18 November 2024

THE RUSSO-UKRAINE WAR BRIEF For: 2024-11-18 | Grumpy from Grumpy’s Substack

 

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Slava Ukraini! In early 2022 I began a Telegram channel aggregating news from a number of sources daily on the war in Ukraine. In June 2023 I began providing a daily draft for the Ukraine War Brief Podcast collecting news from over 70 sources daily, much of which formed the basis of the script. While the Podcast no longer exists I have continued to make this Brief available for my followers here on Substack for those who wish to keep up with the news from the war. A version of this Brief will also be made available on The People’s Media Substack for those who should choose to subscribe there.

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ALONG THE CONTACT LINE 

GSAFU Morning Report

GSAFU Morning Report

The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in its Operational Information update at 22:00 on Nov 17 stated that day 998 of the full-scale invasion of the Russian Federation against Ukraine was about to begin.

During the past two days, 266 combat engagements took place. Over the past 48 hours, the enemy carried out 2 missile strike, 117 air strikes, 1,293 drone strikes and more than 7,100 artillery strikes across the positions of Ukrainian forces.

At the same time, Ukrainian soldiers continue to inflict losses in manpower and equipment on the occupying troops, exhausting the enemy along the entire front line and continue to disrupt the plans of Russian occupiers to advance deep into the territory of Ukraine.

-


Air Force Daily Report

On the night of November 17, 2024 (from 8:00 p.m. on November 16), the Russian occupiers launched a massive combined attack on the energy sector facilities of Ukraine with various types of air-, land-, and sea-based missiles, as well as "Shahed" type UAVs.

In general, according to preliminary data, the radio engineering troops of the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine detected and escorted 210 enemy air targets — 120 missiles and 90 UAVs.

By types:

  • - 1 hypersonic cruise missile 3M22 "Zirkon";

  • - 8 Kh-47M2 "Kinzhal" aeroballistic missiles;

  • - 101 Kh-101 Kalibr cruise missiles;

  • - 1 "Iskander-M" ballistic missile;

  • - 4 Kh-22/Kh-31P cruise/anti-radiation missiles;

  • - 5 Kh-59/Kh-69 guided air missiles;

  • - 90 strike UAVs/drones of an unspecified type.

The enemy involved 7 Tu-160 and 16 Tu-95MS strategic bombers, 2 Tu-22M3 long-range bombers, 5 Su-34 fighter-bombers, 4 Su-27 fighters, 10 MiG-31K fighters, 4 winged aircraft carriers to the air attack. rockets

During the night, all available forces and means of air defense worked along the tracking route of missiles and drones. Aviation, anti-aircraft missile units, electronic warfare equipment and mobile fire groups of the Air Force and the Defense Forces of Ukraine were involved.

According to preliminary data, as of 12:00 p.m. there is information about the downing of 144 aerial targets — 102 missiles and 42 UAVs):

  • - 1 hypersonic cruise missile 3M22 "Zirkon";

  • - 7 Kh-47M2 "Kinzhal" aeroballistic missiles;

  • - 85 Kh-101 Kalibr cruise missiles;

  • - 4 Kh-22/Kh-31P cruise/anti-radio missiles;

  • - 5 Kh-59/69 guided air missiles;

  • - 42 attack UAVs/drones of an unknown type (from Kursk, Orel, Primorsko-Akhtarsk regions - Russian Federation).

As a result of active countermeasures by the Defense Forces, 41 enemy UAVs were lost in location in different regions of Ukraine, two more UAVs flew towards Russia and the temporarily occupied territory.

Air defense worked in almost all regions of Ukraine — in Kyiv, Cherkasy, Kirovohrad, Chernihiv, Sumy, Kharkiv, Poltava, Odesa, Mykolaiv, Zaporizhia, Dnipropetrovsk, Zhytomyr, Vinnytsia, Khmelnytskyi, Ternopil, Ivano-Frankivsk, Rivne, Volyn and Lviv regions.

