Monday, January 14, 2019

Taking A Look At The Bigger Picture: Bloomberg Opinion Piece

Technology & Ideas
If All Vehicles Go Electric, That’s Just Step One
To address emissions, the electric grid would need to eliminate fossil fuels and the petrochemical industry would need to reverse its explosive growth.
"Many of the headlines coming out of Detroit this week during the North American International Auto Show will be about electric vehicles – from new electric concept vehicles from Nissan and Infiniti to an emerging partnership between Ford and VW on electric and autonomous vehicles. By all means, environmentalists and others should celebrate progress in bringing more EVs to market.  But they should not assume such progress absolves the world from working hard on other fronts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. When I speak about energy, I find too many people in my audiences putting far too much hope in the lone measure of phasing out petro-powered cars.
There’s a particular psychological phenomenon at work here: All humans tend to focus on one or two solutions to incredibly complex problems.
Robert Jervis, a political science professor at Columbia University, writes about how the brain can account for only a limited number of factors in considering any particular phenomenon. As a result, each of us tends to fixate on a small number of facets, and to give priority to the ones we understand. . .
So it makes sense that so many people have a tendency to focus intensely on electric cars as the antidote to climate change.  Unlike many other technologies that could prove significant – such as cleaner energy production from fusion, or carbon capture and storage to reduce existing greenhouse gas – even the nonscientists among us instantly grasp the idea of driving a car powered without oil.  Moreover, the intuition is correct in many ways: In the U.S., as in many other countries, the transportation sector generates more greenhouse gas emissions than any other sector. And over 90 percent of the fuel used in transportation is petroleum based. It therefore seems – and is – logical that if we can wean our own cars and trucks off of oil, our climate prospects will be dramatically improved.
There are, of course, some important details
 
LISTEN TO ARTICLE
6:37
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This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.
To contact the author of this story:
Meghan L. O'Sullivan at
Meghan_OSullivan@hks.harvard.edu
To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Philip Gray at
philipgray@bloomberg.net
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About the author
Meghan L. O’Sullivan is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist.
She is a professor of international affairs at Harvard’s Kennedy School, and a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. She served on the National Security Council from 2004 to 2007. Read more opinion

The Feds Give A Deadline: Fix The 19-Year Drought

. . . and how does the Arizona State Capitol react?
Last-Minute Cramming Sessions and Way-Too-Late On-The-Job Learning.
That's one way that can set our lawmakers on-fire:
The Threat of Fed Intervention


As Drought Deadline Looms, Arizona Lawmakers Take Water 101
| 14 Jan 2019 | 7:00am            
Arizona legislators and staff are attending closed-door primers on water policy in advance of a critical January 31 federal deadline for the state to approve the Drought Contingency Plan.
The first of three meetings occurred on Friday afternoon and lasted two and a half hours. The session was led by Central Arizona Project general manager Ted Cooke and Arizona Department of Water Resources Director Tom Buschatzke. 
Image 'borrowed' from Phoenix New Times
Senate staff said that the sessions were closed to the media and the public so that legislators and their staff could feel comfortable learning the basics of water policy away from public scrutiny. They were also trying to prevent stakeholders from swaying votes before legislation has even been drafted.
“We’re not trying to exclude anyone,” Philipsen said, outside of the meeting.
We’ll continue to be open about this whole process. . . "
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Because of the rapidly approaching federal deadline, signing off on the Drought Contingency Plan is at the forefront of the legislative agenda when lawmakers convene for the new session that starts today.
According to his office, the Drought Contingency Plan is a top priority of Arizona Governor Doug Ducey during the 54th Legislature, and he devoted significant time to the issue during his January 7 inaugural speech. Ducey is expected to address the drought planning again during his State of the State speech today.
Legislators will have just under three weeks to review and approve an extremely complex plan.
Within Arizona, drought negotiations have amounted to a fierce tug of war between cities, tribes, farmers and ranchers, developers, and other groups over who will give up some of their supply of Colorado River water, and at what price.
MORE INFORMATION + DETAILS > https://www.phoenixnewtimes.com/news

Arizona Republic Reporter Dustin Gardiner: Why We Need Scandals

"Scandals often have a limited shelf life for many members of the public," Diane Brown, executive director of the Arizona Public Interest Research Group said. "However, when similar scandals arrive time after time, it really is incumbent on elected officials to fix the root problem."

