It is the end of the FISCAL YEAR. What's next Mesa?
HERE'S NEXT MONTH > June 2021 (retrieved Sun 23 May)
12 Records
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The entire month of May: 16 Records (Nothing scheduled after 05/20/2021
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This was Item 2-b in a Mesa City Council Study Session 02/25/2021
> 21-0135 Hear a presentation and discuss the City’s forecast highlights including Mesa’s financial and economic trends. 2-b
MEETING DETAIL
Type: | Presentation | Status: | Agenda Ready |
Title: | Hear a presentation and discuss the City’s forecast highlights including Mesa’s financial and economic trends. |
Attachments: | 1. Presentation |
Financial Forecast 25 SLIDES
General Governmental Funds and Utility Fund
February 25, 2021
Presented by:
Brian A. Ritschel, Management and Budget Assistant Director
Chris Olvey, Management and Budget Forecast Coordinator
Revenue Forecasting
Next Steps – Anticipated Calendar
April 1 Review Proposed FY 21/22 Budget Review Non-Utility CIP
April 5 – May 3 Hear from various departments Review Utility CIP
May 6 Budget Wrap-up
May 17 Adoption of the CIP Tentative Adoption of the FY 21/22 Budget
June 7 Final Adoption of the FY 21/22 Budget
June 21 Adoption of the Secondary Property Tax Levy
Revenue Forecasting
• The City subscribes to a forecast group out of the University of Arizona which allows for access to raw data to use econometrics
• Statistical software is applied in house to analyze the correlation between economic trends and the City’s revenue sources
• Relevant economic indicators are considered such as: population growth, wages, unemployment, building permits, gas prices, etc.
• Mesa specific factors are applied such as economic development activities, retail trends, etc. • Includes estimated impact of the economic recession
slide 12
Included in Expenditure Forecast
• Public Safety Retirement employer contributions
• Police contribution rate increases to 62.97% (from 60.09% in FY20/21)
• Fire contribution rate increases to 62.06% (from 58.35% in FY20/21)
• Arizona State Retirement employer contribution rate increases to 12.41% (from 12.22% in FY20/21)
• Medical premiums increased at 4% for CY2021.
>> Premiums are forecasted to increase at 8% for CY2022
• Up to a 3% step increase for all eligible employees effective the first full pay period in July 2021
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1 For reference this was 03/21/2019
Type: | Presentation | Status: | Agenda Ready |
Title: | Hear a presentation and discuss the City's financial forecast with an emphasis on General Governmental Funds. |
Attachments: | 1. Presentation |
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NOTE:
Revenue Forecasting
• The city subscribes to a forecast group out of the University of Arizona which allows for access to raw data regarding econometrics
• Statistical software is applied in house to analyze the correlation between economic trends and the City’s revenue sources
• Relevant economic indicators are considered such as: population growth, wages, unemployment, building permits, gas prices, etc.
• Mesa specific factors are applied such as economic development activities, retail trends, etc.
• Includes an economic correction estimate
Next Steps – Anticipated Calendar
24
April 1 Review Proposed FY 19/20 Budget
April 4 Review Utility CIP Hear from Utility departments
April 11, 15, 18, 25, May 2
Hear from various departments
May 6 Budget Wrap-up
May 20 Adoption of the CIP Tentative Adoption of the FY 19/20 Budget
June 3 Final Adoption of the FY 19/20 Budget
June 17 Adoption of the Secondary Property Tax Levy
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