On the night of November 18, 2024 (from 7:30 p.m. on Nov 17), the enemy attacked Sumy Oblast with two Iskander-M ballistic missiles from the Voronezh Region. and guided air missile Kh-59 from the airspace of the Kursk region. - Russian Federation Also, from Kurshchyna, the enemy launched 11 attack UAVs of the "Shahed" type and unmanned aerial vehicles of an unknown type.

Eight attack drones were shot down by air defence in Poltava, Kharkiv, Cherkasy, Chernihiv and Kyiv regions. Three unmanned aerial vehicles - lost in location.


The Russian Border Incursion

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW), a US based think tank, in its Nov 17 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment reported that Russian forces continued offensive operations in the main Ukrainian salient in Kursk Oblast on Nov 16 and 17 but did not advance. The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed on Nov 17 that Russian forces successfully encircled Ukrainian forces near the Olgovka forest (east of Korenevo) and struck Ukrainian forces attempting to break out of the encirclement. A Russian milblogger claimed on Nov 16 that Russian forces recently advanced east of Korenevo near Kremyanoye; southeast of Korenevo near Darino and Novoivanovka; and south of Sudzha near Kurilovka and Plekhovo.  ISW has not observed confirmation of these claims. 

Elements of the Russian 1434th "Akhmat-Chechnya" Regiment (likely a mobilized regiment) are reportedly operating in the Kursk direction; elements of the Russian 83rd Airborne (VDV) Brigade are reportedly operating near the Snagost river dam (south of Korenevo); and elements of the Russian 106th VDV Division are reportedly operating near Darino (southeast of Korenevo). 

Ukrainian military observer Kostyantyn Mashovets stated on Nov17 that the Russian military redeployed elements of the 69th Separate Covering Brigade (35th Combined Arms Army [CAA], Eastern Military District [EMD]) from the Hulyaipole direction to Kursk Oblast at the end of September to beginning of October. ISW observed reports on Nov 16 that elements of the 69th Covering Brigade were operating in the south Donetsk (Kurakhove-Vuhledar) direction, and the brigade may be split between various sectors of the front.


The Khortytsia operational-strategic group

(Responsible for the northeastern part of Ukraine. )

The Khortytsia operational-strategic group is responsible for the northeastern part of Ukraine.   

Kharkiv Sector: Over the last day Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 10 Russian attacks in the area of Vysoka Yaruha, Starytsya and Vovchansk. 


Kupyansk Sector:  Russian Forces carried out 10 offensive actions against Ukrainian defensive positions near Kucherivka, Kolisynivka, Kruhlyakivka and Zahryzove. 1 engagement continues. 


Lyman Sector:  Russian Forces carried out 7 offensive actions against Ukrainian defensive positions near Tverdokhlibove, Cherneshchyna, Hrekivka and Terny.


Siversk Sector:  Russian forces carried out 1 offensive action near Verkhnokamyanske.


Kramatorsk Sector:  Russian forces carried out 1 unsuccessful offensive action against Ukrainian defences in the vicinity of Bila Hora.


Toretsk Sector:  Russian forces carried out 2 offensive actions with air support near Toretsk and Shcherbynivka. 


The Tavria operational-strategic group

(Responsible for the central-eastern and southeastern part of Ukraine.)

Pokrovsk Sector : Russian forces carried out 28 offensive actions in the vicinity of Myrolyubivka, Promin, Krutyi Yar, Lysivka, Petrivka, Hryhorivka and Yuriivka.


Kurakhove Sector:  The main thrust of Russian forces over the last day was in this district 35 offensive actions took place in the vicinity of Zorya, Voznesenka, Sontsivka, Berestky, Illinka, Maksymilyanivka, Dalnje and Antonivka. 15 engagements continue.


Vremivka Sector:  Russian forces made 4 attempts to break through Ukrainian defences in the vicinity of Rozdolne and Shahktarske. 3 engagements continue.


Orikhiv Sector:  In this sector, over the last day, Russian forces made 1 attempt to dislodge Ukrainian units from their positions near Novoandriivka.


The Odesa operational-strategic group

(Responsible for Kherson, Qırım, (also known as Crimea) and the Black Sea.)

Prydniprovsk Sector:  In this sector, over the last day, there has been no significant change in the combat environment. Russian forces made 4 unsuccessful attempts to dislodge Ukrainian units from their positions on the left bank of the Dnipro.


