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Market Extra

The bond market is flashing a signal not seen since before the 2008 crisis

The 2-year Treasury yield spiked above the fed-funds rate target and produced a deeper, worrisome trading pattern for investors

By Vivien Lou Chen

Last Updated: March 19, 2026 at 3:40 p.m. ET
First Published: March 19, 2026 at 3:23 p.m. ET

2

The 2-year yield rose above the fed-funds rate target, while the Treasury curve continued to flatten on Thursday. Photo: MarketWatch/Getty Images, iStockphoto

Referenced Symbols

• BRN00

  -1.93%

• CLJ26

  -1.81%

• TMUBMUSD02Y

  3.803%

• SPX

  -0.27%

• TMUBMUSD10Y

  4.257%

Troubling developments unfolded in the U.S. bond market on Thursday that had some investors drawing comparisons with the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis.