MIT researchers published 'The Limits to Growth' utilizing the World3 computer model. The model predicted that ongoing unchecked economic and extraction driven markets would likely lead to a collapse of industrial civilization in this century.
A fascinating study from MIT in 1972 predicted societal collapse by 2040, and new analysis shows we are still on track. In our current system design, which is self-terminating, this totally makes sense.
Recent validation of that original model by Gaya Herrington, a director at KPMG, whose 2020 study found that modern real-world data closely align with the book’s “business-as-usual” trajectory.
- According to her findings, if current trends continue without major systemic change, global economic decline could begin within this decade and possibly result in societal collapse around 2040.
A more recent recalibrations of the World3 model reaffirm this trajectory, reinforcing the urgency of reconsidering our growth-oriented systems.
- Since 2009, we have been calling for a focus on total system re-design with our work. For years, this was ridiculed.
- But here we are 16 years later, and more and more people are realizing what truly needs to be done.

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