✓ First
"The President of the United States of America flies into Poland this month. Not to Germany or France or even the UK. There is great symbolism in this gesture, which goes further than Washington merely showing solidarity to the front-line states in Russia’s war against Ukraine. It is emblematic of a trend which has seen Europe’s geopolitical fulcrum shift eastwards.
Once upon a time Europe’s centre of gravity was west of the Elbe. This was underlined by the reality of the Cold War, by economic might, by western Europe’s military ascendancy reinforced by the United States’ physical presence, and by the western focus on European integration.
This remained so in the early post-Cold War era with central and eastern European states flocking to join the European communities. The asymmetry was reinforced culturally as an increasingly hegemonic western-led European Union spread its integrationist and progressive values across central and eastern Europe with little regard for national traditions, cultures and, more importantly, local peoples’ wishes. The result has been a stand-off in recent years between the cultural and political alliance of Visegrad states (Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary, Slovakia) and western member states intent on maintaining a vision of post-nationalism that arguably disguises western dominance.
Poland has emerged as the spokesman of the Visegrad states. It has the EU’s fifth largest population (38 million); its sixth biggest economy; and has a dynamic pro-Nato, pro-US foreign and defence policy. This contrasts with the incessant and fruitless French-led wishful thinking about a common European foreign and security policy, and its desire for a European army. Poland has been increasingly forceful in contesting and counterbalancing the EU’s western domination. Russia’s aggression against Ukraine and Poland’s robust support of Kiev contrasts with Macron’s ambivalence and Scholz’s evasiveness. . ."
On Sunday
Duda: Russia can win in Ukraine without urgent help from the West
Russia can win the conflict with Ukraine if the countries supporting Kyiv do not urgently send weapons to it, Polish President Andrzej Duda said in an interview with Le Figaro newspaper.
✓ Then, there's this report two days ago: Ukraine will lose without "urgent help" from the West, Polish President Andrzej Duda says
Russia may win the conflict in Ukraine if the Kiev government isn’t supplied with Western weapons in the coming weeks, Polish President Andrzej Duda has said.
During an interview with the French newspaper Le Figaro on Saturday, Duda was asked if he thought the Russians could achieve victory in Ukraine.
"Yes, they can, if Ukraine doesn’t receive help very urgently," the Polish leader replied.
The Kiev authorities "don't have modern military infrastructure, but they have people," he explained.
"If we do not send military equipment to Ukraine in the coming weeks, [Russia’s President Vladimir] Putin may win. He can win and we don’t know where he’ll stop," Duda warned.
His comments didn’t go unnoticed by Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova, who took to Telegram on Saturday to point out that even if Western weapons are supplied to Ukraine hurriedly – they won’t be able to change the outcome of the conflict.
The Kiev government and its foreign backers are "condemned" to defeat, she insisted, adding that the arms deliveries "won’t help you. They’ll only make things worse."
"Repentance for what they have done is the only way out for the West," Zakharova wrote.
✓ Earlier this week, the Wall Street Journal reported that NATO members, who in January promised to send dozens of main battle tanks to Ukraine, have developed "sudden misgivings" about fulfilling the pledge due, apparently, to not having enough armor to spare.
Germany said that 14 of its Leopard 2 tanks will arrive in Ukraine in late March. Berlin also announced that it was buying up almost 190 decommissioned Leopard 1s to be refurbished and sent to the front.
Poland, which has been one of the biggest backers of Ukraine among EU states, vowed to provide its neighbor with 14 Leopard 2s and 60 of its modified Soviet-era T-72 tanks.
However, such countries as the Netherlands and Denmark, which had been pressuring Germany to send its armor to Ukraine, are now claiming that they themselves can’t part with any of their Leopard 2s. Finland said it may only supply "a few" tanks, but most likely only after it joins NATO.
Western countries have also ruled out delivering F-16 fighter jets, a new demand made by Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky.
On Thursday, the deputy head of Zelensky’s office, Igor Zhovkva, complained to Bloomberg that the Kiev forces had "like almost zero ammunition" left due to the high intensity of fighting with the Russians in the Donbass area."
RUSSIAN PRESIDENT
Date for Putin’s annual Federal Assembly address announced
"Russian President Vladimir Putin will deliver his annual message to the Federal Assembly, the country’s main legislative body, on February 21, the Kremlin announced on Friday, noting that the address will be devoted to a wide range of current issues.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated that the president intends to touch on a number of topics such as the ongoing military operation in Ukraine, as well as economic and social issues.
The Federal Assembly is Russia’s parliament, which consists of the lower house, the State Duma, as well as the Federation Council, the upper house. Under Russian law, the president is obliged to deliver an annual address to parliament, outlining the state and welfare of the federation and establishing guidelines for its domestic and foreign policies.
Peskov noted that it has yet to be determined if the Kremlin will accredit foreign journalists for the presidential address, adding that a decision would be announced at a later date.
Putin’s last address to the Federal Assembly took place in April 2021, while the 2022 event was skipped. As explained by the president himself, the 2022 address was dropped due to the unpredictable and dynamic nature of events during the period when Russia launched its offensive against Ukraine."
AMERICAN PRESIDENT
Statement from Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre on President Biden’s Travel to Poland
From February 20th – 22nd, President Joseph R. Biden, Jr. will travel to Poland. He will meet with President Andrzej Duda of Poland to discuss our bilateral cooperation as well as our collective efforts to support Ukraine and bolster NATO’s deterrence.
✓ He
will also meet with the leaders of the Bucharest Nine (B9), a group of
our eastern flank NATO Allies, to reaffirm the United States’ unwavering
support for the security of the Alliance
✓ In addition, President Biden
will deliver remarks ahead of the one year anniversary of Russia’s
brutal and unprovoked invasion of Ukraine, addressing how the United
States has rallied the world to support the people of Ukraine as they
defend their freedom and democracy, and how we will continue to stand
with the people of Ukraine for as long as it takes.
Biden to Visit Poland as Russia-Ukraine War Reaches One-Year Mark
Trip intended to highlight Ukraine’s resilience during the war
Poland has urged an aggressive response to Russia’s invasion
"President Joe Biden will travel to Poland this month to mark the one-year mark of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the White House announced.
Biden
will visit Poland from Feb. 20 through Feb. 22 where he will meet with
Polish President Andrzej Duda “to discuss our bilateral cooperation, as
well as our collective efforts to support Ukraine and bolster NATO’s
deterrence,” White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said Friday."
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