22 May 2024

China Sells Record Sum of US Debt Amid Signs of Diversification

 


China sold a record $53.3 billion worth of Treasuries and agency bonds in the first-quarter, Bloomberg reported.
It previously unloaded US debt to prop up its yuan, which has again grown weak against a rallying dollar.
The country is piling into gold, which now makes up the highest share of its reserves since 2015.



China unloaded a record volume of US bonds in the first quarter, escalating the country's pivot from dollar-denominated assets.
According to US Treasury data cited by Bloomberg, Beijing sold $53.3 billion worth of US Treasury and agency bonds from its stockpile. 

CHART OF THE DAY: China may be the source of surging US bond yields as Beijing dumps Treasurys

US Treasurys owned by China
US Treasuries owned by China Apollo Academy
That's above already eye-catching volumes China was offloading last year. Altogether, one estimate has calculated that the country has sold $300 billion of US Treasurys between 2021 and mid-2023. China's selling grew to the point that markets worried about higher yields.
But now, China seems to be accelerating its step back, as trade relations seem unlikely to improve between Beijing and the US. 
By last year, China was already discarding US debt to prop up its yuan, given considerable declines against the dollar. This could again be the case, as the greenback has rallied heavily on hawkish US monetary policy. 
In fact, the US Dollar Index has reached as high as 4.9% year-to-date, while the yuan has only trailed lower. This has made imports into the country expensive and could be a trend that only gets worse: that's if rising US protectionism continues to prop up the greenback.
Most recently, that's as the Biden Administration has announced tariffs on a slew of advanced Chinese products, targeting everything from electric vehicles to batteries. Even if former President Donald Trump wins back the White House come November, he has promised to apply tariffs as high as 60% on Chinese imports. 
To diversify from the dollar, Beijing is also diving harder into purchasing gold. Now, the metal makes up a 4.9% of Chinese reserves, the highest since at least 2015, Bloomberg said. It's a trend followed by other central banks as well, who have been snapping up bullion at record speeds.
But dollar strength isn't the only thing motivating these trends. China is also de-dollarizing its reserves as part of a broader movement to diversify global finance, and chip at dollar dominance. 
Fear of US sanctions first triggered this pattern among central banks, after witnessing how the West applied dollar restrictions on Russia in 2022.
China's US bond shifts put dollar under geopolitical spotlight | Reuters

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China's US bond shifts put dollar under geopolitical spotlight

U.S. 100-dollar banknotes, Chinese 100-yuan banknotes, and a Japanese 1000-yen banknote, are seen in a picture illustration in Beijing
U.S. 100-dollar banknotes, Chinese 100-yuan banknotes, and a Japanese 1000-yen banknote, are seen in a picture illustration in Beijing, China, January 21, 2016. REUTERS/Jason Lee/FILE PHOTO , opens new tab
ORLANDO, Florida, May 22 (Reuters) - As the trade war between the United States and China escalates, China is shrinking its holdings of U.S. bonds.
The latest official U.S. capital flows data show that China's stash of U.S. Treasuries and agency bonds in the first quarter of this year fell by just under $40 billion and $10 billion, respectively, on a valuation-adjusted basis.
China is the world's largest holder of foreign exchange reserves with a stash of $3.2 trillion at the last count in April. 
The currency breakdown is not publicly known, but experts reckon no more than 60% of that is in dollars.
China may have the largest pile of FX reserves in the world but the biggest foreign holder of U.S. Treasuries is Japan, with almost $1.1 trillion. Flows data show that Japan's holdings of U.S. Treasuries rose by $51.4 billion in the first quarter. . .
If Japan exhausts intervention slush fund, Treasuries may wobble | Reuters
China's US bond shifts put dollar under geopolitical spotlight | Reuters

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