Friday, August 22, 2025

TARIFF EFFECTS WILL BE RELATIVELY SHORT-LIVED

Powell told attendees he expected inflation to continue to accelerate and the labor market to continue to slow, according to prepared remarks
He described it as an “unusual situation [that] suggests that downside risks to employment are rising,” building the case for stoking economic growth. 

Fed Chair Jerome Powell sends unmistakable signal that interest rate cuts are coming

Updated Aug 22, 2025, 7:46am PDT

Jerome Powell
Lenin Nolly via Reuters Connect

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sent a subtle but unmistakable signal that the central bank might lower interest rates next month as he addressed policymakers Friday at their annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyo.

The West: Living the History of Jackson Hole - Jackson Hole Traveler

Investors, whose hopes for a rate cut were recently dampened by conflicting economic data, responded by sending stocks up: Major indexes leapt more than 1%.
 
“The baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance,” Powell said.
 
https://public.bnbstatic.com/static/content/square/images/0bfb38ec62c14ce39379b745efce4537.png
 
The central bank had for months held rates steady as policymakers awaited greater clarity on how President Donald Trump’s trade agenda could affect the economy. But on Friday Powell said, 
“the effects of tariffs on consumer prices are now clearly visible.”
“A reasonable base case is that the effects will be relatively short lived — a one-time shift in the price level,” Powell added.

He made no mention of the central bank’s independence as it withstands pressure from Trump and his allies to bend monetary policy to his liking.

Why markets care so much about Jackson Hole

No comments:

REEVES RANT ___ Budget Breakdown