Saturday, May 27, 2023

HOTTER THAN EVER: Inflation is "Sticky"

Economists thought price gains would fade quickly in 2021 — making now-infamous predictions that inflation would prove “transitory” — only to have those projections proved wrong time and again as booming consumer demand for goods collided with roiled global supply chains that could not ramp up production fast enough.

A Stock Market Bubble? It's More Like a Fire - WSJ

Lately, it is more than just shortages of goods at play. Price gains are increasingly hitting consumers in hard-to-avoid ways as they show up in necessities: January’s inflation reading was driven by food, electricity and shelter costs, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said. . .

Understand Inflation in the U.S.

Ryan Sweet, an economist at Moody’s Analytics, estimated that inflation was costing the average household $276 a month, compared with a more normal rate of inflation, which had been hovering just around 2 percent before the pandemic. . .



Twitter Results

This stunning @WSJ graph would constitute a great question for an economics exam -- along the lines of "What accounts for this major dispersion in food #inflation, and what should policymakers do about it?" #economy #econtwitter #markets
Twitter · 23 hours ago
Like many economists and market participants, my working assumption has been--and remains--that Washington DC will resolve the #DebtCeiling saga. But this is not to say that there are no adverse longer-term spillovers including: Further erosion of trust domestically in the…
Twitter · 1 day ago
Higher yields and a more inverted 2s-10s curve in response to (across-the- board) hotter than expected US data — also complicating an already partially-botched Fed hiking cycle. More to follow. #economy #inflation #bonds #fed #federalreserve #centralbanks
Twitter · 23 hours ago
Nice graphic from @mckonomy. Thank you, Mike. This lineup comes ahead of Today's PCE price index, known as the #Fed's favorable #inflation gauge; Next week's #jobs report; June 13th CPI inflation; and, of course, June 13-14 FOMC policy meeting with the pause/skip/hike…
Twitter · 1 day ago
One of the video clips from this morning's conversation with @FerroTV. Thank you, Jonathan, for having me on your show. www.youtube.com/watch?v… #economy #econtwitter #markets #inflation #fed #federalreserve #centralbanks #interestrates
Twitter · 19 hours ago

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Believe it or not > This is severa degrees above the daily "normal" for summer temperatures...remainder of the week a degree or two warmer :)

  US National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona   t͏ o͏ r͏ o͏ S͏ d͏ n͏ p͏ e͏ s͏ 5͏ 3͏ 8͏ c͏ u͏ 5͏ a͏ 6͏ 1͏ t͏ f͏ 2͏ c͏ 6͏ m͏ g͏ 4͏ u͏ i͏ 1͏ 5͏...