Latest Polls
Who’s ahead in the national polls?
Nate Silver: Today's update. Harris's lead in national polls is down to 2.3 points from a peak of 3.5 on 10/2. The race remains a toss-up, but we're at a point now where we can be pretty confident this is real movement and not statistical noise.
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Who's ahead in the national polls?
Harris has a +2.1 point lead over Trump in an average of national polls. For latest polling analysis, click here.
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