Monday, September 20, 2021

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Sept. 20. 2021: Scoop — Sinema issues ultimatum to Biden

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POLITICO Playbook: Scoop: Sinema issues ultimatum to Biden

INSIDE THE MODS’ CALCULATION: Progressives think if they band together and threaten to kill the infrastructure bill, it will convince moderate members to go along with the larger reconciliation package. But multiple sources — including a senior Democratic aide and several in the centrist camp — tell us the left is misreading their colleagues.

The upshot: Some moderates privately have decided that no infrastructure bill is better than one that’s paired with $3.5 trillion in spending.

SO LET’S PLAY THIS OUT: If the vote happens Sept. 27, it’s going to be close. Moderates think progressives are bluffing when they say half their 96-person caucus is willing to vote “no” — especially once Pelosi and Biden start whipping. But even if only 20 progressives oppose the bill, that means the party is going to have to rely on Republicans to pass it, since Pelosi can lose only three votes.

That could be a real problem. Leadership aides have openly acknowledged they don’t know if they have the votes to pass it. While 19 Republicans backed the BIF in the Senate, few expect that level of support to translate to the House, where DONALD TRUMP’s hold on GOP members is much stronger.

Perhaps you're an optimist and think these threats are the kind of posturing you’d expect with major legislation, and that Democrats will ultimately figure it out because the alternative would be a lot worse. It could happen! But at this moment, it does not look promising.

Welcome back Congress! Thanks for reading Playbook this Monday morning, where we don’t envy the shit sandwich Democrats are about to eat during this make-or-break legislative session. If you’ve got newsy nuggets on reconciliation talks, or the latest debt ceiling dish, we want to hear from you: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza, Tara Palmeri.

ALL POLITICS

2022 WATCH — JOSH MANDEL and J.D. VANCE have a new, more establishment, less Trumpy competitor in the Ohio GOP Senate primary: state Sen. MATT DOLAN.

2024 WATCH — Trump’s flirtation with a 2024 run isn’t scaring off other hopefuls — at least not yet. Fox News’ Paul Steinhauser writes that Iowa this year has already seen “eight potential Republican presidential contenders, the exact same numbers as there were in 2013,” while four have already visited New Hampshire.

POLICY CORNER

FILLING THE SWAMP — NYT’s Jesse Drucker and Danny Hakim take a microscope to how top accounting firms get favorable tax rules in place from inside the government. “Their tax lawyers take senior jobs at the Treasury Department, where they write policies that are frequently favorable to their former corporate clients, often with the expectation that they will soon return to their old employers. The firms welcome them back with loftier titles and higher pay, according to public records reviewed by The New York Times and interviews with current and former government and industry officials.”

MUSK-READ — ELON MUSK is on a collision course with the National Transportation Safety Board, WSJ’s Rebecca Elliott writes. Musk and Tesla want to roll out a major upgrade to their cars’ driver-assistance software, but the NTSB says it’s not ready.

IMMIGRATION FILES — AP’s Juan Lozano, Eric Gay, Elliot Spagat and Evens Sanon report on the latest in Del Rio, Texas, where U.S. authorities “flew Haitians camped in a Texas border town back to their homeland Sunday and tried blocking others from crossing the border from Mexico in a massive show of force that signaled the beginning of what could be one of America’s swiftest, large-scale expulsions of migrants or refugees in decades.”

— “How could they bring us back here?” one deportee told WaPo’s Widlore Merancourt and Anthony Faiola in Port-au-Prince.

THE PANDEMIC

BIDEN’S GAMBIT — The Atlantic’s Peter Nicholas examines “Why Biden Bet It All On Mandates”: “Biden’s bet, while risky, grows more solid by the day. Republicans are making a counterargument that they believe their base wants to hear, which would be fine if their base were sufficient to wrest control of Congress from the Democrats. Biden is trying to appeal to a wider audience. Two of the most prized voting blocs in an election—suburban and independent voters—favor Biden’s vaccine-mandate plan by solid margins.”

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

FRANCE FRACAS — Biden is angling to speak with French President EMMANUEL MACRON by phone in the days ahead, WaPo’s Tyler Pager, Anne Gearan and John Hudson report from Rehoboth Beach, Del. Meanwhile, French Foreign Minister JEAN-YVES LE DRIAN said on Sunday that “there is a real link between Afghanistan and what is happening with the Australia agreement. Except that in a real alliance, we talk to each other. We don’t hide…we respect each other,” WSJ’s Courtney McBride, Matthew Dalton and David Winning report.

— France has also canceled a meeting that was planned for this week with U.K. officials, according to Reuters.

