15 April 2024

VAGUE ENOF 4 U: Mohammed A. El-Erian, The Columnist

UPDATE TODAY 1 Hour ago:

Iran-Israel tensions and Markets: This morning’s combination of lower oil prices, higher yields and stronger stocks is a reflection of both what did not happen (no major casualties and damage this weekend) and a market view that further escalation in Iran-Israel tensions is unlikely.
Meanwhile, the narrative among political scientists and national security experts is about a “new Middle East” where “lines have been crossed” and the future there is more unpredictable. #markets #economy


WHAT DOES IT MEAN "To imply something??
Imply means to express, suggest, or show something without stating it directly...another word is "hedging"

  • They are relatively well-placed to handle the immediate uptick in the geopolitical risk premium. 
  • They are not well-placed to navigate further escalations that would involve more parties in a more significant manner.

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On "X" Yesterday
Some initial thoughts on the implication of the escalation of Iran-Israel tensions for the global economy and markets:


bloomberg.com/opinion/articl

What the Middle East Now Implies for the Global Economy, Markets

They are relatively well-placed to handle the immediate uptick in the geopolitical risk premium. They are not well-placed to navigate further escalations that would involve more parties in a more significant manner.

They are relatively well-placed to handle the immediate uptick in the geopolitical risk premium. They are not well-placed to navigate further escalations that would involve more parties in a more significant manner.



Bloomberg Opinion

THE DAY BEFORE + THE DAY AFTER


4 hours ago — SINGAPORE, April 15 (Reuters) - Asian shares fell and gold prices rose on Monday as risk sentiment took a hit after Iran's retaliatory attack on Israel stoked ...
Missing: Implies ‎| Show results with: Implies
15 hours ago — Israel-Iran conflict will add to Fed's caution on rate cuts as oil prices may disrupt inflation fight—but China and OPEC+ could ease pressure, Capital Economics ...
Missing: Implies ‎| Show results with: Implies
11 hours ago — Asian markets are set to open on the defensive on Monday, with heightened tensions in the Middle East spurring strong demand for safe-haven assets like the ...
2 hours ago — Financial markets nervous amid Middle East tensions; oil price falls – business live. Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news, as Brent crude ...
Missing: Implies ‎| Show results with: Implies
13 hours ago — “However, the market impact might extend beyond the Middle East due to secondary effects on oil and energy prices, potentially influencing the global inflation ...
Missing: Implies ‎| Show results with: Implies
4 hours ago — Asian shares fell and gold prices rose on Monday as risk sentiment took a hit after Iran's retaliatory attack on Israel stoked fears of a wider regional ...
Videos
Markets Weigh Up Risk of Retaliation-Cycle After Iran Hits Israel

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