Tuesday, March 03, 2026
Europe’s economy can ride out Iran war — if over in a month
For now, most don’t see the upswing in oil as a permanent adjustment.
The next four weeks will determine whether Europe’s economy is facing a fresh crisis or simply a speed bump in its recovery.
Synopsis
Europe's economic recovery hangs in the balance for the next four weeks. US strikes on Iran could trigger a new crisis or a minor disruption. A prolonged conflict risks higher energy costs and inflation, impacting the euro zone's fragile revival. Economists are closely watching developments, with potential impacts on consumer prices and economic growth across major economies.
Europe’s economy can ride out Iran war — if over in a month
Jana Randow, Bloomberg
“Investors are acting cautiously and are betting on a relatively short conflict,”
---said Tobias Basse of NordLB.
He highlighted that Germany’s benchmark DAX index — currently at about 24,100 — “remains focused on the psychologically important 25,000-point mark.”
Investment manager BlackRock has a similar view.
Investment manager BlackRock has a similar view.
“Markets and clients that we’re speaking with are looking at this as a volatility shock and not as a supply shock, and there’s an important distinction between the two,” ---Karim ..
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