THE U.N. AGENDA — AP sets the table for what faces the U.N. as more than 100 countries prepare to meet this week, facing “daunting challenges enough to scare anyone who runs a country, from an escalating climate crisis and severe vaccine inequities to Afghanistan’s future under its new Taliban rulers and worsening conflicts in Myanmar and the Tigray region of Ethiopia,” Edith Lederer writes.

Related reading: “Things to watch at the U.N. General Assembly meeting this week,” AP

PLAYBOOKERS

SPOTTED: Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.), masked and waiting in line to board a flight at the Atlanta airport. Pic

SPOTTED on the rooftop balcony at the Army Navy Country Club on Sunday night for Sean Spicer’s 50th birthday party: Rebecca Spicer, Reps. Jim Banks (R-Ind.) and Kat Cammack (R-Fla.), Chad Wolf, Alex Acosta, Reince and Sally Priebus, Adam Kennedy, Hogan Gidley, Tom Bossert and Jessica Ditto, Raj Shah, Joe Grogan, Boris Epshteyn, Steve Holland, Becca Glover, Michael Short and Natalie Strom Short, Ory Rinat and Will Kinzel.

SPOTTED on Saturday night at the Arlington home of Clinton White House alums Mary Morrison Alberg and Ian Alberg for a gathering to welcome back fellow Clinton alum Carolyn Wu and Josh Kurtzig after an 18-year stint in China: John and Mary Podesta, Melanne and Phil Verveer, Capricia and Rob Marshall, Pete Selfridge and Parita Shah, Scott Mulhauser and Kara Cascarden, Karen Tramontano, Sally Painter, Dan Rosenthal, June Shih and Josh Gerstein, Wenchi Yu, Dori Salcido and Patrick Briggs.

WHITE HOUSE ARRIVAL LOUNGE — Marc Aidinoff is joining the Office of Science and Technology Policy as a senior strategist. He most recently was a senior strategist for OpenLabs USA and Civis Analytics, and worked for Biden in the Obama White House.

TRANSITIONS — Nick Raineri is joining the Republican Main Street Caucus as its first executive director. He previously was director of member services for Rep. Jim Banks (R-Ind.). … Jeff Murray is now a senior manager at Google, leading policy for the search ecosystem. He previously was a VP at the Interactive Advertising Bureau, and is a Ted Cruz and Jim DeMint alum. …

… Dylan Chandler is joining Rep. Lance Gooden’s (R-Texas) office as comms director. He most recently has been senior health policy adviser to Rep. Jason Smith (R-Mo.) and the House Budget Committee, and is a Sean Duffy and David Valadao alum. … Jasmine Hooks is joining SKDK as deputy chief operating officer. She previously was chief operating officer in Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s office.

ENGAGED — Mollie Bowman, director of strategic initiatives and special projects at the Partnership for American Democracy and a POLITICO alum, and Oliver Macklin, an educator at the Landon School in Bethesda, got engaged Saturday. They met serving on a fundraising committee for the Jewish Federation of Greater Washington. She asked him if he wanted to go to Jeni’s with her afterward (he couldn’t that night, so their first date ended up being over rosé and their second over Jeni’s). Pic Another pic

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Francesca Craig … CNN’s Van Jones Kristen Holmes Brent Perrin Michael Kikukawa of the White House … Peter FlahertyAinsley Earhardt of “Fox & Friends” … Cathy Straight … MSNBC’s Rachel GlasbergDeborah Roberts … Washington Times’ Rowan ScarboroughShaun Waterman … NPR’s Neda Ulaby and Lauren Hodges … Bloomberg’s Drew Singer Aniello Alioto Dan Henning of Sirius XM Radio … Lloyd Blankfein … WaPo’s Colbert King Scott Kozar of Sena Kozar Strategies … Asha Campbell of Morning Consult … The Lily’s Caroline KitchenerAdam Howard … Edelman’s Tracy SarriaJoe MansourGraham Vyse … WaPo’s Sophia NguyenLisa BloomSophie Buzzell of Everfi … Maureen Shanahan Valerie Lapinski of Vox … Greg NantzHenry Samueli Ashley O’ConnorCaitlin BlairDonald SofferClay McClureBrian Wanglin … Georgia Supreme Court Justice Sarah Hawkins Warren (4-0)

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Send Playbookers tips to playbook@politico.com. Playbook couldn’t happen without our editor Mike Zapler, deputy editor Zack Stanton and producers Allie Bice, Eli Okun and Garrett Ross.

