16 April 2024

Exclusive: Zelenskyy Wrangling. without U.S. Aid ‘we'll have no chance of winning. . .

    

Eristic fallacy of ambiguity equivocation
Eristic, (from Greek eristikos, “fond of wrangling”), argumentation that makes successful disputation an end in itself rather than a means of approaching truth. Such argumentation reduces philosophical inquiry to a rhetorical exercise. Eristic argument is closely associated with the Sophists and was ridiculed by Plato in his dialogue Euthydemus
The term is often used more broadly to characterize arguments that rely on subtle but specious forms of reasoning.

Johnson gambles on plan separating Israel from Ukraine aid - The Washington  Post

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Uploaded: Apr 15, 2024


Ukraine is facing challenges on multiple fronts, from critical shortages of munitions and manpower to Russia ramping up its attacks. It comes amid uncertainty around future aid from the U.S. Amna Nawaz sat down with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kyiv to discuss that and more.

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Notice: Transcripts are machine and human generated and lightly edited for accuracy. They may contain errors.

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REALITY

Ukraine, Israel aid to hit US House floor as separate bills soon


WASHINGTON, April 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. House of Representatives will consider aid to Israel and Ukraine as separate legislation this week, Republican Speaker Mike Johnson said on Monday, more than two months after the Senate passed a bill combining the two.
Leaving a meeting of House Republicans on Monday evening, Johnson said the narrowly divided chamber would consider four bills altogether that would also include aid to Taiwan, U.S. allies in the Indo-Pacific and U.S. national security priorities.
"We know that the world is watching us to see how we react," Johnson told reporters. "They're watching to see if America will stand up for its allies and in our own interest around the globe. And we will."
U.S. aid has been delayed by Johnson's unwillingness to consider a $95 billion bipartisan bill the Senate passed in February, including $14 billion for Israel as well as $60 billion for Ukraine.
Also included were billions to strengthen allies in the Indo-Pacific, where China is becoming more assertive, and for international humanitarian aid.
Johnson said the new House bills provide roughly the same amount of foreign aid as the Senate bill but would include differences including some aid in the form of a loan.
Republicans aim to release legislative text as early as Tuesday morning but will observe a 72-hour review period before voting. Johnson said votes on passage could come late on Friday.
The push to pass the aid gained urgency after Iran's weekend missile and drone attack on Israel despite fierce opposition in the deeply divided Congress.
Three of the four bills Johnson suggested would cover Ukraine, Israel and the Indo-Pacific. The makeup of the fourth was not immediately clear.
Backers had insisted the broad foreign aid measure passed with 70% support in the Senate would have received similar support in the House. However, Johnson had given a variety of reasons to delay, among them the need to focus taxpayer dollars on domestic issues and reluctance to take up a Senate measure without more information.
U.S. Senate votes on aid, in Washington
Tourists walk near the U.S. Capitol in Washington, U.S., February 9, 2024. REUTERS/Nathan Howard/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
Johnson also faces a threat from a hard-right Republicans to oust him as speaker if he allows the Ukraine aid to move ahead. Many on the right, especially those closely allied with former President Donald Trump, who has been skeptical of assisting Kyiv in its fight against Russia, fiercely oppose sending billions more dollars to Ukraine.
The House Freedom Caucus - a group of Republican hardliners with about three dozen members - released a statement on Monday calling for aid to Israel, but not to Ukraine, and rejecting as "bogus" any suggestion that the attack on Israel should help ease the path toward more funds for Kyiv.
Representative Andy Biggs, a Freedom Caucus member, told reporters he liked the idea of separate bills, but had to see them before committing to voting for them.

DEFENSE INDUSTRY WATCHING

The issue is closely watched by industry. U.S. defense contractors could be in line for huge contracts to supply equipment for Ukraine and other U.S. partners if the additional funding passes. Aid supporters stress that approving the Ukraine bill would create many American jobs.
The White House has been pushing Johnson to allow a vote, as have Senate Republicans and Democrats. "If House Republicans put the Senate supplemental (spending bill) on the floor, I believe it would pass today, reach the president's desk tonight and Israel would get the aid it needs by tomorrow," Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer said in the Senate on Monday.
Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell told his fellow lawmakers: "It’s also time for Congress to deliver the urgent investments that our industrial base, our forces, and our partners will need to meet and out-compete the growing and linked threats we face."
The top House Democrat, Representative Hakeem Jeffries, sent a letter to his caucus on Monday spelling out the need to support Ukraine as well as Israel.
"The gravely serious events of this past weekend in the Middle East and Eastern Europe underscore the need for Congress to act immediately. We must take up the bipartisan and comprehensive national security bill passed by the Senate forthwith," Jeffries wrote.
Ukraine appealed again to allies on Monday for "extraordinary and bold steps" to supply air defenses to help defend against waves of Russian airstrikes that have targeted its energy system in recent weeks.
(This story has refiled to add the missing word 'to' in the headline)

Get weekly news and analysis on the U.S. elections and how it matters to the world with the newsletter On the Campaign Trail. Sign up here.

