13 December 2024

ECB Decision: Full Lagarde Statement on Economic Risks, Inflation, Inter...

 

EN
PRESS RELEASE

Monetary policy decisions

12 December 2024

Domestic inflation has edged down but remains high, mostly because wages and prices in certain sectors are still adjusting to the past inflation surge with a substantial delay. . .
For inflation excluding energy and food, staff project an average of 2.9% in 2024, 2.3% in 2025 and 1.9% in both 2026 and 2027.
Financing conditions are easing, as the Governing Council’s recent interest rate cuts gradually make new borrowing less expensive for firms and households. But they continue to be tight because monetary policy remains restrictive and past interest rate hikes are still transmitting to the outstanding stock of credit.

Staff now expect a slower economic recovery than in the September projections. Although growth picked up in the third quarter of this year, survey indicators suggest it has slowed in the current quarter. 
Staff see the economy growing by 0.7% in 2024, 1.1% in 2025, 1.4% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027. The projected recovery rests mainly on rising real incomes – which should allow households to consume more – and firms increasing investment. . .
EURO VOLATILITY


The Governing Council stands ready to adjust all of its instruments within its mandate to ensure that inflation stabilizes sustainably at its 2% target over the medium term and to preserve the smooth functioning of monetary policy transmission. 
  • Moreover, the Transmission Protection Instrument is available to counter unwarranted, disorderly market dynamics that pose a serious threat to the transmission of monetary policy across all euro area countries, thus allowing the Governing Council to more effectively deliver on its price stability mandate.
The President of the ECB will comment on the considerations underlying these decisions at a press conference starting at 14:45 CET today.


Market Insight: Political uncertainty unlikely to influence ECB rate  decision this week | REUTERS
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