03 August 2023

Stock Market Futures: 03 August 2023

What’s driving markets

Investors reacted negatively to a news that private-sector payrolls grew strongly in July, which was seen as denting the possibility that the U.S. Federal Reserve has made its final interest-rate hike of the cycle. Friday will see the U.S. Labor Department release the official nonfarm payrolls report.
There also was the decision by Fitch Ratings to downgrade the U.S. credit rating, even though the move was criticized by observers including former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers and JPMorgan Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon.
  • Perhaps most curious was chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices AMD, -7.02%, as its stock ended sharply lower despite an initially positive reaction to its earnings. Tech companies this reporting season have struggled to see positive share-price reaction to their results, which raises the bar for Apple AAPL, -1.55% and Amazon.com AMZN, -2.64%, which each report results after the close.
According to Evercore ISI, the average stock price reaction for the 368 S&P 500 companies so far that have reported results is -0.7%.
“Although the slide is far from suggesting a major trend reversal, if incoming U.S. data, and especially the U.S. jobs report on Friday, forces market participants to raise their implied Fed rate path, the correction may continue for a while longer,” said Charalampos Pissouros, senior investment analyst at XM.
“That said, apart from changes in the macroeconomic and monetary policy outlooks, equity traders will probably pay special attention to earnings results by Amazon and Apple, which are scheduled to be released after the closing bell today.”
Thursday will see data on jobless claims, second-quarter productivity and the Institute for Supply Management services index.
Stocks plunge as credit downgrade rattles Wall Street: Stock market news  today
Uploaded: Aug 2, 2023
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen called Fitch's credit downgrade "entirely unwarranted." American Action Forum President Douglas Holtz-Eakin, who is also a former director of the Congressional ...
Yellen Calls Fitch Downgrade of US Credit Rating 'Flawed' - BNN Bloomberg

Fitch downgrade a 'somewhat minor' thing, and the dollar won't be overthrown: Intel CEO

In this article:
The downgrade of America's debt by ratings outfit Fitch this week hasn't set the stage for buying an Intel-powered computer with bags of wheat or gold instead of King Dollar.
  • At least that's the vibe from Intel's (INTC) chief at the C-suite leadership table.
"I'd say, overall, is anything going to displace the US dollar as the global currency for trade?" Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger exclusively told Yahoo Finance Live (video above). "And I just say, I don't see anything on the horizon for that."
"So at one level, I just sort of say, OK, it's a downgrade," added the globe-trotting Gelsinger. 


  • "Hey, there may be some implications for costs of debt. But I really see that as somewhat minor. I view it more as a statement to, hey, get our debt situation under control in the US."
Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger is shown speaking into a microphone at a Senate hearing.
Fitch has uncorked somewhat of a black swan event for investors who have enjoyed a sizzling summer rally.
Late Tuesday, the entity slashed its rating on US debt to AA+ from AAA. 
  • Fitch said it "expected fiscal deterioration over the next three years," as one reason for its downgrade. 
  • The other factors included a "growing debt burden" and the "erosion of governance."
Stocks promptly sold off on Wednesday, led lower by a 2% drop in the Nasdaq Composite. The S&P 500 suffered its first 1% down day since May, Yahoo Finance's Jared Blikre pointed out.
S&P 500 (^GSPC)
SNP - Delayed Quote (USD)
4,513.39
-63.34(-1.38%)
At close: 5:28PM EDT
Full screen
^GSPC^IXIC^DJI
Markets remain under pressure globally on Thursday as the downgrade continues to weigh on investor sentiment.
Interestingly, and to Gelsinger's point, the US dollar has gained strength in the wake of Fitch's move, now hovering around a four-week high.
Other top executives Yahoo Finance have talked to are using the downgrade moment to play up their financial strength to investors.
"It's incredibly important," Starbucks (SBUX) CFO Rachel Ruggeri told Yahoo Finance about the downgrade. "That's why we've been focused on continuing to operate within a three times leverage ratio. So that's the guide that we keep so that we can maintain our BBB+ rating. But also, it allows us to be able to support, I'd say, a more conservative stance in terms of our overall financial health."

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VIDEO INSERT 

Wall Street futures drop. Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of ... STOXX down more than 1% at one point and set for a third straight day of losses.
XM · XM · 1 hour ago
Wall Street finished lower on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite down for a second straight day as investors took profits on five months of ...
Reuters · David French · 11 hours ago
European equity futures were down while US contracts were steady after the worst day in three months for the S&P 500. The US benchmark slipped 1.4% Wednesday ...
Bloomberg.com · Richard Henderson · 5 hours ago
US contracts signaled further weakness after the worst session in three months for the S&P 500. The US benchmark slipped 1.4% Wednesday while the Nasdaq 100 ...
Yahoo Finance · John Viljoen and Sagarika Jaisinghani · 2 hours ago
That excitement appeared to abate as the Nasdaq 100 fell 2.2 percent and Qualcomm Inc. slid on a tepid revenue forecast in late Wednesday trading. The VIX index ...
CNBCTV18.com · CNBC-TV18 · 9 hours ago
Rate sensitive tech stocks suffered a blow on Wednesday after Treasury yields soared in the wake of Fitch's downgrade of US sovereign debt. A tech-fueled rally ...
Yahoo Finance · Ryan Vlastelica · 1 hour ago

