Sunday, January 30, 2022

ALTERNATIVE SLATE OF ELECTORS: The Kooky Klinker in The Electoral College Count 2020

The 59 Republicans Who Joined Electoral Voter Fraud Scheme For Trump Could Face Prison

What seemed like political theater at the time actually violated state and federal fraud laws, according to current and former prosecutors.

<div class=__reading__mode__extracted__imagecaption>House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Vice President Mike Pence conduct a joint session of Congress to certify the Electoral College votes for the 2020 presidential election in the House chamber on Jan. 6, 2021. Soon after, Donald Trump supporters attacked the U.S. Capitol in an attempt to circumvent the process.

WASHINGTON ― Dozens of local and state Republican leaders who showed their loyalty to Donald Trump by casting fake electoral votes for him a year ago may now face prison time in return for that devotion.

Because as the House select committee investigating the U.S. Capitol riot on Jan. 6, 2021, starts to look into the origins of the scheme to send “alternate” ballots to Congress from states narrowly won by Joe Biden, the 59 ersatz Trump electors who claimed to be “duly elected and qualified” could face federal charges ranging from election fraud to mail fraud, in addition to a range of state-level charges.

And in two of the states, the Democratic attorneys general are openly calling on the Department of Justice to act.

“I believe it’s critical that the federal government fully investigates and prosecutes any unlawful actions in furtherance of any seditious conspiracy,” said Josh Kaul, attorney general of Wisconsin, where 10 Republicans filed papers claiming to be the state’s electors even though Biden narrowly won there.

“This is a crime,” Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel told reporters earlier this month, adding that calling the elector slate “alternate” did a disservice and that it should be called a “false, counterfeit, fake slate of electors.”

In her state, 16 Republican office holders and party officials filed paperwork claiming then-President Trump had won the state even though he had lost it by 154,000 votes. “This is election fraud, and it’s many other crimes as well, both, I believe, at the state and the federal level.”

Deputy U.S. Attorney General Lisa Monaco on Tuesday confirmed to CNN that Justice Department prosecutors “are looking at those” but would not comment further.

Arizona, where 11 Republicans filed papers falsely claiming to be the state’s electors; Georgia, which had 16; and Nevada, which had six, account for the rest of the 59.

Georgia Republican Party Chairman David Shafer, though, said he and the other 15 Georgians who sent electoral votes for Trump did so only to make sure Trump could continue pushing a lawsuit alleging vote fraud.

“There’s been no credible suggestion that there’s anything wrong,” he told HuffPost. “We made it very clear what we were doing. We did it right out in the open.”

But Georgia’s would-be GOP electors chose not to include language clarifying that they would actually only be the “duly elected and qualified” electors in the event that a court challenge or other proceeding reversed the outcome there ― the approach taken by Trump slates in two other states.

Five New Mexico Trump supporters filed a “certification” that began: “We, the undersigned, on the understanding that it might later be determined that we are the duly elected and qualified electors ...”

And 20 Republicans in Pennsylvania went even further to make clear that their paperwork was not valid unless the Nov. 3 election result was reversed in their state. “We, the undersigned, on the understanding that if, as result of a final non-appealable Court Order or other proceeding prescribed by law, we are ultimately recognized as being the duly elected and qualified electors,” their paperwork began.

That proviso was key to Pennsylvania Attorney General Josh Shapiro’s decision not to prosecute the 20. “These ‘fake ballots’ included a conditional clause that they were only to be used if a court overturned the results in Pennsylvania, which did not happen,” he said in a statement. “Though their rhetoric and policy were intentionally misleading and purposefully damaging to our democracy, based on our initial review, our office does not believe this meets the legal standards for forgery.”

According to Shafer, it was Trump’s lawyers in Georgia who told him and his group that any changes to the language they had provided would endanger Trump’s legal challenge in state court alleging fraud and other election “irregularities.”