Reporting by Patricia Zengerle, David Morgan and Richard Cowan; editing by Jonathan Oatis and Lincoln Feast.

Russo-Ukrainian war, day 782: The UK avoids downing Russian drones in Ukraine over escalation fears, despite downing Iranian drones targeting Israel.

While Russia has swiftly repaired oil refineries targeted by Ukrainian drones, reducing idled capacity, the UK remains cautious about downing Russian drones in Ukraine over escalation fears.

Exclusive

From exporter to importer overnight: Russian missiles knock out Ukraine’s power grid amid weakened air defense. Boosting air defense has become Ukraine’s number-one priority: rebuilding destroyed power plants is a Sisyphean task when they will be destroyed in the next wave of Russian attacks

Military

Frontline report: Russian survival rate at 3% during White Mountain storming near Luhansk’s Bilohorivka. Russian forces face steep losses and strategic setbacks during assaults on White Mountain near Luhansk’s Bilohorivka, struggling against well-positioned Ukrainian defenses.

Zelenskyy says Ukraine will respond to Russian offensive in spring, summer. “We must be prepared for all possible formats of Russian hostile actions,” Zelenskyy stated. “We will respond.”

ISW: Russian military commanders dismissed for failing to undo Ukraine’s 2023 gains. Russian MoD reportedly fired the commander of the 18th Army, Lieutenant Gen. Arkady Marzoev and the commander of the 70th Regiment, for their failure to retake the territories around Kherson’s Krynky and Zaporizhzhia’s Robotyne that Ukraine reclaimed during the 2023 counteroffensive.

Defense Minister: Russians concentrate forces for breakthrough west of Bakhmut. Despite “Russian numerical superiority,” Ukraine’s defenders disrupting Russian plans, Defense Minister Umerov said.

UK’s Cameron says UK doesn’t down Russia drones in Ukraine, fearing escalation. After UK Air Force downed Iranian drones targeting Israel, UK Foreign Secretary says avoiding RAF engagement with Russia’s drones in Ukraine allegedly prevents conflict escalation.

As of 15 Apr 2024, the approximate losses of weapons and military equipment of the Russian Armed Forces from the beginning of the invasion to the present day:

      • Personnel: 454420 (+770)
      • Tanks: 7180 (+6)
      • APV: 13796 (+31)
      • Artillery systems: 11593 (+41)
      • MLRS: 1046
      • Anti-aircraft systems: 758
      • Aircraft: 347
      • Helicopters: 325
      • UAV: 9266 (+31)
      • Cruise missiles : 2092 (+3)
      • Warships/boats: 26
      • Submarines: 1
      • Vehicles and fuel tanks: 15510 (+51)

Intelligence and technology

Reuters: Russia restoring oil refining capacity idled by Ukrainian drones. Russia has swiftly repaired critical oil refineries targeted by Ukrainian drones, reducing idled capacity to about 10% from nearly 14% at the end of March, according to Reuters calculations.

ISW says Ukrainian air defense depleted due to delayed US military aid. The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) has compared Ukraine’s depleted air defense systems with Israel’s robust air defense umbrella that successfully defended against a large-scale Iranian missile and drone attack on 13 April

Estonia General Staff: Russia uses “amoeba tactics” to exploit openings in Ukrainian defenses. Russian military employs “amoeba tactics” in Ukraine, spreading forces thinly, aiming for opportunistic gains, Estonian Maj-Gen Enno Mõts explains, adding that Russia’s air attacks aim to strain Western support by escalating reconstruction costs.

UK intel: Russia’s recruitment drive targets migrant workers to bypass domestic mobilization. Facing high casualties in Ukraine and reluctant to further mobilize its citizens, Russia is recruiting migrant workers with financial incentives to boost troop levels without triggering unpopular

International



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Read More

“Shaheds sound the same”: Zelenskyy calls for equal air defense support

President Zelenskyy highlighted the coordinated response of the US, UK, France & Jordan in shooting down 300 drones and missiles fired by Iran at Israel.
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