17 April 2024

DATA CENTER WATER GUZZLERS:

Data centres consume water directly to prevent information technology equipment from overheating. They also consume water indirectly from coal-powered electricity generation.

China’s thirsty data centres, AI industy could use more water than size of South Korea’s population by 2030: report warns

  • Hong Kong think tank says annual water use by Chinese data facilities – almost half of which are in dry regions – could more than double by 2030
  • It takes 20 times more water to have a ChatGPT conversation than to run a Google search, according to the non-profit group’s report
Holly Chik
Published: 10:00am, 17 Apr 2024

China’s thirsty data centres and the rapid growth of artificial intelligence (AI) could dramatically increase demand on the country’s water resources, according to a new report by think tank China Water Risk.

The Hong Kong-based non-profit estimated the annual water consumption of data centres in China to be around 1.3 billion cubic metres (343 billion gallons) – enough for residential use for 26 million people.
The team projected that by the end of the decade, China would have more than 11 million data centre racks, which house servers, cables and other equipment. 
  • That is nearly triple the number it had in 2020 of around 4 million.
  • The boom in generative AI technology is also expected to add to water demands from the information and communication technology (ICT) industry.
“Along with its huge computational power, AI chatbots drink staggering amounts of water to cool themselves down,” said the report released on Friday.
  • It pointed to a preprint study – meaning it has not yet been peer-reviewed – from last year by researchers in the United States that showed the large language model GPT-3 consumed 500 millilitres (16.9 fluid ounces) of water for every 10 to 50 responses it generates. 
  • That is 20 times more than it takes to produce 50 Google searches.

The report said that if 100 million users had a conversation with ChatGPT, the chatbot “would consume 50,000 cubic metres of water – the same as 20 Olympic-sized swimming pools – whereas the equivalent in Google searches would only consume one swimming pool”.

CT Low, co-author of the report and geospatial risk lead at China Water Risk, said the accelerated development of generative AI would add pressure to the country’s already stressed water resources.

“Almost half of China’s data centre racks are located in water-scarce regions, which are as dry as the Middle East,” he said.
Asia’s longest river, the Yangtze, lowest level in 150 years as China battles heatwaves, drought
Lead author Debra Tan, director and head of China Water Risk, said improving energy and water efficiency with existing technology were simple solutions to address water risks.
  • “We recommend corporates and the financial sector to assess fast-evolving climate and water risks and curate cohesive climate strategies to survive them,” Tan said.
  • “For the ICT sector, the time to tackle water risks is now – we must get on top of these before the explosion of AI,” Tan said.
She said China’s ICT giants are encouraged to become “water neutral” or “water positive” – goals their counterparts in Silicon Valley such as Meta and Google are also pursuing.

A water neutral company is one that offsets its water footprint, while a water positive one replenishes more than its water footprint, ideally after reducing water use as much as possible, according to the report.
Strategies to minimise and offset water use include watershed restoration, improving water efficiency in existing facilities, reusing waste water and collecting rainwater.


Tan added that the Chinese government was taking steps to manage rivers holistically, “from source to sea”, and could be expected to adopt tighter regulations and water usage effectiveness standards for the ICT sector.
According to the report, more than three-quarters of China’s data centre racks are located in the basins of three rivers: the Yellow River, the Yangtze River and the Pearl River.
Oceans of data lift all boats: China's data centers move west | Merics

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North American Clean Energy May/June 2024 by North American Clean Energy -  Issuu


RELATED



1 day ago — Arizona is running out of water. Big Tech data centers are partly to blame. A deal involving a proposed Google data center in Mesa, Arizona, ... 

