Monday, June 12, 2017

Startling Stats: "Quality Jobs" In The WorkPlace > Volatility, Instability and Insecurity

Almost every single time there's the usual hyped-up press releases from different cities or economic development offices they always mention "quality-jobs" or "high-paying jobs". Even for those fortunate to have any kind of job or any kind of income it's a mixed bag  for everyone making less than $105,000 per year - rich or poor.
Steady Jobs, With Pay and Hours That Are Anything But
Blogger's Note: Hundreds of jobs created at two recent company re-locations in District 3 - Dexcom and Santander Consumer Finance are either manufacturing jobs or call-center jobs with average wages $10-12 per hour.
"Up to 50 jobs' at the most recent news about the highly-automated Niagara water-bottling facility are manufacturing jobs with a $3,500 tax-credit for each job created for even part-time work.
"Monthly expenses can pendulum as much as income, but the two do not necessarily move in tandem. An analysis of 250,000 bank accounts by the JPMorgan Chase Institute, a nonprofit research arm of the bank, found that roughly 80 percent of households had an insufficient cash buffer to manage the mismatch between income and expenses in a given month.
Few people can comfortably ride out the inevitable financial bronco ride. “Only households that earn $105,000 or more a year are secure against the volatility they are exposed to,” said Diana Farrell, the institute’s president and chief executive. “It’s not just about the unemployed or the poor.”
instability and insecurity are increasingly a part of middle-class life, too.
. . .  Monthly expenses can pendulum as much as income, but the two do not necessarily move in tandem. An analysis of 250,000 bank accounts by the JPMorgan Chase Institute, a nonprofit research arm of the bank, found that roughly 80 percent of households had an insufficient cash buffer to manage the mismatch between income and expenses in a given month.
Few people can comfortably ride out the inevitable financial bronco ride. “Only households that earn $105,000 or more a year are secure against the volatility they are exposed to,” said Diana Farrell, the institute’s president and chief executive. “It’s not just about the unemployed or the poor.” 
In another study from this article: "To Mr. Morduch and his co-author, Rachel Schneider, the rise in income volatility is an indication of how businesses in an era of advancing technology and global competition have shifted risk onto employees." 
Read more > New York Times 31 May 2017       
WHAT HAPPENED TO THE AMERICAN DREAM? 
First Question: How do you measure it?
Top 1 Percent of Americans Reaped Two-Thirds of Income Gains in Last Economic Expansion
Income Concentration in 2007 Was at Highest Level Since 1928, New Analysis Shows
"Two-thirds of the nation’s total income gains from 2002 to 2007 flowed to the top 1 percent of U.S. households, and that top 1 percent held a larger share of income in 2007 than at any time since 1928, according to an analysis of newly released IRS data by economists Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez.[1]During those years, the Piketty-Saez data also show, the inflation-adjusted income of the top 1 percent of households grew more than ten times faster than the income of the bottom 90 percent of households."
Piketty and Saez’s unique data series on income inequality, based on IRS files, is particularly valuable because it provides detailed information on income gains at the top of the income scale and extends back to 1913.
2007 marked the fifth straight year in which income gains at the top outpaced those among the rest of the population.
From 2002 to 2007, the average inflation-adjusted income of the top 1 percent of households rose 62 percent, compared to 4 percent for the bottom 90 percent of households
(see Table 1).

The Piketty-Saez data has been updated. An analysis of the new data as of March 7, 2012 can be found here: http://www.cbpp.org/cms/index.cfm?fa=view&id=3697.
 
How America’s big cities are becoming more unequal: Income gap between wealthy and poor is still growing five years after end of the recession [2015]
The analysis compared 2013 census data for the top five per cent of earners with the bottom 20 per cent to work out the difference in wages. 
The Mesa gap was -7.5 where the rich only took home 7.5 times more than poor.
The gap between the rich and poor in big cities in the United States is still widening. The map to the right shows the most equal and unequal cities, according to the 2015 report by the Brookings Institution
Read more: here
The American Dream Index: Behind The Numbers       Source: Forbes 29 May 2017
Is the economy strong enough to deliver the American dream? Middle-class prosperity, that is?
The states highlighted in green are off to a good start in the Trump era, according to the American Dream Index.
 
We address that question with a new index that blends seven economic factors into a single number for each state. Employment growth, layoffs, construction activity and entrepreneurship are among the components in our formula.
The American Dream Index aims to capture a middle-class zeitgeist. Our jobs number focuses on goods-producing employment—in manufacturing, mining, construction and agriculture, that is—because that's where America is supposed to get great again.
We downplay the service sector, even though service keeps more people busy than production does. Why? Because the service sector too rarely offers the middle-class jobs that used to be the heart of the economy. Neither $150-an-hour doctors nor $9-an-hour retail clerks are part of the middle class.
The American Dream Index will be, by design, a lot more volatile than gross domestic product, the usual thermometer for economic progress. It is sensitive to recent layoff announcements and to short-term trends in job creation and in unemployment claims. It varies considerably from state to state and from month to month. Forbes compiles an annual look at the
Best States for Business, which measures the strength of the local economy. The ADI is focused on the trendline.
Mass layoffs figure into our index, since those affect the animal spirits of middle America more than the small job gains and losses that drive the unemployment rate. We incorporate a measure of entrepreneurial verve from the Kauffman Foundation. We have labor force participation in the mix; some states are doing better than others at bucking the discouraging downward trend in this number.
Some words of advice from the authors of the Inequality study:
". . local policy-makers should not ignore other tools they have at hand - from education to economic development to housing and zoning policies - that are essential for improving social mobility and sustaining income diversity in big cities today.' 
 