After a year of scandals, Arizona lawmakers still haven't created rules for conduct
Dustin Gardiner, Arizona Republic  
Published 6:00 a.m. MT Jan. 13, 2019 | Updated 2:36 p.m. MT Jan. 13, 2019]
"It was early 2018 and the cloud of sexual scandals and allegations hanging over the Arizona Legislature was heavy.
Former Rep. Don Shooter had just been expelled over accusations that he harassed multiple women with lewd gestures and words — the first expulsion in 27 years. 
And former state Sen. Steve Montenegro’s bid for Congress was imploding with revelations he exchanged flirtatious text messages and photos with a junior-level Senate staffer.
Whispers about other lawmakers also spread through the Capitol.
That’s when the Legislature’s top two leaders decided it was time to act, they said, for the public’s sake.
State Senate President Steve Yarbrough and House Speaker J.D. Mesnard, both R-Chandler, said they would appoint a bipartisan committee to write a code of conduct with rules outlining behavior expected of lawmakers.
But nearly a year later, no such rules for lawmakers have seen the light of day even with the next group of 90 legislators set to take office Monday.
 
. . . The committee Yarbrough and Mesnard talked about creating never even held a meeting. . . 
It’s now up to incoming House Speaker-elect Rusty Bowers, R-Mesa, and Senate President-elect Karen Fann, R-Prescott, to decide whether to go there.
Bowers said he thinks the Legislature should have some sort of code, but he's apprehensive. He said he briefly reviewed Mesnard's draft and hasn't decided whether to adopt it for staff.
He's also apprehensive about applying it to lawmakers.
"I don't know about instituting a one-size-fits-all code," Bowers said. "I don't want to prescribe every little action around this place. It might get busy. . .
 
READ MORE > click here

Official Bio/Profile: New District 4 Mesa City Council Member Jennifer Duff

The stage is now set for one new member to join the cast of elected officials.
Yes, dear readers, we have a new female member joining the all-male vanilla Mesa City Council after the stage-left exit of the incumbent Chris Glover who occupied the seat inside City Hall for eight years getting termed-out in 2018.
Jennifer Duff barely squeaked-into office by a slim margin in a close contest defeating Glover's second cousin Jake Brown in the November 2018 General Election where three other City Councilmember incumbents succeeded to second terms.
What do we know about the new D4 representative so far? 

Here's a summary of Ms. Duff's education and business experience:
  • Graduate of Mesa High School 
  • Associates AA degree in Fashion Merchandising from Mesa Community College
  • Buyer for Goldwater’s department store for six years
  • Career in Sports Fishing: Professional Bass Angler 1984
She was recognized as the top woman pro bass angler in the Southwest and is the only American woman to ever compete professionally in Japan
Duff lived in Japan in 1989 competing and promoting the sport
Duff is the President and Owner of Jef International, Inc., an import/export trading business specializing in sport fishing tackle.
She started the business in 1990
Duff also is the President and Owner of Lobina Lures, who has manufactured and distributed Rico brand topwater bass fishing lures since 1991
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It's clear from the brief official bio outlined above that Jen Duff is both 'a home-grown product' and an angler-of-sorts, who knows how to manufacture fishing lures.
It's remarkable that her two start-up business enterprises specialize in a fresh-water species of Bass that are rare in the desert Southwest where there are few clear-running streams.
Most fishing here is 'catch-and-release' for trout that are farm-raised-and-stocked into man-made ponds and lakes where only 40% survive.
According to the official bio, all of her leadership training was done in city-sponsored offerings: The Mesa Chamber of Commerce, Neighborhood Works and Mesa Fire/Medical
With a 2-year Associates Degree in Fashion Merchandising, and six years as a buyer for the now-defunct retail Goldwater's Department stores,  it's hard to see how that retail experience paved the way to co-found RAIL Community Development Corporation except to say most definitely 'the community' in District 4 can use some work!   
Retail: ________________________
Arts:   _________________________
Innovation: _____________________
Liveability: _____________________
 