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Mesa LalaPaLooza: All The Hype That's Fit-to-Print > Data Hub


Let's take one more dive into all the hoopla-hype pitched-out from the constant Jive-Talk by Mesa Mayor John Giles and city officials 
It is time for a TIME OUT.
Here's the most recent low-key report on all of Google's Data Centers with no over-the-top exaggeration, even though a press release from the City of Mesa News Room took pains to issue a carefully-worded announcement immediately after last Thursday's public meeting stating it was not a done deal. That's quite a different slant from Giles stating "In terms of a financial deal, this is home run. This is a great day."
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Google’s Western US Data Center Capacity Is Swelling Up
If all goes to plan, it will have gone from one campus in 2018 to four in 2020.
In recent years, the Alphabet subsidiary has been investing heavily to expand its computing infrastructure around the world. It’s been spending billions every quarter on network and data center construction to support its products for regular internet users – things like Search, Maps, YouTube, and Gmail – but even more so to scale the Google Cloud platform that provides computing services to enterprises.
A good portion of that spend has gone to build up its footprint in the western US, where the company is planning to go from one major data center location (in Oregon) about one year ago to four by the end of 2020.
Historically, the bulk of Google’s US computing
infrastructure has been concentrated in the Midwest and in the South, but the company’s pursuit of a greater share of the cloud market (dominated by Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure) appears to be driving a need for more capacity in the west.
This April, Google announced plans to build data centers to support a new cloud availability region in Salt Lake Cityand last July it announced the launch of a Los Angeles region. The Nevada data center will also host a new availability region for Google Cloud.
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Related: Cloud Giants Continue Pouring Billions Into Data Centers
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Google doesn’t expect to finish the first phase if the Mesa data center until 2025, according to a report by AZ Central.
What's omitted from the Data Center Knowledge report two days ago is this tentative and conditional statement:
"Google is considering acquiring property in Mesa, AZ., and while we do not have a confirmed timeline for development for the site, we want to ensure that we have the option to further grow should our business demand 
it
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The Las Vegas and Salt Lake builds are part of a $13 billion investment in new US offices and data centers the company announced earlier this year.
Google suggested that customers will be able to distribute their workloads across up to four regions in the west, once Las Vegas and Salt Lake come online (it expects to launch both next year).
Each new infrastructure region is also meant to target industries that are concentrated in its corresponding population center –
  • 1 gaming and entertainment in Las Vegas
  • 2 Hollywood in L.A.
  • 3 healthcare, IT, and financial services in Salt Lake
  • 4 _____________________________ in Mesa???
BLOGGER NOTE: The question still up-in-the-air is exactly what industries might get targeted in this "small town outside Phoenix" that's not targeted for Salt Lake City??
Reference: https://www.datacenterknowledge.com 
BRIEF                
Mesa, AZ lands $1B Google data center
Published July 3, 2019

Dive Brief:
Google will bring a new $1 billion data center to Mesa, AZ after the city council approved the move in a vote Monday, according to the Arizona Republic
The data center will be built on 187 acres of farmland in the Elliot Road Technology Corridor, which already has five existing or planned data centers. Construction is expected to begin within five years, with the first part of the data center projected to be in place by 2025. 

As part of the agreement, Google will get a $16 million break in property taxes over 25 years.
Dive Insight:
Google’s arrival boosts Mesa's reputation as a hub for data centers, which tech giants are increasingly building outside of the traditional base of Silicon Valley. Mesa is also home to a 1.3 million-square-foot Apple data center, open since 2016, and has used the facilities to build out its Technology Corridor. The development is growing across Arizona, with Microsoft recently purchasing three plots of land there for new data facilities. 
It’s unclear how many jobs the data center will create, since most operations at those facilities are automated, though construction will create new jobs. Even with the tax break, the city’s economic development director estimates the project will bring in nearly $157 million in revenue, according to the East Valley Tribune, including $10,000 in annual rent.
That led Mayor John Giles to declare the deal a "home run."
Bringing in data centers is also a way to potentially attract tech giants to relocate more operations there. Google has touted its "major expansion" in data centers as a way to spread its investments outside of California; in February, the company announced $13 billion in data center investments across 14 states. As cities look to attract big tech firms away from the coasts, Mesa’s recruitment could pose as a model on how best to bring in the industry. 
Recommended Reading:


US electric utilities brace for surge in power demand from data centers

US power grid regulators and utilities are warning about energy shortfalls. 
  • Projections for US electricity demand growth over the next five years have doubled from about one year ago, primarily because of the expected explosion of artificial intelligence data centers, federally subsidized manufacturing plants, and the government-fueled electric vehicle transition. 
In recent months, Wall Street has received the memo about the tidal wave of new electricity demand from data centers powering technology like generative AI. 

