". . .Republican disdain for Johnson—who spent years in Congress cultivating a reputation as a staunch conservative and amiable colleague—has been gathering in the GOP conference ever since he was thrust into the speakership nearly six months ago.
A defiant Johnson dubbed himself a “wartime speaker” battling his party’s competing factions and a paper-thin majority. Johnson told reporters Tuesday morning, he’s not going anywhere, invoking yet another GOP speaker, Newt Gingrich (R-GA). “Former Speaker Newt Gingrich posted a couple days ago on his social media that this is the hardest challenge that’s faced a speaker—probably in the history of the country—at the moment,”Johnson said.
In Johnson’s telling, Gingrich said the challenges facing the speaker are “maybe comparable to the Civil War—but maybe worse—a single-vote margin, and a difficult time when the nation is terribly divided.”
Adding to the complexity is Ukraine, which has become a true flashpoint in the GOP. For months, Republicans have tried to use their party’s apathy toward supporting a U.S. ally from Russian attack as leverage to pursue conservative border security policies.
So far, that approach has failed— . . .It’s true that if Johnson wants to keep his job, he will almost certainly need Democrats to back him. . . If Johnson works with them, Rep. Don Beyer (R-VA) speculated that Johnson would bleed more support within his conference, making a motion to vacate even more certain.
“Now I don’t know how our support for him affects his support within his own caucus,”Beyer told The Daily Beast.
“If 20 of us vote not to vacate him, does that mean another 20 Republicans vote to vacate?”Beyer asked.“I don't know.”
That sort of calculation has always been part of the math for GOP speakers.
Aides to Boehner, McCarthy, and former Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI) always told reporters that, once you rely on Democrats to keep you in the speakership, your speakership is functionally over.
Indeed, according to Malliotakis, such collaboration with the Democrats would be a grave—perhaps lethal—strike against the speaker. “I guess he could do that,”she said.“I don’t see how that builds trust within the conference.”
House speaker Mike Johnson is attempting a high-wire act this week - one that could blow up in his face, cost him the job he has clung to for six months, and throw the lower chamber into chaos.
The ultra-conservative Republican is supporting a vote on Ukraine aid despite many of his party’s conservative wing being strongly against it. A conservative rebellion is growing, with a challenge to his leadership from firebrand congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene who was joined on Tuesday by a second lawmaker. Now, he’s come up with a complicated plan to pass foreign aid by breaking up the supplemental national security funding package already passed by the Senate. Johnson will attempt to pass five bills - three dealing with military and security assistance for Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan individually. A fourth bill would deal with the divestiture or sale of Chinese-owned social media app TikTok, and freeze Russian assets in the US. A fifth bill focuses on border security and includes some of the core components of a hardline immigration bill passed by the House in 2023. For much of his speakership, Johnson has been between a rock and a hard place. He remains barely in control of one of the slimmest majorities and most ungovernable caucuses in memory, constantly battling protests and revolts from his party’s right flank, often in the face of a unified Democratic minority. His greatest asset in the immediate future may be the weariness and fatigue that has settled over the House after months of rightwing antics.
Donald Trump and Mike Johnson appear together at Mar-a-Lago on 12 April (AP)
At a closed-door GOP conference meeting on Tuesday, Mr Johnson was confronted by Rep. Thomas Massie, from Kentucky. Mr Massie told the room that the speaker should resign, or be ousted from his seat Both Ms Greene and Mr Massie are opposed to further military assistance to Ukraine. With Mr Massie’s statement and joining Rep. Greene’s motion to vacate, the credibility of the threat suddenly grew. The addition of Mr Massie to her cause echoed the rebellion that fomented against House speaker Kevin McCarthy last fall, when he was ousted after less than a year on the job.
But Mr Johnson projected confidence on Tuesday.
“I am not concerned about this, I am going to do my job, and I think that’s what the American people expect of us,”Mr Johnson said of Ms Greene’s proposed ouster.
“It is, in my view, an absurd notion that someone would bring a vacate motion when we are simply here trying to do our jobs.”
Former president Donald Trump, responsible for some of the dysfunction within the GOP, attempted to mend fences last week. Last Friday, he met with Mr Johnson at Mar-a-Lago and praised him as “doing a very good job.” “And I’m sure that Marjorie understands that, she’s a very good friend of mine. And I know she has a lot of respect for the speaker,”he said, referring to Ms Greene.
There are signs that more resistance will build over Johnson’s bills before the weekend. Rep. Chip Roy, member of the House Freedom Caucus, said that he would vote against the passage of a rule necessary to bring the five pieces of legislation to the floor but acknowledged that the speaker would find Democratic support for his gambit.
“The Republican Speaker of the House is seeking a rule to pass almost $100 billion in foreign aid - while unquestionably, dangerous criminals, terrorists, & fentanyl pour across our border. The border “vote” in this package is a watered-down dangerous cover vote. I will oppose,”he tweeted.
But like everything else in Congress, Mr Johnson’s future is down to a numbers game. But there’s plenty of reasons to believe that an ouster bid by the far-right will not succeed.
In fact, it could be Democrats that come to his rescue. Mr Johnson’s plan to pass the separate foreign aid measures will rely on Democratic support.
Democrat Brad Sherman, a senior member from California, told The Independentthat he and others in his party would not “allow” a far right contingent of Republicans to oust their own speaker if Mr Johnson did “the right thing” and brought Ukraine aid up for a vote in the near future.
Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) speaks to reporters in Statuary Hall at the U.S. Capitol Building on April 10, 2024 in Washington, DC (Getty Images)
Others made similar comments throughout the day.“There is no way I’m going to let Marjorie Taylor Greene, who wants to secede from the Union, take over the House,” Rep Jared Moskowitz, a Florida Democrat, told CNN.“There is no way I’m going to side with these people, stand by while they let the world burn.” . .
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