50 European leaders assess how Trump will affect their fortunes and seek a common stance on Russia
- European officials will also be seeking a strong common stance on Russia at the one-day gathering.
“Russia is delivering the latest technology into North Korea in return for North Korean help with the war against Ukraine. And this is a threat not only to the European part of NATO, but also to the U.S. mainland,”
“When he was president, he was the one in NATO who stimulated us to move over the 2%. And now, also thanks to him, NATO, if you take out the numbers of the U.S., is above the 2%.,” Rutte said.
“We have to be more masters of our destiny,” he said. “Not because of Donald Trump or Kamala Harris, but because of our children.”
- Trump has said he would end the war in Ukraine, now well into its third year, within days of being reelected.
- Ukraine and many of its European backers fear that this means a peace on terms favorable to Russian President Vladimir Putin and involving the surrender of territory.
- Trump’s administration slapped tariffs on EU steel and aluminum in 2018, based on the claim that foreign products, even if produced by American allies, were a threat to U.S. national security.
- Europeans and other allies retaliated with duties on U.S.-made motorcycles, bourbon, peanut butter and jeans, among other items.
Among the leaders, Zelenskyy, who is expected to make another plea for more aid as his country fends off Moscow’s invasion. The timing is laden with significance as Trump has vowed to end the war “within 24 hours” of being elected — something leaders in Kyiv interpret as an impending evaporation of U.S. support following Trump’s win.
Further compounding an already complicated situation, Germany — Europe’s troubled economic juggernaut — sank into political crisis after German Chancellor Olaf Scholz fired his finance minister. It raises the specter of an election in a few months and yet another standoff between the emboldened hard right and the establishment parties in Europe.
Those two combined “adds even more pepper and salt to this situation,” Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said.
Back-to-back EU summits to decide bloc's future
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| ban, Hungary's prime minister seen here at an EU session in Strasbourg, is hosting the EU summit |
In his invitation letter to the Hungarian EPC summit, Michel wrote that the world's crises — he lists Russia's war of aggression in Ukraine, violence in the Middle East, conflict and instability in Africa, a weakened global economy and irregular migration — are "putting peace, stability and prosperity at risk in our region."
The co-host of this summit is right-wing Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, and his country currently also holds the presidency of the Council of the European Union. So far, he has been the only staunch supporter of Donald Trump among the ranks of heads of state and government. Already, he's called the return of the erratic former president to power a "victory for the world."
Just this summer, Orban had exasperated his colleagues when he set out on a self-described "peace mission" which included Kyiv, Moscow, Beijing and Mar-a-Lago, Trump's Floridian residence. Afterwards, he claimed Trump would be able to end Russia's war in Ukraine in just days.
He added the he, Orban, was the only national leader in Europe who wanted peace.
In response, leaders in the European Union (EU) have organized somewhat of a slowdown strike, with only a handful of ministers and no EU commissioners attending an informal ministerial meeting the EU president Hungary is also hosting in Budapest.
'Peace mission': Orban meets with Trump
Was Donald Trump invited?
Apparently, Orban has lined up further diplomatic provocations, with reports suggesting he has made arrangements for president-elect Trump to join EU leaders via a video link. EU diplomats had already strongly rejected this proposal during preparations for the summit.
Orban responded to this by threatening to cancel a planned video conference with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. It's unclear whether the latter will now travel to the summit in person instead.
Zelenskyy hopes to convince members of the EPC and the EU to send his country more aid should the US withdraw its financial and military support for Ukraine in January, when Trump is expected to assume office. On the campaign trail, Trump had already announced such intentions.
EU bracing for US tariffs
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and many other European leaders have congratulated Trump and announced they wish to see their partnerships with the US continued.
Aside from such diplomatic formalities, the EU has long been preparing economic policies to respond to a second Trump presidency. In closed-door working groups, The European Commission and member states have assembled countermeasures, should the returning president impose tariffs on goods imported from the EU like he has been threatening to.
The US is one of the most important destinations for German exports. The Munich-based Leibniz Institute for Economic Research estimates that Trump's tariffs could cost Germany's economy €33 billion ($35.4 billion).
Can the EU make economic ground?
Straight after the EPC summit on Thursday, the 27 EU heads of state and government will gather for an informal meeting on Friday to discuss how to make the Europe's economy more competitive toward China and the US.
Head of EU Foreign Affairs Committee warns of US trade war
In September, Italian economist and former head of the European Central Bank Mario Draghi outlined a roadmap on "The future of European competitiveness," which calls for hundreds of billions of euros worth of investment. There is strong disagreement within the bloc over where this money should be coming from, but a fresh round of collective debt appears out of the question.
Of particular concern is Germany's slumped economy, which is just a hair's breadth from a recession and could drag the rest of Europe into an economic crisis. Berlin's fractious coalition, along with French President Emmanuel Macron's unpopularity at home, have made German-French initiatives and leadership within the EU far less convincing. Right-wing leaders like Orban or Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni could be next in line to fill the gap Germany and France leave behind.
What is the EPC?
The fact that this forum is now meeting in Hungary of all countries is bound to make talks all the more difficult. The political views and diplomatic methods of Hungary's Prime Minister are noticeably out of line with the EU, which has repeatedly accused Orban's government of undermining the rule of law. The bloc is currently withholding funds earmarked for Hungary over the country's breach of EU treaties and apparent disregard for EU court rulings.
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