Friday, January 31, 2025

Ukrainian soldiers leaving their units

The Guardian: Ukrainian military is exhausted and personnel shortage is getting worse

Friday, 31 January 2025, 10:03
 
The Guardian: Ukrainian military is exhausted and personnel shortage is  getting worse | Ukrainska Pravda

Background:

  • In January 2025, it became known that mass desertions had occurred in the ranks of the 155th Separate Mechanised Brigade in the autumn of 2024.
  • On 21 November 2024, the Verkhovna Rada (Ukrainian parliament) passed a law on voluntary return to service for the first unauthorised abandonment or desertion of a unit. 
  • Under the new law, soldiers who left their place of service without leave for the first time had to return by 1 January 2025 to avoid criminal liability.
  • On 9 January, the Verkhovna Rada supported the extension of the voluntary return to service for those soldiers who had left their units without leave until 1 March 2025.

 . . .The journalists who spoke to the servicemen noted that Ukrainians who took part in the combat actions, particularly in the south of Mykolaiv and Kherson oblasts, described chaotic fighting, a lack of artillery support and tensions with the command. Some of them decided to leave the service and "abandoned their units" after being wounded and unsuccessfully attempting to be transferred. 

Some are in hiding, waiting for changes or possible detention.. . 

AWOL: Why are Ukrainian soldiers leaving their units and how to get them  back?
Uploaded: Jan 30, 2025 

In the aftermath of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians rushed to military recruitment centres to defend their country. Almost three years of war later, the momentum has stalled. Our correspondent Gulliver Cragg reports.

Whilst hundreds of thousands rushed to join the Ukrainian armed forces when Russia invaded in 2022, today, the picture is not so rosy.

Mobilisation is faltering, with many men having found ways – both legal and illegal – to exempt themselves, and others avoiding detection easily enough. Voluntary recruitment initiatives have shown some success but only in certain well-run brigades, and not enough to provide the numbers needed overall.

Watch moreUkraine divided over controversial mobilisation bill

Moreover, desertion or, more frequently absence without leave or going AWOL (which under Ukrainian law covers any unauthorised departure that does not happen in the heat of battle and/or where the soldier intends to return to the ranks), has become widespread: 95,000 cases since 2022, most of them occurring last year.

The high casualty rate and tough conditions of the war are certainly one factor in discouraging Ukrainian men from fighting. But many Ukrainians are convinced that with better command, organisation and the offer of a chance to leave the armed forces after a certain period of time, there is still scope to recruit the tens of thousands that are still needed to turn the tide against Russia. 

Read more 'Dozens' of Ukraine soldiers deserted while training in France 

Why Ukraine Is Reluctant to Fill Ranks With Teenagers Despite US Pressure |  UNITED24 Media

Why Ukraine Is Reluctant to Fill Ranks With Teenagers Despite US Pressure | UNITED24 Media



152-mm Msta-B howitzer crews of airborne artillery units wipe out AFU  temporary deployment area on right bank of Dnepr River in Kherson region :  Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

152-mm Msta-B howitzer crews of airborne artillery units wipe out AFU temporary deployment area on right bank of Dnepr River in Kherson region :

Ukraine saw a 3.5-fold increase in defection cases in 2024 | Известия

Ukraine saw a 3.5-fold increase in defection cases in 2024 | Известия

US Probes DeepSeek Chips, Apple Brushes Off China Weakness | Bloomberg T...

COLLAPSE IN COST OF INNOVATION >> In Full: Cathie Wood Talks DeepSeek Market Lessons

First major chunk breaks off world's biggest iceberg

Icebergs are notoriously unpredictable and no-one knows what exactly it will do next.

Known as A23a, the world's biggest and oldest iceberg calved from the Antarctic shelf in 1986.
It remained stuck for over 30 years before finally breaking free in 2020, its lumbering journey north sometimes delayed by ocean forces that kept it spinning in place.
This monster block of freshwater was being whisked along by the world's most powerful ocean "jet stream" -- the Antarctic Circumpolar Current.

First major chunk breaks off world's biggest iceberg

Paris (AFP) – An enormous chunk has broken off the world's largest iceberg, in a possible first sign the behemoth from Antarctica could be crumbling, scientists told AFP on Friday.
The colossal iceberg -- which is more than twice the size of Greater London and weighs nearly one trillion tonnes -- had largely stayed intact since it started slowly moving north in 2020.
It has been drifting toward the remote island of South Georgia in the South Atlantic, raising the prospect it could run aground in shallower water and disrupt feeding for baby penguins and seals.
But a chunk about 19 kilometres (12 miles) long has cleaved off, said Andrew Meijers from the British Antarctic Survey, who encountered the iceberg in late 2023 and has tracked its fate via satellite ever since.
  • "This is definitely the first significant clear slice of the iceberg that's appeared," the physical oceanographer told AFP.
  • Soledad Tiranti, a glaciologist currently on an Argentinian exploration voyage in the Antarctic, also told AFP that a section had "broken" away.