Arizona Water Banking Authority (“AWBA”)

A 3rd REVISION for the next meeting of _______ included this item on the Meeting Agenda Arizona Water Banking Authority (“AWBA”)
The Arizona Water Banking Authority (AWBA; Water Bank) was established in 1996 to store the unused portion of Arizona's annual Colorado River entitlement in Central and Southern Arizona.
The AWBA stores water in underground aquifers to earn long-term storage credits. These credits can be recovered (pumped) during a shortage to provide back-up water supplies (known as "firming") for Arizona water users.
Arizona Water Banking Authority | Banking Water Now For Arizona's Future
Through 2020, the Water Bank has accrued 4.36 million acre-feet (MAF) of long-term storage credits (LTSCs):
3.75 MAF for Arizona uses and
613 KAF on behalf of the State of Nevada. 
The AWBA firms water supplies for Central Arizona Project (CAP) Municipal and Industrial (M&I) subcontract holders and communities along the Colorado River. 
As the agent for the State, the AWBA is responsible for meeting the State's Indian firming obligations under the Arizona Water Settlements Act (AWSA).
The Water Bank also assists with meeting the State's water management objectives under the Groundwater Code and provides the mechanism for interstate water banking with the other Lower Basin States.
By storing water, the Water Bank helps to ensure long-term water supplies for Arizona and neighboring states.
Arizona Water Banking Authority | Banking Water Now For Arizona's Future

Announcements


2022 Tier One Shortage

The U.S. Secretary of the Interior has declared the first-ever Tier 1 shortage for Colorado River operations in 2022.

This Tier 1 shortage will result in a substantial cut to Arizona’s share of the Colorado River – about 30% of Central Arizona Project’s normal supply; nearly 18% of Arizona’s total Colorado River supply.

ADWR Fact Sheet>
 

2021 Joint Recovery Planning Update

The 2021 Joint Update is a collaborative effort among the AWBA, ADWR, CAP, RPAG and stakeholders to advance recovery planning. This Joint Update builds on previous planning efforts in the 2014 Plan, further discusses Independent Recovery concepts intended to increase flexibility and fully utilize existing infrastructure, includes an analysis of recovery capacity requirements focused on impacts to direct uses, and identifies future activities and commitments.

2021 Joint Update> 


2020 Annual Report

In 2020, the AWBA > recharged approximately 60,000 acre-feet in the Phoenix, Pinal and Tucson Active Management Areas,

> purchased 27,080 acre-feet of LTSCs and 6,390 AF of Intentionally Created Surplus (ICS) credits under its agreement with the Gila River Indian Community.

Cumulatively, the AWBA has accrued or acquired 4.36 million acre-feet (MAF) of LTSCs, 3.75 MAF are for Arizona uses and 0.61 MAF are interstate credits stored on behalf of the State of Nevada.

2020 Annual Report> 

Topics

Lake Mead and Hoover Dam

Recovery Planning

The Arizona Water Banking Authority coordinates with ADWR and CAWCD, working cooperatively to ensure recovery implementation is achievable when needed.

AWBA Map of Credits

Interactive Map

This interactive GIS map allows you to view AWBA credits at each storage facility and download the full data into excel.

AWBA LONG-TERM Storage Credits https://waterbank.az.gov/ltsc-map

Colorado River

Water Bank Timeline

The Water Bank was created in 1996 to store the unused portion of Arizona's Colorado River entitlement.

Arizona Water Banking Authority Logo

 

JOIN IN WITH YOUR INPUT: Maricopa Association of Governments (MAG) Air Quality Technical Advisory Committee Virtual Meeting Thu 09.23.2021 at

Introduction: Maricopa County has consistently exceeded and violated federal Clean Air Standards for year-after-year-after-year - and it's getting worse not better.
For readers of this blog, you know how many times in recent weeks how many High Ozone Pollution Advisories have been issued that impact public health with adverse consequences.
Here's is a continuously updated time-lapse map for the Air Quality Index in Maricopa County.
Please use the Searchbox at the top of this blog or on the right-hand sidebar for more information about exceedance reports that are available from EPA or ADEQ
Phoenix Weather Forecasts and Current Conditions - Phoenix, AZ Air Quality  Index
 
 
___________________________________________________________________________

A meeting of the MAG Air Quality Technical Advisory Committee has been scheduled for September 23, 2021 at 1:30 pm.

The meeting will be held as a virtual meeting only, with no in-person attendance options available at this time.

The agenda for the September 23, 2021, MAG Air Quality Technical Advisory Committee meeting has been posted on the MAG website at https://azmag.gov/Event/27136.

WHY NOT INCLUDE THE AGENDA FOR THIS MEETING OF THE AIR QUALITY TECHNICAL COMMITTEE IN THIS ANNOUNCEMENT INSTEAD OF IMPOSING ANOTHER HURDLE FOR THE PUBLIC TO VIEW IT??

FOR COMMITTEE MEMBERSCommittee members will receive instructions via email on how to participate in the meeting.

