Wednesday, May 17, 2023

Biden Administration's 'Iron Curtain' to Contain China in The Indo-Pacific in Advance of G-7 Summit in Hiroshima, Japan

This budget positions the United States to up our game in the Indo-Pacific: the frontline in our competition with Beijing. 

Will Biden’s ‘little Nato’ G7 unity push cause an ‘economic iron curtain’ to fall over US-China relations?

  • The US president must navigate a delicate balance between countering China’s economic coercion and sowing more division, according to observers
  • Washington risks earning further ire for ‘inciting bloc confrontation’ – accelerating decoupling and driving China closer to Russia, they say

US President Joe Biden will attend the G7 summit in Hiroshima, Japan, on Friday. Photo: Reuters
US President Joe Biden will attend the G7 summit in Hiroshima, Japan, on Friday. Photo: Reuters

US President Joe Biden is expected to emphasise unity among Group of Seven countries during his visit to the Asia-Pacific, and highlight Washington’s dedication to the region amid escalating tensions with China and the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, analysts said.

Biden is attending a G7 summit this Friday in Japan’s Hiroshima, where he will deepen ties with long-time allies. He had then planned to travel to Papua New Guinea as the first sitting US president to visit the tiny island state and head to Sydney for a meeting with leaders of the Quad – but late on Tuesday scrapped the latter two stops in favour of returning to the US to negotiate with Republicans over raising the US debt ceiling.

While seeking to reassure partners at the G7 summit, Biden must navigate a delicate balance between countering China’s economic coercion and avoiding further division among US allies, observers said. . ."

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The Indo-Pacific is the most dynamic and fastest growing region in the world – with 50% of its population, 60% of global GDP, and eight out the top 10 U.S. export markets. 

It has driven 75% of global economic growth over the past five years. China invests 50% of its assistance and economic and diplomatic resources there. 

Our budget proposal will allow us to further deepen our diplomatic footprint in the Indo-Pacific – with $140 million in discretionary funding for new missions in the Pacific Islands and a surge of new positions in the region and beyond, including in the areas of greatest contestation with Beijing like technology, economics, and regional and international organizations.

. . .We are not demanding that other countries “choose” between us and China – but rather, are offering a more attractive choice. If we can spark a race to the top, that would be to everyone ’s benefit. Our budget sets us up to work with like-minded partners to strengthen our offer, and ensure it is relevant and responsive to the needs and aspirations of people around the world. That’s why our budget includes $2 billion in new investments in high-quality, sustainable infrastructure, rather than low-quality, opaque, extractive projects that leave countries mired in debt.

It would invest $2 billion to bolster Indo-Pacific economies and help the United States compete in areas where the PRC currently dominates and in key priorities for the region, including maritime security, disease surveillance, clean energy, and digital technology

This complements nearly $2.2 billion in discretionary funding for our Indo-Pacific partners to support critical investments in good governance, rule of law, clean energy, health security, security assistance, and vital regional institutions

And it contains over $7 billion to extend our economic engagement with the Freely Associated States via the Compacts of Free Association: a critical component of the Administration’s Indo-Pacific and National Security Strategy. 

Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken 

Senate Appropriations Committee Hearing on U.S.-China Competition 

May 16, 2023 

LINK: https://www.appropriations.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/SecState%20Blinken%20Testimony.pdf

"Chair Murray, Vice Chair Collins; State and Foreign Operations Chair Coons and Ranking Member Graham; distinguished members of the Senate Appropriations Committee: thank you for the opportunity to testify before you. 

I’m pleased to be here with Secretary Austin and Secretary Raimondo. 

This Administration is committed to leading a bipartisan, whole-of-government China strategy that advances U.S. interests and values and delivers for the American people. We stand at an inflection point. The post-Cold War era is over. 

There is an intense competition underway to shape what comes next

China represents the most consequential geopolitical challenge we face today: a country with the intent and, increasingly, the capability to challenge our vision for a free, open, secure, and prosperous international order. 

We of course cannot dictate Beijing’s path. And we cannot wait for China to change its trajectory. But we can put ourselves in a position of strength to compete intensely to shape the broader strategic environment around China and advance our vision. We are not trying to contain China. And in fact, the United States continues to have a comprehensive trade and investment relationship with China, as do most of our allies and partners. We are for de-risking and diversifying, not decoupling. That means investing in our own capacities and in secure, resilient supply chains; pushing for a level playing field for our workers and companies and defending against harmful trade practices; and ensuring that U.S. and allied technology isn’t used against us. . . .

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IEA's PIRLS (Progress is International Reading Literacy Study) -- PIRLS 2021 International Results in Reading

 

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PIRLS 2021 ONE LineREALREDbig Compressed

PIRLS 2021 INTERNATIONAL RESULTS IN READING

Pirls Icon Results Compressed

PIRLS 2021 is the fifth cycle of the Progress in International Reading Literacy Study. Since 2021, PIRLS has provided high-quality data for monitoring progress in students’ reading achievement at the fourth grade, covering 20 years of trends. The PIRLS reading assessment is based on a comprehensive framework that focuses on two overarching purposes for reading — for literary experience and to acquire and use information. PIRLS 2021 results provide descriptions of students’ reading skills and strategies at four international benchmarks on the PIRLS reading achievement scale for meaningful interpretation of reading achievement scores.


Reporting the PIRLS 2021 Achievement Results

Reading achievement results are included in PIRLS 2021 International Results in Reading for all 57 countries and 8 benchmarking entities that participated in PIRLS 2021. Concerns about the comparability of the data resulting from COVID-19 school disruptions and delayed testing complicated reporting the PIRLS 2021 results.

PIRLS and TIMSS have built a reputation for reporting high quality data, but not all data collected meet the expected guidelines. In such cases, PIRLS and TIMSS use annotations to identify results based on data that for some reason fell short of meeting the expected guidelines. The goal is to be clear about issues while still reporting countries’ data. See discussion “Impacts of Modifying the Assessment Schedule on Students’ Achievement” in Countries’ Reading Achievement.

The achievement results for all countries that assessed fourth grade students at the end of the school year are presented according to average achievement in Exhibit 1.1, with the countries that assessed the fourth grade students one year later annotated. Exhibit 1.1 is followed by Exhibit 1.2, which has guidelines for determining significant differences in average reading achievement between the Exhibit 1.1 countries. Exhibit 1.3 includes all the countries presented according to average achievement, with the delayed assessment countries that assessed the fourth grade cohort at the beginning of the fifth grade highlighted in pink.

While PIRLS cannot determine cause and effects, in general there are downward trends in PIRLS 2021 that likely are evidence of the assessment taking place during the COVID-19 pandemic. Because the pandemic was unprecedented in the history of PIRLS trend assessments, the trends between 2016 and 2021 are shown with dotted lines. This should alert researchers that care should be taken when interpreting the PIRLS 2021 results. Similar to the approach used for the PIRLS 2021 achievement data, the trend results for the countries that assessed fourth grade students are in one exhibit, with the “one year later countries” clearly annotated as having a 6-year trend instead of a 5-year trend between 2016 and 2021. Trend results for the countries with delayed assessments at the fifth grade need to be interpreted with great care due to the age difference and are shown in a separate exhibit.