The jagged piece has an area of roughly 80 square kilometres (31 square miles) -- huge in its own right, but just a fraction of the approximately 3360 square kilometres that remained.

Meijers said icebergs were full of deep fractures, and although this monumental specimen had shrunk over time and lost a much smaller piece, it had "held together pretty nicely".
  • "This is a sign that those rifts in it are starting to break up," he said.

In the past, other mega-icebergs had fallen apart "relatively quickly over the course of several weeks" once they started losing big pieces, he said.

It was hard to say if this was "a loose tooth just waiting to come out" or evidence of a much bigger change underway. . .

A graphic of a map showing Antarctica and South Georgia islands and the route of A23a over time.

World's biggest iceberg begins to break apart in shock sight

World's biggest iceberg begins to break apart in shock sight

BITCOIN Rally $106K+

Bitcoin rallies above $106K but 3 key actions must happen for new all-time  highs

Bitcoin rallies above $106K but 3 key actions must happen for new all-time highs


Bitcoin Magazine on X: "JUST IN: #Bitcoin reclaims $106,000 💥  https://t.co/hSyoWGqJ7T" / X

Bitcoin Magazine on X: "JUST IN: #Bitcoin reclaims $106,000 💥 https://t.co/hSyoWGqJ7T" / X

Trump Issues Ultimatum To BRICS Nations ---- 100% tariffs on any country who threatens the US dollar

 

Trump threatens 100% tariff on the BRIC bloc of nations if they act to undermine US dollar

Trump threatens 100% tariff on BRIC nations if they undermine US dollar |  AP News

WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (AP) — President-elect Donald Trump on Saturday threatened 100% tariffs against a bloc of nine nations if they act to undermine the U.S. dollar.

His threat was directed at countries in the so-called BRIC alliance, which consists of Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran and the United Arab Emirates.

Turkey, Azerbaijan and Malaysia have applied to become members and several other countries have expressed interest in joining.

While the U.S. dollar is by far the most-used currency in global business and has survived past challenges to its preeminence, members of the alliance and other developing nations say they are fed up with America’s dominance of the global financial system.

The dollar represents roughly 58% of the world’s foreign exchange reserves, according to the IMF and major commodities like oil are still primarily bought and sold using dollars. 
  • The dollar’s dominance is threatened, however, with BRICS’ growing share of GDP and the alliance’s intent to trade in non-dollar currencies — a process known as de-dollarization. . .
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Sticky Inflation...food and energy costs a different story

Inflation Word Animated GIF Logo Designs

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 2.6 percent in the 12 months to December, up from 2.4 percent in November, the Commerce Department said in a statement. Inflation rose 0.3 percent from a month earlier.
This was in line with the median forecasts from economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.
Stripping out volatile food and energy costs, the so-called core index rose by 0.2 percent from a month earlier, and by 2.8 percent from a year ago.

Fed's favored inflation gauge accelerates further in December

Washington (AFP) – The US Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure accelerated for a third month in a row in December, according to government data published Friday, while underlying inflation was unchanged.

Fed's favored inflation gauge accelerates further in December

Moving away from 2%

US Fed's benchmark interest rate
US Fed's benchmark interest rate © Corin FAIFE, Samuel BARBOSA / AFP

Headline inflation has been moving away from the Fed's long-term target of two percent since September, causing issues for policymakers at the US central bank.

The Fed has a dual mandate to tackle inflation and unemployment, and does so mainly by raising and lowering short-term lending rates, which then trickle through into consumer and producer borrowing costs.

On Wednesday, the Fed voted unanimously to pause rate reductions following three consecutive cuts, holding the bank's benchmark lending rate at between 4.25 and 4.50 percent.

While headline inflation has accelerated, economic growth has been strong, and the labor market has remained resilient, with the unemployment rate ticking down to 4.1 percent last month.

"There's still more work to be done to bring inflation closer to our two percent goal," Fed governor Michelle Bowman told a conference in New Hampshire on Friday.

"I would like to see progress in lowering inflation resume before we make further adjustments to the target range," added Bowman, who is a permanent voting member of the Fed's rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee FOMC). . .

December Inflation Data Won't Show the Progress Fed Officials Want to See |  Barron's

December Inflation Data Won't Show the Progress Fed Officials Want to See | Barron's

US Core PCE December 2024: Fed's Favored Inflation Gauge Stays Muted -  Bloomberg

US Core PCE December 2024: Fed's Favored Inflation Gauge Stays Muted - Bloomberg

Inflation finishes 2024 well above Fed's 2% target, PCE shows. Rate cuts on  hold. - MarketWatch

Inflation finishes 2024 well above Fed's 2% target, PCE shows. Rate cuts on hold. - MarketWatch

Inflation Festers in Core Services, No Progress in 12 Months. PCE Price  Index Accelerates for 3rd Month: Justifies Fed's Pivot to Wait-and-See |  Wolf Street

Inflation Festers in Core Services, No Progress in 12 Months. PCE Price Index Accelerates for 3rd Month: Justifies Fed's Pivot to Wait-and-See | Wolf Street