TEMPORARILY OCCUPIED TERRITORIES

Nothing major to report.


THE HOME FRONT

Russian missile attack on Ukraine's Odesa kills 10, injures 44, governor says

A Russian missile attack killed 10 people and wounded 44 in Ukraine's Black Sea port of Odesa on Monday, Reuters reports citing local governor Oleh Kiper and Ukraine’s national police.

Four children were among the wounded while three people were in serious condition, Kiper said on the Telegram messenger.

President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said on Telegram that a Russian ballistic missile had hit a residential neighbourhood, and that an apartment building, a university building and an administrative building had been damaged.

"These are not random strikes - these are show strikes. After calls and meetings with Putin, after all the false gossip in the media about supposedly ‘refraining’ from strikes. Russia is showing what it is really interested in: only war," he said.

National police said that seven police officers, a medic and two residents had been killed, and 14 police officers were among the wounded.

Russia unleashed its largest overnight missile attack on Ukraine in almost three months on Sunday, killing seven people and further hobbling an already damaged energy system.

Later on, a Russian missile hit a residential building in the Sumy region, killing 11 including two children and wounding 89.


Russia launches 'massive' attack on Ukraine energy, killing at least seven

In the early morning hours of 17 November, Russia launched one of the largest missile attacks on Ukraine since the beginning of the war. BBC reports

According to the Ukrainian authorities, the Russian army launched 120 missiles and 90 drones. Authorities say that seven civilians were killed in the Russian attack in the Dnipropetrovsk, Lviv, Odesa and Mykolaiv regions. Dozens more were injured.

Such a massive launch was last seen almost three months ago - on 26 August, right after Ukraine's Independence Day. Back then, Russia launched 127 missiles and 109 drones.

The targets of this attack were apparently Ukraine's largest thermal power plants and transformer substations in the west and centre of the country, as well as railway.

For the first time in a long time, Russian missiles reached the westernmost region of Zakarpattya and landed near the popular ski resort of Bukovel.

Local authorities said that the energy infrastructure was partially damaged by the debris. For some time, power supply was cut off in many regions.

However, after a couple of hours, electricity supply was restored in most areas. But in cities like Odesa and Kryvyi Rih, the situation is still difficult.

Ukrainian authorities warn that the Kremlin still has a stockpile of missiles and that similar attacks could be repeated later in the winter.

In Odesa region, the area's regional head, Oleh Kiper, said earlier in the morning that the water and energy supply was interrupted as a result of damage caused.

The water supply is being gradually restored, he said. The image below show people queuing up for water in the region.


Russian missile strike on Sumy kills 11, injures 89, Ukraine says

Two children were among 11 people killed when a Russian missile hit a residential building in Ukraine's northeastern city of Sumy, Ukrainian officials said, while another missile strike left the region's administrative centre without power.

Eighty-nine people, including 11 children, were also injured in the attack on the city late on Sunday, Reuters reported citing Ukraine's state emergency service via the Telegram messaging app.

The attack on Sumy followed a morning of Russia pounding Ukraine's power grid in what Kyiv said was a "massive" attack with 120 missiles and 90 drones that killed at least seven people.

"Sunday evening for the city of Sumy became hell, a tragedy that Russia brought to our land," Volodymyr Artyukh, the head of the Sumy military administration said in a post on the administration's Telegram messaging channel.

The military administration said another missile hit critical infrastructure, leaving the city without power.

Ukraine's air force said that Russian forces used two Iskander-M ballistic missiles and a Kh-59 guided missile in the overnight attack.

Rescuers and all necessary services continued to work at the scene and psychologists were providing assistance to those affected, the State Emergency Service of Ukraine said on Telegram.

More than 400 people were evacuated, the Service added.

Photographs posted on Telegram by State Emergency Service of Ukraine showed firefighters battling a blaze consuming cars and rescuers carrying people out of a building. One image showed a multi-storey building with nearly all windows blown out and its facade damaged.

Sumy regional prosecutors said the attack damaged 90 apartments, 28 cars, two educational institutions and 13 buildings.


RUSSIAN WORLD

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