Blackstone CEO Jumps On 'The Next AI Trade' 

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" ... the lack of capacity in the electric grids in the industrial world with AI and EVs is creating enormous investment opportunities."
Blackstone CEO Jumps On 'The Next AI Trade' | ZeroHedge

Schwarzman told the audience at the Asia Pacific Financial and Innovation Symposium in Melbourne that a massive "land rush" is underway to build AI data centers.  

"This is like something I've never seen," he said via webcast, who was quoted by Bloomberg, adding, 
"The amount of money being invested in this area is breathtaking. It's happening now all over the world."




Blackstone Is Building a $25 Billion AI Data Center Empire - Bloomberg

The co-founder and chairman of the world's largest alternative asset manager warned, 

"Different states in the US are starting to run out of electricity" and "the lack of capacity in the electric grids in the industrial world with AI and EVs is creating enormous investment opportunities."

  • In 2021, Blackstone purchased QTS Realty Trust, a company with more than 25 data centers in its portfolio across North America and Europe, for $10 billion. 
"You'll be able to create 20% returns building these data centers with 30-year contracts," he said, adding, "This is pretty amazing."
Schwarzman should also consider investment opportunities in the nuclear power plant space. Last month, we showed how a nuclear renaissance is underway in a note titled "In Historic Reversal, US To Restart A Shut Down Nuclear Power Plant For The First Time Ever." 

In "The Next AI Trade," we explain what equity exposure is needed to capitalize on powering up America for the digital age. 

US electric utilities brace for surge in power demand from data centers


April 10 (Reuters) - U.S. electric utilities predict a tidal wave of new demand from data centers powering technology like generative AI, with some power companies projecting electricity sales growth several times higher than estimates just months earlier.
Nine of the top 10 U.S. electric utilities said data centers were a main source of customer growth, leading many to revise up capital expenditure plans and demand forecasts, according to a Reuters analysis of company earnings reports from the first three months of the year.
During the same earnings period last year, only two of the companies mentioned data centers.
"The growth is going to kick in faster than it has in decades," said Jim Lydotes, head of equity income for Newton Investment Management, a BNY Mellon IM firm that is shifting its holdings in European electric utilities to U.S. companies.
 opens new tabfell by more than 10%, the largest yearly drop since 2008, as rising inflation pushed investors to chase higher yields. The companies, which suffered a prolonged demand lull after the introduction of new energy efficiencies at the start of the millennium, are up about 4% so far this year.
Overall, power use from the thousands of giant computing warehouses that comprise data centers is expected to triple globally from less than 15 terawatt-hours (TWh) in 2023 to 46 TWh this year, according to Morgan Stanley research.
"The truth of the matter is these things (data centers) are pigs when it comes to energy use, and now they're the size of an elephant," said Eric Woodell, an expert who specializes in data center operations.
  • Longer term power demand from IT equipment in U.S. data centers is expected to reach more than 50 gigawatts (GW) by 2030, up from 21 GW in 2023, according to consulting firm McKinsey's latest estimates. Last year, it had forecasted demand rising to over 35 GW by 2030.
  • Surging electricity demand from data centers, along with an increase in U.S. manufacturing and the electrification of sectors like transportation, was evident in the most recent round of utility earnings calls with investors.
Southern Co expects data centers to propel its electricity sales growth to 6% each year from 2025 to 2028, up from predicted growth of 1% to 2% annually through next year. Sales from its Georgia Power business unit are seen jumping to an unprecedented 9% a year.
Florida-based NextEra Energy, the world's largest renewable energy company, said it had of data centers in its project queue that would use more than three GW, or nearly enough to power all homes in the state of Minnesota.
Executives from American Electric Power, an electric utility based in Ohio, said the company's retail customer demand grew 2.5% in 2023, much faster than its earlier 0.7% projection, due primarily to the acceleration of data center power use.