“We were told not to alter the form,” he said, but pointed to an accompanying statement on Dec. 14, 2020, the date of the Electoral College vote, that explained that the GOP slate was being sent to Congress and the National Archives only to “preserve [Trump’s] rights under Georgia law.”

Still, the decision not to include explanations along those lines in the actual documents the five GOP slates sent to Washington, D.C., may prove costly should federal prosecutors zero in on Shafer and the 58 others.

Glenn Kirschner, a former federal prosecutor, said the potential federal crimes include forgery, obstruction of an official proceeding, conspiracy to commit fraud and, because the material was sent to its recipients via the Postal Service, mail fraud. The more serious of the offenses carry prison terms as long as 20 years.

“That’s not an exhaustive list,” he said, adding that the potential penalties could help prosecutors get some of those involved to provide information as to how the scheme came together and implicate those planners. “They are far more likely to cooperate if the DOJ leveraged them…. These folks should all be charged yesterday.”

The source of the scheme, however, was clear even as it was unfolding. The Trump White House was pushing it openly while outside adviser Steve Bannon was promoting it almost daily on his podcast. On the actual day of the Electoral College vote, top White House aide Stephen Miller laid it out it on a Fox News appearance.

“As we speak, an alternate slate of electors in the contested states is going to vote, and we are going to send those results to Congress,” Miller said.

Miller hung up Wednesday when contacted by HuffPost about that statement.

The White House’s plan for those “alternate” slates nevertheless was made clear in a memo by lawyer John Eastman, who presented it to Trump himself in the Oval Office. Because some states had “competing” slates of electors, Vice President Mike Pence could simply not count either set and leave those states out of the total entirely. “There are at this point 232 votes for Trump, 222 votes for Biden. Pence then gavels President Trump as re-elected,” Eastman wrote.

Trump’s tweets in that period suggest that he, too, was fully aware of the alternate slate scheme as he repeatedly urged Pence to abuse his authority as presiding officer during the certification ceremony.

“The Vice President has the power to reject fraudulently chosen electors,” he wrote, falsely, on Jan. 5.

“Many States want to decertify the mistake they made in certifying incorrect & even fraudulent numbers in a process NOT approved by their State Legislatures,” Trump wrote in an early morning Twitter message on Jan. 6. “Mike can send it back!”

DO READ MORE >> https://www.huffpost.com/entry/fake-electors-prison-capitol-riot-2020-election_n_61f1c3e3e4b02de5f513fa73 

Gramercy's El-Erian, Koenigsberger on Fed, Emerging Markets, China...

Making Sense of a Wild Week

Saturday, January 29, 2022

MARKET WATCH: Marking Its First Bear Market since 09 March 2020

Market Pulse  

Stock-market index that led the pandemic-fueled tumble just entered a bear-market for the first time in 2 years

""The Russell 2000 index, which gauges the performance of small-capitalization stocks, ended Thursday down more than 20% from its recent high, meeting the commonly used definition of a bear market.

The index RUT, -2.29%, which closed at a record of 2,442.742 on Nov. 8, finished about 21% from its peak on Thursday, marking its first bear market since March 9, 2020. The index needed to avoid a close at or below 1,954.19 to avert a bear market, but selling pressure forced the index deep into the red.

FactSet

The index led the way in the past stock-market downturn in 2020 as the COVID pandemic took hold in the U.S. The benchmark is often viewed as an area of the market that tends to be more sensitive to concerns about economic growth, rising inflation and rising interest rates, all conditions that the economy is experiencing or will likely experience in coming months as the U.S. Federal Reserve sets the stage for a series of rate increases starting in March.

After the Russell 2000 index entered a bear market in early March, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.02% closed in bear market on March 11. The S&P 500 SPX, -0.54% and Nasdaq Composite COMP, -1.40% entered bear markets a day later.

