07 January 2025

Niall Ferguson on "X" >> BOTH A TRADE WAR + A TECH WAR | @nfergus

Donald Trump’s 2024 presidential campaign very deliberately echoed the one that Ronald Reagan ran in 1980. 
“Peace through strength” and “Are you better off today than you were four years ago?” are the two Reagan slogans that are best remembered today. 
  • Less well known is that in 1980, Reagan used the slogan “Make America great again,” including in his convention acceptance speech.
Few commentators have paid much attention to these parallels. . .



You're hired! How TV carried Reagan and Trump to the White House

This article is more than 7 years old

The Reagan Show, a new archive-based documentary, offers compelling fly-on-the-wall insights into the staging of President Reagan’s performances on screen – and reveals the origins of Trumpism

You're hired! How TV carried Reagan and Trump to the White House | Movies |  The Guardian

How to Win the New Cold War

To Compete With China, Trump Should Learn From Reagan

January/February 2025 Published on January 7, 2025

How to Win the New Cold War: To Compete With China, Trump Should Learn From  Reagan
Niall Ferguson Profile picture
4h  8 tweets  2 min read   Read on X
"Today, the United States finds itself in at least the sixth year of a second cold war, this time with China, a confrontation that has become even more dangerous under the Biden administration. In his first term, Trump recognized the American need to contain China’s rise and convinced Washington policy elites, despite their initial skepticism, that this required both a trade war and a tech war." 1/8 
"In his second term, he should once again begin by piling on the pressure with a fresh show of American strength. But this should not be an end in itself. His ultimate goal ought to be like Reagan’s: to get to a deal with Washington’s principal adversary that reduces the nightmarish risk of World War III—a risk inherent in a cold war between two nuclear-armed superpowers."foreignaffairs.com/united-states/…2/8 
"Reagan opened with strength. He boldly reasserted the American rejection of communism as an ideology and Soviet expansionism as a strategy. At the same time, he initiated a major increase in defense spending that sought to exploit U.S. technological superiority." 3/8 
"When the right time came, however, he pivoted to a series of summit meetings with Gorbachev that ultimately produced stunning breakthroughs in both disarmament and European security." 4/8 
"There are, of course, major differences between Trump and Reagan. ... Nevertheless, the resemblances between Trump and Reagan—and their times—are numerous and significant. It is easy to forget, for example, how widely Reagan was feared at that time by liberals at home and abroad, as well as by Washington’s adversaries." 5/8 
"It would make sense, as it did in the 1980s, for the two superpowers to pursue disarmament. The current nuclear arms race is a lopsided one in which Washington’s foes expand their arsenals while nonproliferation applies only to U.S. allies." 6/8 
"A Trump-Xi deal, however, can come only after the United States has reestablished a position of strength." 7/8 
"In 1980, many would have scoffed at any prediction that Reagan would end the Cold War—that he really would deliver peace through strength. Today, the argument that Trump might pull off a similar feat will strike many as absurd. But historical wisdom consists partly of remembering how unlikely epochal events seemed, even just a few years before they happened."foreignaffairs.com/united-states/…8/8 
Will Trump's Madman Theory Work?
"Today, the United States finds itself in at least the sixth year of a second cold war, this time with China, a confrontation that has become even more dangerous under the Biden administration. In his first term, Trump recognized the American need to contain China’s rise and convinced Washington policy elites, despite their initial skepticism, that this required both a trade war and a tech war." 1/8
Tim Mello
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"In his second term, he should once again begin by piling on the pressure with a fresh show of American strength. But this should not be an end in itself. His ultimate goal ought to be like Reagan’s: to get to a deal with Washington’s principal adversary that reduces the
Show more
"Reagan opened with strength. He boldly reasserted the American rejection of communism as an ideology and Soviet expansionism as a strategy. At the same time, he initiated a major increase in defense spending that sought to exploit U.S. technological superiority." 3/8
"When the right time came, however, he pivoted to a series of summit meetings with Gorbachev that ultimately produced stunning breakthroughs in both disarmament and European security." 4/8
"There are, of course, major differences between Trump and Reagan. ... Nevertheless, the resemblances between Trump and Reagan—and their times—are numerous and significant. It is easy to forget, for example, how widely Reagan was feared at that time by liberals at home and
Show more
"It would make sense, as it did in the 1980s, for the two superpowers to pursue disarmament. The current nuclear arms race is a lopsided one in which Washington’s foes expand their arsenals while nonproliferation applies only to U.S. allies." 6/8
"A Trump-Xi deal, however, can come only after the United States has reestablished a position of strength." 7/8
"In 1980, many would have scoffed at any prediction that Reagan would end the Cold War—that he really would deliver peace through strength. Today, the argument that Trump might pull off a similar feat will strike many as absurd. But historical wisdom consists partly of
Show more


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