FOR NON-COMMITTEE MEMBERS AND THE PUBLIC

To attend the meeting noticed above by technological means, members of the public may follow the steps below:

 

> To watch a live video stream of the meeting, go to MAG’s YouTube channel at https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCPYm3GwUIqFxbIzTabenoVA.

> Members of the public may submit written comments relating to this meeting to azmag.gov/comment.

Comments may be sent at any time leading up to the meeting, but must be received at least one hour prior to the posted start time for the meeting.

If any member of the public has difficulty connecting to the meeting, please contact MAG at (602) 254-6300 for support.

Maricopa County Air Quality Department

EVENT AT PUEBLO GRANDE MUSEUM PHOENIX October 3, 2021

In 2019, the inaugural Portal festival unveiled the “Portal to the Past” art installation, a winner of the New Arizona Prize Water Public Art Challenge.
The piece, designed by local Arizona artist Zarco Guerrero, is a sculptural gate that incorporates images acknowledging the importance of the complex canal system created by the Ancestral Sonoran Desert People that we still use today.
The “Portal” is located along the Grand Canalscape offering access to the grounds of Pueblo Grande Museum and an interpretive trail highlighting the accomplishments of the first inhabitants of the Valley of the Sun.
NEW THIS YEAR:
Additional programs exploring modern and historic water issues following the Festival:
October 20: The Gila and The Salt - Our River Stories.
A performance with masks narrating the stories of Arizonans in both the Salt and Gila Rivers throughout the centuries of water use in the Valley;
November 3: Water is Life!
A community conversation about the use of water in the community, its history, and the present situation of water sources in the Valley.

Details

Pueblo Grande Museum
Duration: 2 hr

Pueblo Grande Museum and Cultural Coalition present Portal Fest on Sunday, October 3rd at 2pm!
An outdoor family friendly event, people of all ages will enjoy music and dance cultural performances from Arizona tribal communities.
Children's craft activities, gallery chats, and demonstrations by indigenous artisans Jacob Buttler and Ron Carlos.
Families can spend an afternoon exploring the history of water in Arizona, and learn about the importance of conservation as a resource in our community.
NEW THIS YEAR: Additional programs exploring modern and historic water issues following the Festival: October 20: The Gila and The Salt - Our River Stories. A performance with masks narrating the stories of Arizonans in both the Salt and Gila Rivers throughout the centuries of water use in the Valley; November 3: Water is Life! A community conversation about the use of water in the community, its history, and the present situation of water sources in the Valley.
In 2019, the inaugural Portal festival unveiled the “Portal to the Past” art installation, a winner of the New Arizona Prize Water Public Art Challenge. The piece, designed by local Arizona artist Zarco Guerrero, is a sculptural gate that incorporates images acknowledging the importance of the complex canal system created by the Ancestral Sonoran Desert People that we still use today. The “Portal” is located along the Grand Canalscape offering access to the grounds of Pueblo Grande Museum and an interpretive trail highlighting the accomplishments of the first inhabitants of the Valley of the Sun.
GUIDELINES FOR YOUR VISIT:
Stay Home if You’re Sick
If you are showing COVID-19 symptoms, please stay home. This is critical to the health and safety of our staff and communities.
Wear a Face Mask
Effective August 2, 2021, a mask or face covering will be required when inside a city facility, regardless of vaccinations status. We have masks available for those who need them.

From FSI/Stanford: A Report on Practices To Combat Information Manipulation

Introduction: The director of the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies is Michael McFaul, former ambassador to The Russian Federation under President Obama.
All Internet Observatory News September 17, 2021

Playbook shares best practices to combat information manipulation

The playbook will be launched on Monday 20 September at 9:30am ET. Stanford Internet Observatory
Combating Information Manipulation

"Efforts to undermine election-related information integrity are a growing threat to democracies around the world. These efforts  serve to delegitimize elections by reducing faith in elected governments, polarizing societies, and strengthening authoritarians. In many countries, civil society actors, journalists, governments, election management bodies and other democratic actors are on the frontlines of these battles. Yet, they face significant challenges preparing and responding to new digital threats as they occur before, during, and after elections. If democracies hope to defend free and fair political competition, concerted efforts are needed to identify, respond, and build long-term resilience to election-related information manipulation. 

To counter these threats, the International Republican Institute, National Democratic Institute and Stanford Internet Observatory collaborated to create Combating Information Manipulation: A Playbook for Elections and Beyond. Informed by best practices and lessons learned by civil society, governments, academics, and other practitioners around the world, the playbook is intended to help leapfrog the first six months of the electoral preparation process and enable societies to effectively push back against efforts undermining free and fair elections, supporting democratic processes and rights more broadly.

The playbook will be launched on Monday 20 September at 9:30am ET. You can attend the launch by registering for the event here:

Register

 
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