Russia seizes more ground in Ukraine’s east as Kyiv’s forces await supplies
It will take weeks for US military aid to reach Ukraine, but NATO chief says it’s not too late for Kyiv to ‘prevail’.
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PM Shmyhal says he still can’t confirm that new US military aid has arrived in Ukraine
PM Shmyhal says he still can’t confirm that new US military aid has arrived in Ukraine
Last fall, US President Joe Biden requested $95 billion in foreign aid, including $60.8 billion for Ukraine, but after a six-month delay due to Congressional Republicans. So far, Russia continues to gain ground in eastern Ukraine and intensify aerial attacks.
“We still cannot approve that we have this in Ukraine right now, but we are waiting for this ammunition, for air defense systems and missiles, for other military equipment, and especially long- and middle-range equipment,” Denys Shmyhal said.
The Ukrainian Prime Minister confirmed that Russia took advantage of the six-month-long delay in approving the US aid in Congress and seized Avdiivka City and several villages. He said it’s “not crucial,” but now Ukraine will have to reclaim the lost ground
ISW: Ukraine must seize initiative on battlefield to counter Russian advantages
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reported on 5 May that Ukraine should contest the theater-wide initiative as soon as possible, as ceding it to Russia for the entirety of 2024 would present Russia with several benefits.
According to the Financial Times, US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan stated that Ukraine will look to conduct a counteroffensive operation to recapture Russian-occupied territory in 2025 after using US military assistance to blunt further Russian advances in 2024.
Sullivan said that US aid will not “instantly flip the switch” on the battlefield situation and expects Russian forces to continue making marginal advances for an unspecified time.
According to the ISW, a Ukrainian “active defense” into 2025 would cede the theater-wide initiative to Russian forces for over a year, allowing the Russian command to shape preferable conditions by determining the timing, location, and intensity of attacks, and controlling the resources Ukrainian forces expend over this protracted period.
A Russian milblogger also said that Russian forces can conduct glide bomb air strikes against Ukrainian positions for the remainder of 2024 if Ukraine does not launch a counteroffensive operation that pressures Russian forces this year.
- According to the Financial Times, US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan stated that Ukraine will look to conduct a counteroffensive operation to recapture Russian-occupied territory in 2025 after using US military assistance to blunt further Russian advances in 2024.
- A Russian milblogger also said that Russian forces can conduct glide bomb air strikes against Ukrainian positions for the remainder of 2024 if Ukraine does not launch a counteroffensive operation that pressures Russian forces this year.
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Other takeaways from the report:
- The Russian military reportedly redeployed a battalion of the 76th Airborne (VDV) Division to Kursk Oblast as part of a larger ongoing Russian effort to gather an operationally significant force for a possible future Russian offensive operation against northeastern Ukraine and Kharkiv City.
- The Russian military is reportedly preparing and forming the Northern Grouping of Forces from elements of the Leningrad Military District (LMD) to primarily operate in the Belgorod-Kharkiv operational direction.
- European intelligence agencies reportedly warned their governments that Russia is planning to conduct “violent acts of sabotage” across Europe as part of a “more aggressive and concerted effort” against the West.
- Russian forces recently advanced near Kupiansk and Robotyne.
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