 

Sunday, June 11, 2017

Hey! Thank You Dear Readers > Over 135,000 Page-Views

As they say here in Mesa AZ, I am so thrilled and so excited and filled with joy that independent online journalism has found a place here in The New Urban Downtown Mesa.
Who'd have think that, huh?

[Thank U Google too!]


Pageviews yesterday
: 686
Pageviews last month:  
8,799
Pageviews all time history
: 135,835


 

Mesa OED Bill Jabjiniak Gets A Qwik PR Blitz From Go-To EVT Reporter Wayne Schutsky

Here's the headline story by Tribune Staff Writer Wayne Schutsky taken from the front page of The Sunday 11 June 2017 edition of The East Valley Tribune
Elliot Road Tech Corridor shines spotlight on Mesa's tech hopes
Read the online report here in a news feed http://www.eastvalleytribune.com/feeds/az_local

Who's feeling the heat?
Mesa Economic Development Director Jabjiniak, seen in the image to the right by Kim Carrillo that accompanies Schutsky's article, is quoted as saying "There are two things that attract technology companies, or other companies. . . the amount of available infrastructure and how quickly we can get through the entitlement process."
Infrastructure was made available and put in-place by massive millions of dollars in taxpayer-supported Government Bond obligations with annual debt service costs per capita [every resident] of close to $4,000.
Who's getting the return-on-investment ROI? No details in the write-up at all, but companies typically get all kind of "developer incentives" typically not subject to disclosure to the public
OK. Those two things [infrastructure costing Mesa Taxpayers million$$$$$$ of dollars$] and a "quick" entitlement process might attract companies to Mesa, there's a way lot more than that goes into selecting a site for both companies and investors to close on a deal - other cities and other economic development corridors in the Phoenix Metro Area can - and usually do - make a stronger case than Mesa not just based on hopes.
Any city's application/review/approval process takes time for a good reason: due diligence.
Questions need to get asked by the public. Not only the financial terms of deals made by all the government and public/private parties and contractors, but for overall concerns about power-generation and water-usage. Apple's $1.3 Billion global command center might be the magnet that sparked both residential, commercial - it's taken a pledge to use 100% renewable energy at its global command center. Data centers planning to locate along the Elliot Tech Corridor typically use enormous amounts of water daily.
That issue was addressed in article published in Forbes
Corporations Vow To Save Water That Will Help Save Energy And The Economy
Ken Silverstein, Contributor Forbes | 2017-06-06
"With the world population growing and the need for energy rising, water shortages are developing and threatening economic growth. What now? ...."
Water is not just used to irrigate crops. It is also used to generate electricity and run industrial processes. Indeed, water and energy are inextricably linked as various segments of the economy compete for limited resources. Governments and businesses alike are now calling for concerted conservation efforts.



 
 
 
 







 

Graham Allison: New Book "Destined for War" // China Rising

Published last week

The US and China: Destined for Conflict? A Conversation with Graham Allison
Published on Jun 7, 2017
Views:246
Duration: about an hour
What can the rise of Japan and Germany in the last century - or the rise of Athens 2,000 years earlier - tell us about the risks facing the US and China today? Is a US-China war inevitable?
Graham Allison, among the most astute geostrategic observers of his generation, terms this “Thucydides’s Trap.” He takes us back to the Peloponnesian war to remind us of the timeless insights of the historian Thucydides: When a rising power rivals a ruling power, danger is near. In fact, in 12 of the 16 occasions this global power pattern has repeated, the outcome was war. With this view to history, the existential challenge of our era is not violent Islamic extremists or a resurgent Russia; it is the impact of China’s ascendance on the international order. According to Allison, "Never before in history has a nation risen so far, so fast."

Even Chinese President Xi Jinping has urged that the world “work together to avoid the Thucydides trap… Our aim is to foster a new model of major country relations.” But is being aware of danger enough to avoid it? While the West seeks to encircle and constrain, China demonstrates, with aggressive naval exercises in disputed seas, that it will demand the respect due a major power in its own region and the world. Can the world escape the perilous prophecy of Athens and Sparta?

Graham Allison, director of Harvard’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, founding dean of Harvard’s Kennedy School and advisor to every secretary of defense from Reagan to Obama, shares insights from his career, and outlines the painful steps both China and the US must take to avoid disaster.

SPEAKER:
Graham Allison
Director, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard University

MODERATOR:
Michael M. Nacht
Thomas and Alison Schneider Professor of Public Policy; Interim Director, Center for Studies in Higher Education, Goldman School of Public Policy, University of California, Berkeley

For more information about this event please visit:
http://www.worldaffairs.org 

Related conversation @ 92nd Street Y with former General David Perseus
https://youtu.be/pXpmGonTxOI

UK Election Carnage: Pie Spouts Off!

Get a grip will ya?????
Published on Jun 11, 2017
Views: 125,095
Pie takes a look at the DUP / Tory alliance

War Defense Archeology: A 2,600-acre 'Boneyard' in Arizona


Published on Jun 11, 2017
At the 309th Aerospace Maintenance and Regeneration Group at Davis-Monthan Air Force Base, Arizona, also known as the "Boneyard," US military planes from all services after retirement.
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Jonathan Pie Makes News Talking To RT Journalist

Bantering real good
Published on Jun 10, 2017
Views: 94,342
We speak to Tom Walker aka Jonathan Pie on how social media and a socialist manifesto got nearly 65% of British young people into the voting booths
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