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Market Snapshot

U.S. stock futures point to third straight drop on Wall Street

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LIVE UPDATES

Stock Market Today: Futures Fall; Treasury Yields rise

Apple and Amazon will post earnings after markets shut

Last Updated: 

Aug. 3, 2023 at 6:39 AM EDT

Stocks were poised for renewed losses, while bonds came under further pressure, as an increase in borrowing by the U.S. and lackluster earnings threaten this year’s surge in share prices.
  • Rising bond yields, spurred in part by America’s credit downgrade, have weighed on stocks, adding to pressure from the decline in corporate profits
  • The selling has spread overseas, contributing to losses for stocks in Europe and Asia on Thursday.
> Stocks face a fresh test after the close, when tech giants Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) are due to report quarterly results. 
> Before the bell, the Bank of England is expected to nudge up interest rates at 7 a.m. ET; Kellogg (K) is due to file earnings; and jobless claims data are on tap at 8:30 a.m.

IN RECENT TRADING

Futures for the S&P 500 slipped, a day after the benchmark index posted its biggest loss since April. Contracts for the Nasdaq-100 and the Dow industrials also traded lower.

Government-bond prices fell. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes rose above 4.1%, after settling Wednesday at 4.077%, their highest end-of-day level since November.

Overseas stocks retreated. The Stoxx Europe 600 dropped, as stocks including semiconductor-maker Infineon Technologies, airline Deutsche Lufthansa and London Stock Exchange Group dropped on quarterly results. 

Asian markets were broadly lower, but mainland Chinese stocks rose after survey data showed a pickup in services activity.

Oil prices slipped. Brent-crude futures, the benchmark, edged lower.

—By Joe Wallace 


Read Next

S&P 500 books biggest drop since April after U.S. loses AAA ratings for a second time

Steven Goldstein is based in London and responsible for MarketWatch's coverage of financial markets in Europe, with a particular focus on global macro and commodities. Previously, he was Washington bureau chief, directing MarketWatch's economic, political and regulatory coverage. Follow Steve on Twitter: @MKTWgoldstein.

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2 hours ago — Futures tied to the S&P 500 fell 0.3%, while Nasdaq 100 futures also dropped 0.4%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dipped 95 points, or 0.3%. Shares of ...
3 hours ago — The US benchmark slipped 1.4% Wednesday while the Nasdaq 100 slid 2.2%, sending the VIX index, known as Wall Street's “fear gauge” to the highest since May.
11 hours ago — Wall Street finished lower on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite down for a second straight day as investors took profits on five months of ...
13 hours ago — The S&P 500 sank 1.4% for its sharpest tumble since April. It was the second straight loss for the index after it hit a 16-month high last week. The Dow Jones ...

2 hours ago  European stocks fell 1% as they headed for their steepest three-day retreat since March. US contracts signaled further weakness after the worst session in three ...

Debt Downgrade Hits Stocks

Closing Market Update

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite tumbled to three-week lows after Fitch Ratings cut its rating for U.S. Treasuries.

Published as of: August 2, 2023, 4:40 p.m. ET

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(Wednesday market close) Fitch Ratings' unexpected downgrade of the United States' credit rating upstaged the busiest week of quarterly earnings season so far, sending investors fleeing from riskier assets Wednesday. The S&P 500® Index (SPX) and tech-focused Nasdaq Composite (COMP) were both at three-week lows.

Fitch Ratings said late Tuesday it had lowered its rating for Treasuries to AA+ from AAA, citing an "expected fiscal deterioration over the next three years, a high and growing general government debt burden . . . (and) repeated debt limit standoffs and last-minute resolutions," according to a statement. Read our full take on the downgrade here.

Fitch's downgrade prompted a retreat from higher-risk assets like equities and possibly offered an opportunity to take profits in what's still a bull market for U.S. stocks, says Kevin Gordon, senior investment strategist at the Schwab Center for Financial Research.

"As the day progressed, the equity selloff turned more into a pure 'risk-off' trade that weighed on the tech sector in particular," Kevin says, noting that market sectors considered to be lower-risk, such as consumer staples, held up better.

A larger-than-expected quarterly Treasury auction announced Wednesday added to the pressure on stocks, he adds, noting that the benchmark 10-year note yield is now at its highest level since November.

Here is where the major benchmarks ended:

  • The S&P 500 Index was down 63.34 points (1.4%) at 4,513.39; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fell 348.16 points (1.0%) to 35,282.52; the Nasdaq Composite dropped 310.47 points (2.2%) at 13,973.45.
  • The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rose about 3 basis points to 4.073%.
  • Cboe's Volatility Index (VIX) was up 2.2 at 16.13.

Consumer discretionary and energy shares were also weaker, with the latter pressured by a more-than 2% drop in crude oil futures. The U.S. dollar index (DXY) strengthened for a fifth straight day and touched a four-week high, as investors shed riskier assets in favor of what are considered safe havens. Volatility based on the VIX hit its highest level since late May.

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