Flash forward to 2022 and the Nasdaq Composite is already in correction, defined as a decline of at least 10% (but not more than 20%) from its Nov. 19 peak. The index is about 17% from its November peak and the S&P 500 stands about 10 points from a correction, as of Thursday’s close."

Facts USA: The changing American family

Comparing Omicron to the first COVID-19 winter 

It's well-documented that winters, with more Americans gathering indoors and a plethora of holidays that bring people together, have meant high case numbers in this pandemic. But how does this Omicron surge compare to previous winters? This new report has the data to evaluate the weeks after Thanksgiving 2021 against the first COVID-19 winter.
  • Cases are higher than ever nationally, but hospitalizations and deaths haven’t increased to the same degree. In the eight weeks since Thanksgiving, COVID-19 deaths and hospitalizations were 50% and 21% lower than the same time in 2020, respectively.
     
  • This winter, Tennessee had the nation's highest death rate. One in nearly 1,500 Tennesseans have died of COVID-19 since Thanksgiving, almost three times higher than the national death rate. However, the state had 4% fewer people testing positive this winter than last winter.

Size up the Omicron situation in your state by reading the full article here.


The changing American family

What or who constitutes as an American family is shifting. Government data and metrics show how families have changed from 80 years ago, or even just a decade ago. USAFacts pulled together the data from various reports for an exclusive snapshot for newsletter subscribers:

  • More Americans are living alone. Eleven percent of the population — 36.9 million people —live alone, up from 8% in 1980. Single people living without kids has grown into the nation’s second-largest household by type, while married parents dropped to the third. 
  • People are also marrying much older. That’s been the trend since the early 1960s, but data visualizations reveal the rise over the past 60 years. Women first married at 20.1 years old in 1956, and men at 22 and a half. By 2019, women first married at 28, and men married at 29.8.
     
  • Marriage rates are down, but the trend is more pronounced among certain races and ethnicities. Since 1990, marriage rates for white Americans have fallen 5 points, 8 points for Black Americans, and 9 points for Hispanic Americans. Asian American marriage rates have remained at 61% since 1990.
     
  • Rates of widowhood have decreased since 1990, though rates are still higher for women, as they tend to have longer life expectancies than men.
  • The Supreme Court ruled in 2015 that the fundamental right to marry is guaranteed to same-sex couples. At the time, the numbers of same-sex married couples and unmarried couples were similar. Since then, married same-sex couples have risen while unmarried couples have dropped.
     
Data visualization leader Amanda Cox joins USAFacts

Amanda Cox, former data editor of The New York Times, has joined USAFacts as the Head of Special Data Projects. In this newly created role, Cox will work with a team create to tell the engaging data stories behind American life. She joined The New York Times in 2005, and was editor of its Upshot section from 2016 to 2022.

 

Voting rights link correction 

Last week’s newsletter contained a broken link to an article about 30 states that changed their voting rules after the 2020 general election. We apologize for any inconvenience. Here is a corrected link. Last week, a voting bill introduced by Senate Democrats failed to pass.  

 

One last fact

In 2020, the United States spent $680 million in assistance to Ukraine. That year, Ukraine was 17 out of 251 counties for the amount of foreign assistance provided by the US.

Piazzolla: Para El Ángel

A 7-Figure Deal: Kellyanne Conway's Memoir

Intro: “Here’s The Deal” — due out on May 24 — will be an “open and vulnerable account” of Conway’s “journey all the way to the White House and beyond,” according to promotional material . . one reviewer posted this:
Here’s what the book jacket says : “Early on, Kellyanne learns that abandoning morals and ethics is the most direct path to success, and seizes on them to create a fact free name for herself.”
— Tough Crowd (@ToughRoom) January 27, 2022 
Books Kellyanne Conway

Kellyanne Conway Promotes Her Memoir And Everyone Makes The Same Damning Point

"Oooh. Taking a shot at fiction, I see," one Twitter critic wrote of the former Trump White House counselor.