Saturday, November 08, 2025

Recent post from Mohamed A. El-Erian | @elerianm

From the Financial Times: 

“US companies closely tied to the artificial intelligence boom have lost close to $1tn in market value since last Friday.”

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G5MUitsWEAApJGs?format=jpg&name=smallAI Overview
The statement, cited in recent financial commentary from a Financial Times article, is accurate for the trading week that ended on Friday, November 7, 2025.
  • Major U.S. technology companies involved in the artificial intelligence boom did experience a significant sell-off during that week, resulting in a collective market value loss approaching $1 trillion. 
  • Broader reports indicated a loss of more than $820 billion across AI stocks for the week, driven by valuation concerns and profit-taking. 

Newspaper front page titled FT Weekend with yellow background and multiple sections. Top section shows holiday tech stocks holiday and AI self-off headlines with images of holiday ornaments and a stock chart. Middle left has Wall Street suffers 1.2tn AI self-off text with a photo of a bridge. Right side features Pause Getty images and a portrait of a man. Bottom left includes Saudi Arabia Wildcat underperforms Gulf peers and Saudi Aramco headlines with a landscape photo of a desert area. Center bottom has Gulf magnate self magnify text. Lower section covers Rich people in need of ready money and Top high circle in need of lending gap with photos of a man in a suit and women in orange outfits walking. Bottom right advertises Jetex Fly private with an airplane image.


Tech stocks suffer worst week since April after $800bn AI sell-off 

Nasdaq falls 3% over the five-day period as investors worry about sky-high valuations  

Tech stocks suffer worst week since April after $800bn AI sell-off on x (opens in a new window) 

AI sell-off on linkedin (opens in a new window) 
 
Tim Bradshaw in London and George Steer in New York Published YESTERDAY Updated14:01

 

  TOP STORIES
 
 

Next big bet

Fears over tech stocks have weighed on the market this week, with the Nasdaq Composite (COMP:IND) down 3.5% since Monday. 
Helping stoke valuation concerns was a new bearish bet by "Big Short" investor Michael Burry, who took out put options against two of the highest flyers in the AI industry - Nvidia (NVDA) and Palantir (PLTR). 
The disclosure came in a 13F filing, which revealed a $1.1B bet that grabbed industry attention, though it's worth doing a little digging past the headlines.


Bigger picture: 13Fs don't tell the whole story about what private funds are up to, and could reflect a position that Burry took weeks ago, but was (or will soon be) closed following the bearish bombshell. 

  • He executed a similar high-turnover move in the summer of 2023, when he made a $1.6B put bet against the S&P 500 (SP500) and Nasdaq, only to close the entire position in the following quarter. The latest 13F was also strangely filed more than a week ahead of the typical deadline, and was published immediately following Palantir's earnings (causing the stock to tank despite record results and triggering fierce response from CEO Alex Karp). It's also important to note that the "billion-dollar headlines" are notional values, meaning Burry would've only had to put up a fraction of that number to secure the options, albeit one that's a high-stakes wager for his Scion Asset Management.


Recall that Burry has attempted to call many doom-and-gloom scenarios in recent years, including "the greatest speculative bubble of all time in all things" and "the mother of all crashes." His big bets against Tesla (TSLA), another high-flyer in 2021, didn't pan out well, or selling out on his significant position in GameStop (GME) only months before the "Wall Street Bets" rally took the stock to new heights. However, Burry has had success in other calls, like his bullish position this year on Estée Lauder (EL), as well as his contrarian calls last year on Alibaba (BABA) and JD.com (JD).

https://media.tenor.com/WZzs0NFU1s0AAAAM/well-find-out-miriam-maisel.gif

Time will tell: Corrections are part of any market cycle and that could very well happen given the current concentration in a handful of tech stocks. However, timing the market is always a risky endeavor, and it may be better to stay fully invested barring the belief of a serious downturn. While warnings of an AI bubble have been touted for years, given price-to-earnings ratios and massive amounts of capital spending, there are also significant differences compared to the dot-com era. The leading AI players today are highly profitable with strong cash flows, and have a market that is ready and eager to rapidly adopt revenue-generating tools and efficient models. (3 comments)  


https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G5LLSvFXYAAGocb?format=jpg&name=900x900

Opinion: After Tuesday's elections, Trump’s opponents sense a potential dawn. 

Now one thing is for sure, the opening act of the US president’s second term is over, 

writes Edward Luce. on.ft.com/43YMn

 
"In his recent commentary, Financial Times columnist Edward Luce frames the aftermath of Tuesday’s elections as a pivotal moment in U.S. politics. 
  • He suggests that the results—marked by a sweeping wave of Democratic victories across traditionally red, blue, and swing states—represent a “potential dawn” for those opposing President Trump’s agenda. 
  •  Luce contends that the “opening act” of Trump’s second term has concluded, and what lies ahead may be even more consequential. 
He warns that while Trump’s popularity is slipping and his policies are increasingly unpopular, this doesn’t necessarily mean his grip on power is weakening in a conventional sense. 
  • Instead, Luce cautions that a politically embattled Trump may be more inclined to “rip up the rule book”—a reference to his replacement of top officials with loyalists and his aggressive use of executive power. 
This analysis is echoed by broader election coverage, which highlights
- Democratic wins in key gubernatorial and mayoral races in Virginia, New Jersey, and New York City, despite heavy GOP spending and culture war rhetoric. 
 
- Progressive ballot victories, such as California’s redistricting reform and voting rights protections in Maine.
 
 - Strategic implications for both parties heading into the 2026 midterms, with Democrats buoyed by turnout and Republicans facing internal reckoning. 
 
Luce’s framing of this moment as the end of Trump’s “opening act” suggests that the real test of American democratic resilience may still lie ahead.  
 
POTUS Donald Trump's First Act As President | World DNA | WION
 
His warning: if Trump’s political fortunes continue to decline, his impulse may be to consolidate power even more aggressively — raising the stakes for both parties and the electorate.

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