What is Jenn Duff's VISION THING?
Saddled with a last name like that, there is a lot of work ahead. It's usual for newly-elected officials to enjoy "a honeymoon" period of time when first taking office - there are more than a few challenges for both the office-holder and the residents who live in District 4.
> With an almost 50-50 split in the vote how does she appeal to the other half?
> With her opponent endorsed in the race by other councilmembers, there are issues
> District 4 is home to the majority of 11 Opportunity Zones, classified as neglected and distressed areas with a high concentration of low-income households in census tracts . . .
the Downtown Area and Central Business District have been neglected for 40 years in spite of promises that the arts-and-culture-and- entertainment sector and public transit will deliver on their unfulfilled promises for economic development. Most of investments are made in the suburbs
> The City of Mesa has the highest level of POVERTY in America next to New Orleans - New Orleans has an excuse;
Mesa does not.
> Where is the leadership here?
> Likewise, there is a crisis in innovative, attainable and affordable housing
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District 4
Image result for mesa arizona, district 4 
 
Jen DuffElected to the Mesa City Council in November of 2018, Councilmember Jen Duff began her first term representing District 4 in January of 2019
 

Her term on the Council runs until January of 2023.
A Mesa native with British family roots that go back to Falcon Field during World War II, Duff is very active in the Mesa community.
> She spent six years on the Board of Directors of the i.d.e.a. Museum (formerly the Arizona Museum for Youth), serving two years as Vice Chair and two years as Chair. She was on the board during the 2014 rebranding of the museum.
> She has served on the City of Mesa Planning and Zoning Board and co-founded the Retail, Arts, Innovation and Livability (R.A.I.L) Community Development Corporation.
> In 2015 she was awarded the Mesa Community College Hall of Fame Alumni Achievement Award.
 
  • Duff is the President and Owner of Jef International, Inc., an import/export trading business specializing in sport fishing tackle. She started the business in 1990, following six years as a Professional Bass Angler. She was recognized as the top woman pro bass angler in the Southwest and is the only American woman to ever compete professionally in Japan. Duff lived in Japan in 1989 competing and promoting the sport.
  • Duff also is the President and Owner of Lobina Lures, who has manufactured and distributed Rico brand topwater bass fishing lures since 1991.
Prior to her career in sport fishing, Duff worked as a buyer for Goldwater’s department store for six years.
Duff is a graduate of Mesa High and earned her AA degree in Fashion Merchandising from Mesa Community College.
She completed:
Mesa Leadership Training and Development in 2012
Neighborhood Works Leadership Training in 201,   [typo error in original copy]
Mesa Chamber Leadership Development Program in 2018
Mesa Fire and Medical Inaugural Citizen's Academy in 2018.
 
Arizona Boards and CommitteesMesa Community College Development Board
R.A.I.L. CDC – Co-Founder
Past Boards and CommitteesCity of Mesa Planning and Zoning Board
i.d.e.a. Museum Board – Chair and Vice Chair
Unity Church of Mesa Board
Mesa Commerce Center Board
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Office of Councilmember Jen Duff
Phone: 480-644-3004
Fax: 480-644-2175
P.O. Box 1466
Mesa, Arizona 85211-1466
Email
Hours of Operation
M-Th 7am-6pm
Contact Information
Council Assistant
Jessica Potter
480-644-4745
Email
 