GROWING BACKLOG
The rapid growth has raised concerns that the U.S. electric utility industry, historically known for slow and steady returns, will be unable to respond quickly to the rise in power demand because of a swelling backlog of power generation and transmission projects in line to connect to the grid.
"What we're seeing in the market is that these projects are not coming online fast enough to meet the local demand for the for the data centers," said Rystad Energy analyst Geoff Hebertson.

The jump in overall demand has added to a nationwide queue of requests for power generation and energy storage projects to connect to the grid, which swelled to 2,600 gigawatts in 2023 from 2,000 gigawatts in 2022, according to the latest data from Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL).

Scrutiny from some state legislators who have grown concerned about how data centers strain power grids, raise emissions, and sometimes fail to boost state economies, has also emerged as a threat to electricity demand in certain regions.

The Georgia Senate voted last month to suspend some tax breaks for data centers, saying the businesses failed to create enough jobs to stimulate the state's economy.
That decision was "unfortunate" but will not be enough to undercut the lure the state has for new data center development," said Raul Martynek, CEO of DataBank, which is developing 225 megawatts of data center capacity across 14 U.S. markets, including the Atlanta area.

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US Data Centres Confront the Strain of Rising Power Demands
By Amber Jackson
April 15, 2024
4 mins


Such rapid growth has ultimately raised concerns that the US electric utility industry will be unable to respond quickly to the rise in power demand
Data centres across the United States (US) are preparing for a continued surge in power demand, as customers seeking technology like AI strain power grids

With one of the large data centre markets, the US holds the most data centre sites in the world, with its total data centre revenue expected to reach US$99.16bn in 2024.
Its market influence cannot be overstated. Given that the country is the single largest region for connectivity and cloud in the world today, alongside many technology companies being based there, its data centre industry is inevitably scaling up rapidly to meet rising demands.
Electric utilities across the country are predicting a ‘tidal wave’ of new demand from data centres now powering new technologies such as generative AI (Gen AI). In fact, some power companies are now projecting electricity sales growth several times higher than previous estimates.
As reported by Reuters, in 2023, electric utility in the US shares fell by more than 10%, the biggest yearly drop since 2008. Companies that have suffered a prolonged demand lull after the introduction of new energy efficiencies at the start of the millennium are currently up by about 4% so far in 2024


Concerns over demand not matching supply
  • According to research by the International Energy Agency (IEA), data centres are expected to consume well over 1,000TWh of electricity by 2026 - a figure that has more than doubled. 
  • In particular, AI has been cited as one of the causes of excess energy requirements. Demand for the technology is currently predicted to require as much energy as a medium-sized country, which causes additional challenges for both data centre operators and energy providers alike.
Likewise, Laurel Durkay, Head of Global Listed Real Assets at Morgan Stanley explains in the below video how the data centre industry is going to continue experiencing a transformative level of demand.


“This is ultimately going to require billions of dollars of new capital investment into the space that will transform the market and really grow the cash flows of these companies in a way that we haven’t seen before,”
 
she says.

‘Data-hungry AI models’
Such rapid growth has ultimately raised concerns that the US electric utility industry will be unable to respond quickly to the rise in power demand because of a swelling backlog of projects in line to connect to the grid.
This has also emerged as a threat to electricity demand in certain regions across the country, as some state officials are concerned about how much data centres could strain power grids.

For instance, the senate in Georgia voted in March 2024 to suspend some tax breaks for data centres. According to them, the relevant businesses were failing to create enough jobs for the local economy.


With AI and cloud technologies putting immense pressures on the data centre industry, companies are now having to find new ways to reduce energy consumption.
One of the ways it does this is by maximising renewable energy usage with new sustainable strategies such as harnessing excess heat to power local communities. Likewise, using cooling technologies like liquid cooling is also helping to keep systems cooler and less demanding for power.
With data centres around the world expected to grow at roughly 34% each year, it is now inevitable for data centre businesses to tackle rising energy challenges.
Energy-Guzzling AI Is Also the Future of Energy Savings - WSJ
AI Increases Data Center Energy Use. Google-Pioneered Technique Could Help  - Bloomberg
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