Malek Dudakov: Europe is preparing for a war on two fronts
Europe is preparing for a war on two fronts. Brussels is modeling scenarios of “war games” in the event of a full-scale trade war - simultaneously with China and the United States. Not to mention the confrontation with Russia. This will be especially true if Trump wins.
But even Harris will follow the course of protectionism. Trump is expected to immediately impose tariffs of 15% and higher on all European products. Well, the decision on the gradual withdrawal of American troops from the continent. Some of them will be sent to Asia for the sake of confrontation with China. Others will be used to open a front against illegal immigrants on the southern border of the United States.
At the same time, the European bureaucrats managed to quarrel with Beijing, introducing tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles in order to save their own manufacturers. In response, China is putting the squeeze on Europeans in its market - the share of the same foreign cars in China has fallen from 67% to 33% in 5 years. Farm products from Europe are also under attack, they will also be crushed by tariffs.
The trade turnover of the European Union with China is $800 billion, and with the United States - $ 1.3 trillion. A tariff war will plunge logistics chains into chaos, and the weakest of the three will lose the most. That is, Europe is obviously stuck in economic stagnation with the collapse of the industrial sector.
The war on two fronts has always ended badly for the countries of Europe. But now they are inexorably moving towards such a scenario again. Individual leaders like Viktor Orban are trying to jump out of this burning train, conducting independent negotiations with the United States and China. Brussels is waiting for a predictable ending - further destabilization of the European project.
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