30 January 2024

MONEY MATTERS: Treasury Cuts Quarterly Borrowing Estimate to $760 Billion

 

Treasury Department Trying Very Hard to Push Down Yields with its Quarterly  Refunding Announcements. So We Take a Look | Wolf Street


Treasury Cuts Quarterly Borrowing Estimate to $760 Billion

  • Department releases borrowing estimate for January to March
  • Treasury also predicts $202 billion net borrowing next quarter
Matthew Zeitlin on X: "actually i'm not joking, that literally happened, treasury  borrowing came in lower than expected (i.e. market expects lower rates,  lower rates means higher value of future dividends), the
Treasury Cuts Borrowing Estimate. It's Good News For Bonds.

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Treasury Cuts Q1 Borrowing, Markets Rally

The U.S Treasury building in Washington.

A bronze seal for the Department of the Treasury is shown at the U.S. Treasury building in Washington, U.S., January 20, 2023. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque/File Photo Acquire Licensing Rights, opens new tab

NEW YORK, Jan 29 (Reuters) - The U.S. Treasury said on Monday it expects to borrow $760 billion in the first quarter, $55 billion lower than the October estimate primarily due to forecasts for increased net fiscal flows and higher cash balance.
The first-quarter financing estimate assumes a cash balance of $750 billion at the end of March, the Treasury said in a statement.
The Treasury also announced it expects to borrow $202 billion in the second quarter, as it projects a cash balance of $750 billion at the end of June.
It also said in the fourth quarter of 2023, the Treasury borrowed $776 billion in net marketable debt, in line with estimates released in October last year. It ended the fourth quarter with a cash balance of $769 billion.
The Treasury explained that the end-December cash balance was $19 billion higher than the October forecast due to other sources of financing such as the lower-than-estimated discount on marketable borrowing.

Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss Editing by Chizu Nomiyama

Treasury Department Trying Very Hard to Push Down Yields with its Quarterly  Refunding Announcements. So We Take a Look | Wolf Street

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