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Sunday, January 13, 2019

Operation Earnest Voice: Art Collective uses Part installation, part performance, part working think tank, Operation Earnest Voice aims to explore and interrogate the numerous tools, methods and strategies used to influence public opinion online

2 stories are posted here: both use a  wide range of tactics to manipulate public opinion, and to create new narratives that aim to disrupt the current political debate.
1 Operation Earnest Voice https://operationearnestvoice.co.uk/
Operation Earnest Voice is an online influencing agency. During 10th – 13th we’re setting up our Brexit Division office on the third floor of The Photographers' Gallery in central London. Our office will be accessible to both Gallery visitors and a live online audience.
The mission of our Brexit Division office is to reverse Brexit. 
Part installation, part performance, part working think tank, Operation Earnest Voice aims to explore and interrogate the numerous tools, methods and strategies used to influence public opinion online, from the generation of fake followers to the fabrication of images.
 
2 Operation Earnest Voice is an astroturfing campaign by the US government. The aim of the initiative is to use sockpuppets to spread pro-American propaganda on social
networking sites based outside of the US
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1 Our Story
We take our name and inspiration from Operation Earnest Voice, the US-sponsored campaign, whose purpose is to spread pro-American propaganda on social networking sites. 
The campaign relies on sockpuppets to comment and derail online conversations, with the goal of influencing and swaying the public opinion in any particular topic or theme.
China has a similar operation called The 50th Party and Russia's is called The Internet Research Agency. Our office uses similar tools and strategies to influence and sway the public.
Streamed live 13 hours ago
Over 4 days in January, the artist Jonas Lund will be transforming the 3rd Floor of the Gallery into an influencing office tasked with reversing Brexit.
Following an open recruitment call, twelve appointed staff members alongside guest experts will use their skills to collaboratively create a campaign using tactics that manipulate public opinion, and creating new narratives to disrupt the current political debate.

The office will be staffed between 10 – 6pm each day and open to the public. 
On offer will be a daily programme of events, strategy meetings and workshops critically reflecting on and subverting the strategies used by both the ‘Leave’ and ‘Remain’ campaigns as a way of exposing the machinations regularly deployed to sway opinion.

 
 

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2 Operation Earnest Voice is an astroturfing campaign by the US government. The aim of the initiative is to use sockpuppets to spread pro-American propaganda on social networking sites based outside of the US.
HERE'S THE TRANSCRIPT:
The campaign is operated by the United States Military Central Command (CENTCOM).
According to CENTCOM, the US-based Facebook and Twitter networks are not targeted by the program because US laws prohibit US state agencies from spreading propaganda among US citizens as according to the Smith-Mundt Modernization Act of 2012. However, according to the Smith-Mundt Modernization Act of 2012, dissemination of foreign propaganda to domestic audiences is expressly allowed over the internet including social media networks. Isaac R. Porche, a researcher at the RAND corporation, claims it would not be easy to exclude US audiences when dealing with internet communications.
The US government signed a $2.8 million contract with the Ntrepid web-security company to develop a specialized software, allowing agents of the government to post propaganda on "foreign-language websites".
Main characteristics of the software, as stated in the software development request, are:
> 50 user "operator" licenses, 10 sockpuppets controllable by each user.
Sockpuppets are to be "replete with background, history, supporting details, and cyber presences that are technically, culturally and geographically consistent".

Sockpuppets are to "be able to appear to originate in nearly any part of the world."
> A special secure VPN, allowing sockpuppets to appear to be posting from "randomly selected IP addresses," in order to "hide the existence of the operation."
> 50 static IP addresses to enable government agencies to "manage their persistent online personas," with identities of government and enterprise organizations protected which will allow for different state agents to use the same sockpuppet, and easily switch between different sockpuppets to "look like ordinary users as opposed to one organization."
> 9 private servers, "based on the geographic area of operations the customer is operating within and which allow a customer's online persona(s) to appear to originate from." These servers should use commercial hosting centers around the world.
> Virtual machine environments, deleted after each session termination, to avoid interaction with "any virus, worm, or malicious software."
USCC commander David Petraeus, in his congressional testimony, stated that Operation Earnest Voice would "reach regional audiences through traditional media, as well as via Web sites and regional public-affairs blogging."

