27 May 2023

HOTTER THAN EVER: Inflation is "Sticky"

Economists thought price gains would fade quickly in 2021 — making now-infamous predictions that inflation would prove “transitory” — only to have those projections proved wrong time and again as booming consumer demand for goods collided with roiled global supply chains that could not ramp up production fast enough.

A Stock Market Bubble? It's More Like a Fire - WSJ

Lately, it is more than just shortages of goods at play. Price gains are increasingly hitting consumers in hard-to-avoid ways as they show up in necessities: January’s inflation reading was driven by food, electricity and shelter costs, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said. . .

Understand Inflation in the U.S.

Ryan Sweet, an economist at Moody’s Analytics, estimated that inflation was costing the average household $276 a month, compared with a more normal rate of inflation, which had been hovering just around 2 percent before the pandemic. . .



Twitter Results

This stunning @WSJ graph would constitute a great question for an economics exam -- along the lines of "What accounts for this major dispersion in food #inflation, and what should policymakers do about it?" #economy #econtwitter #markets
Twitter · 23 hours ago
Like many economists and market participants, my working assumption has been--and remains--that Washington DC will resolve the #DebtCeiling saga. But this is not to say that there are no adverse longer-term spillovers including: Further erosion of trust domestically in the…
Twitter · 1 day ago
Higher yields and a more inverted 2s-10s curve in response to (across-the- board) hotter than expected US data — also complicating an already partially-botched Fed hiking cycle. More to follow. #economy #inflation #bonds #fed #federalreserve #centralbanks
Twitter · 23 hours ago
Nice graphic from @mckonomy. Thank you, Mike. This lineup comes ahead of Today's PCE price index, known as the #Fed's favorable #inflation gauge; Next week's #jobs report; June 13th CPI inflation; and, of course, June 13-14 FOMC policy meeting with the pause/skip/hike…
Twitter · 1 day ago
One of the video clips from this morning's conversation with @FerroTV. Thank you, Jonathan, for having me on your show. www.youtube.com/watch?v… #economy #econtwitter #markets #inflation #fed #federalreserve #centralbanks #interestrates
Twitter · 19 hours ago

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