23 November 2024

Grumpy from Grumpy’s Substack

RUSSO-UKRAINE WAR BRIEF For: 2024-11-23

Grumpy
Nov 23

Slava Ukraini! In early 2022 I began a Telegram channel aggregating news from a number of sources daily on the war in Ukraine. In June 2023 I began providing a daily draft for the Ukraine War Brief Podcast collecting news from over 70 sources daily, which formed the basis of the script. While the Podcast no longer exists I have continued to make this Brief available for my followers here on Substack for those who wish to keep up with the news from the war. A version of this Brief will also be made available on The People’s Media Substack for those who should choose to subscribe there.

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ALONG THE CONTACT LINE 

GSAFU Morning Report

The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in its Operational Information update at 22:00 on Nov 22 stated that day 1004 of the full-scale invasion of the Russian Federation against Ukraine was about to begin.

During the past day, 187 combat engagements took place. Over the past 24 hours, the enemy carried out 2 missile strikes, 52 air strikes, 748 drone strikes and more than 3,900 artillery strikes across the positions of Ukrainian forces.

At the same time, Ukrainian soldiers continue to inflict losses in manpower and equipment on the occupying troops, exhausting the enemy along the entire front line and continue to disrupt the plans of Russian occupiers to advance deep into the territory of Ukraine.


The Air Force report for Nov 22 has finally been released

During the current day from 01:30 on November 22, 2024, the invaders are attacking Ukraine with attack UAVs of the "Shahed" type and drones of an unspecified type from the Russian Eagle.

In total, the radio engineering troops of the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine identified and escorted 114 enemy air targets.

Aviation, anti-aircraft missile units, EW devices and mobile fire groups of the Air Force and the Defense Forces of Ukraine were involved in repelling the attack.

As of 5:30 p.m., anti-aircraft defence shot down 64 enemy drones, mainly in the centre of the country and in the northeastern regions.

41 unmanned aerial vehicles — lost in location, presumably due to active anti-aircraft defence of the Defense Forces, two more Russian UAVs left the airspace of Ukraine in the direction of Russia and Belarus.


The Russian Border Incursion

 The Institute for the Study of War (ISW), a US based think tank, in its Nov 21 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment reported that Russian forces continued assaults in the main Ukrainian salient in Kursk Oblast on Nov 21 and 22 but did not make confirmed advances. Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces advanced near Darino (southeast of Korenevo) and in forested areas near Olgovka (east of Korenevo) and Malaya Loknya (north of Sudzha), although ISW has not observed confirmation of these claims.

The commander of a Ukrainian platoon operating in Kursk Oblast reported that Russian forces are sending wounded personnel on infantry assaults in Kursk Oblast, and a Russian milblogger noted on Nov 21 that poor weather conditions have set in in Kursk Oblast. A Russian milblogger claimed that elements of the Russian 83rd Airborne (VDV) Brigade and 51st VDV Regiment (106th VDV Division) are attacking near Darino and Nikolayevo-Darino (just south of Darino). Russian forces also continued assaults north of Sudzha near Pogrebki and Orlovka and southeast of Sudzha near Plekhovo. A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces repelled Ukrainian mechanised assaults southeast of Korenevo near Novoivanovka and Darino.Elements of the Russian BARS-Kursk volunteer detachment are reportedly operating in Kursk Oblast.

Ukrainian outlet Suspilne reported on Nov 22, citing sources within the Ukrainian General Staff, that Russia has accumulated almost 60,000 troops in Kursk Oblast and that the Ukrainian General Staff currently assesses that Russian forces intend to push Ukrainian forces back across the international border into Sumy Oblast and conduct further offensive operations into Ukraine in order to create a "buffer zone" in Sumy Oblast. The sources stated that the Ukrainian military command assesses that the Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast prevented Russian forces from launching a major offensive operation in Zaporizhia Oblast in recent months.


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NOW YOU KNOW    

The NASAMS delivery arrives as Ukraine faces intensified Russian aerial attacks, including the recently deployed "Oreshnik" intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM), launched against Dnipro on Nov. 21.
Following the strike on Dnipro, Zelensky reiterated the importance of advanced Western air defence systems, directing Defense Minister Rustem Umerov to begin new talks with partners on acquiring additional equipment.
Ukrainian forces have been using NASAMS systems since November 2022, when the U.S. delivered the first batteries amid escalating Russian airstrikes.

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