However, his successor, James Mattis, altered the program to have "regional blogging" fall under general USCC public-affairs activity.
On how they would operate on these blogs, Petraeus explained:
"We bring out the moderate voices. We amplify those. And in more detail, we detect and we flag if there is adversary, hostile, corrosive content in some open-source Web forum, we engage with the Web administrators to show that this violates Web site provider policies."

Saturday, January 12, 2019

American Banks: Growing Jobs | Growing The Economy

A message from American Bankers Association
Blogger Note: taken from axios.com - it is paid content there
How do America’s Banks grow jobs and the economy?
 
 
America’s Banks employ more than 2.1 million people and fuel the economy with $9.7 trillion in consumer, small business, farm and other loans.
Click here to see how banks drive the economy in your state.
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Search
Banks' Economic Impact in Arizona
Banks fuel Arizona's economic growth through new home, small business and small farm loans to 7.6 million customers. They employ 53,896 people and provide more than $4.7 billion in total compensation annually
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EMPLOYEES
53,896
TOTAL ANNUAL COMPENSATION
Includes wages and benefits.
$4.7 Billion
AVERAGE TOTAL COMPENSATION
$87,735

New Year's News Blast From Arizona Governor Doug Ducey: A State-of-Mind "We All Work Together"

OK. Nice to start off that way for sure, but how long will it last? [see below]
Governor Ducey Delivers Second Inaugural Address
News Release
January 7, 2019
PHOENIX – During his inaugural address, Governor Doug Ducey urged elected officials from both parties to come together to tackle Arizona’s most pressing priorities, including securing our water future, continuing to grow our economy, building on our relationship with Mexico and protecting investments in public education. Governor Ducey also emphasized a continued focus on fiscal responsibility, noting that Arizona currently enjoys the largest projected budget surplus in a decade, and pledging to reject calls to raise taxes.
“Arizona has been a jobs magnet, but it’s time we become a jobs juggernaut -- where if you want to work, you can. Because here we won’t stand in the way of jobs; we welcome them with open arms. And we’re just getting started,” Governor Ducey said during the speech. 

Secretary of State Katie Hobbs, Attorney General Mark Brnovich, Treasurer Kimberly Yee, Superintendent of Public Instruction Kathy Hoffman and Mine Inspector Joe Hart also took the oath of office. Robert Uribe, Democrat Mayor of the City of Douglas, served as Master of Ceremonies while the grandchildren of the late Congressman Ed Pastor led the Pledge of Allegiance.
“Today I recommit to be governor for all the people,” Governor Ducey said.
“Civility and collaboration will carry us forward. This isn’t Washington, D.C. Here, we know each other. Name-calling and game playing don’t work. Good faith and good will, do.”
With the Governor of Sonora, Mexico, Claudia Pavlovich, also in attendance, Governor Ducey highlighted the continued partnership between Arizona and Sonora.
“Over the last four years, we’ve worked hard to build a relationship that’s founded on trust and mutual respect,” he said. “And today, I’m proud to say we’re more than just neighbors with Sonora - we’re partners, and that partnership is leading to more growth and prosperity for both our states.”
Read the governor’s full remarks > Here's the Link https://azgovernor.gov/governor/news
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Ducey says no to GOP senator’s proposed tax hike to fund education
Gov. Doug Ducey at the Jan. 7, 2019, inauguration. Photo by Jerod MacDonald-Evoy | Arizona Mirror
By by Jeremy Duda 11 Jan
 
 
 
 

Zelensky Calls for a European Army as He Slams EU Leaders’ Response

      Jan 23, 2026 During the EU Summit yesterday, the EU leaders ...