & Share on GIPHY 

President Donald Trump’s tease of his executive order aimed at banning state artificial intelligence regulations is a clear message to Congress: If it won’t make policy, then he will.

“We’ve got senators for sure who have very thoughtful views on both sides of the issue. I’d rather see Congress sort this out,” Sen. Steve Daines, R-Mont., told Semafor.

The AI moratorium divides the GOP — that’s why Trump didn’t get it in the defense policy bill — but Trump’s unilateral move could prompt action. 

“We shouldn’t be doing a moratorium. We should be doing something, though,” said Sen. Josh Hawley, R-Mo.

In fact, the whole imbroglio can be traced back to congressional inaction.

“The reason why the states want to do it is because Congress is slow in getting something done for the country,” said Sen. Mike Rounds, R-S.D. 
“We should do it at the congressional level.”

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