Sunday, June 04, 2023

INSTITUTE FOR THE STUDY OF WAR: Interactive Time Lapse - One Year of War

 WHO WE ARE Our Mission

The Institute for the Study of War advances an informed understanding of military affairs through reliable research, trusted analysis, and innovative education. We are committed to improving the nation’s ability to execute military operations and respond to emerging threats in order to achieve U.S. strategic objectives. ISW is a non-partisan, non-profit, public policy research organization.

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Our Board Members

General Jack Keane (US Army, Retired), Chairman, Institute for the Study of War; President, GSI, LLC

Dr. Kimberly Kagan, Founder & President, Institute for the Study of War

The Honorable Kelly Craft, Former US Ambassador to UN and Canada

Dr. William Kristol, Director, Defending Democracy Together

The Honorable Joseph I. Lieberman, Senior Council, Kasowitz Benson Torres & Friedman, LLP

Kevin Mandia, Chief Executive Officer & Board Director, Mandiant

Jack D. McCarthy, Jr., Senior Managing Director & Founder, A&M Capital

Bruce Mosler, Chairman, Global Brokerage, Cushman & Wakefield, Inc.

General David H. Petraeus (US Army, Retired), Partner, KKR and Chairman, KKR Global Institute

Dr. Warren Phillips, Lead Director, CACI International

Colonel William Roberti (US Army, Retired), Managing Director, Alvarez & Marsal

Hudson La Force, former Chief Executive Officer of W. R. Grace & Co

Our History

Dr. Kimberly Kagan founded ISW in May 2007, as U.S. forces undertook a daring new counterinsurgency strategy to reverse the grim security situation on the ground in Iraq . Frustrated with the prevailing lack of accurate information documenting developments on the ground in Iraq and the detrimental effect of biased reporting on policymakers, Dr. Kagan established ISW to provide real-time, independent, and open-source analysis of ongoing military operations and insurgent attacks in Iraq. General Jack Keane (U.S. Army, Ret.), the Chairman of ISW’s board, also played a central role in developing the intellectual foundation for this change of strategy in Iraq, and supported the formation of the Institute in 2007.

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Leadership

General Jack Keane
Dr. Kimberly Kagan
Jennifer Cafarella
Michael Nelson
Brian Babcock-Lumish
Alexander Mitchell
Stephen Gailliot
Iryna Verity
Madiha Abrar

Fellows

Lt. Gen. James Dubik (US Army, Retired)
Matthew McInnis
Nataliya Bugayova
Stephen Gordon

Analysts & Associates

Daniel Mealie
Nicole Wolkov
Sydney Fuqua
Cassidy Eissing
Christopher Solomon
Adam Grace
Ashka Jhaveri
Andie Parry
Thomas Bergeron
George Barros
Mason Clark
Kateryna Stepanenko
Peter Mills
Virginia Wang
Karolina Hird
Grace Mappes
Noel Mikkelsen
Nils Peterson
Layne Philipson
Kendrick Frankel
Isabella Sarmiento
Roy Eakin
Johanna Moore
Riley Bailey

Interactive Time-lapse: Russia's War in Ukraine

This interactive time-lapse complements static control-of-terrain maps that ISW produces by showing a dynamic frontline.

ISW’s daily campaign assessments of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, including our static maps, are available at  understandingwar.org ; you can subscribe to these daily reports and other updates   here  . For additional insights and analysis from ISW, follow us on Twitter   @TheStudyofWar  . For media inquiries, please email   press@understandingwar.org  Enabled hardware acceleration is recommended for improved performance when viewing these maps. More information on how to enable hardware acceleration is available  here .


This high-definition interactive map is resource intensive. The performance and speed of the map is correlated with the strength of your hardware. We recommend viewing this interactive map on a computer or large-screen tablet.

Recommended specifications for viewing:

  • 8 gb of random access memory
  • a dedicated graphics card with 4gb video random access memory
  • four-core processer @ 3.50GHz

Time-lapse of Assessed Control of Terrain in Ukraine, February 23rd, 2022, to May 31st, 2023

You can pan and zoom in on the map using the mouse and buttons on the bottom right side of the map. Time-lapses to specific months are available through URL links below.

We plan to update this map on a monthy basis.

Latest fromISW

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 3, 2023

Ukrainian officials continue to signal that Ukrainian forces are prepared to start counteroffensive operations. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated in a June 3 interview with the Wall Street Journal that Ukraine is ready to launch a counteroffensive. Zelensky stated that Ukraine “would like to have certain things, but … can’t wait for months” to start counteroffensive operations. Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Malyar stated on June 3 that “military plans love silence” and that she will “discuss something else” in the meantime, likely acknowledging that Ukrainian officials have started to more strictly enforce a regime of informational silence about operations in preparation for upcoming counteroffensives. Ukrainian Minister of Internal Affairs Ihor Klymenko stated on June 3 that Ukraine has formed all nine brigades of the “Offensive Guard” and that these formations are ready to take part in hostilities at Zelensky’s and Ukrainian Commander in Chief General Valeriy Zaluzhnyi’s orders.

China-Taiwan Weekly Update, June 2, 2023

2024 Taiwanese presidential candidates are basing their cross-strait policy positions within the “peace vs war” framework, which may provide China greater influence over their election narratives through the PRC-supported framework.

Xi Jinping stressed the need to establish China’s national security risk monitoring and early warning system, which could serve as a tool to implement the CCP’s holistic security concept.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 2, 2023

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) continues to respond disproportionately to limited raids into Russian territory, likely to project confidence and competence in the MoD’s ability to respond to perceived threats. The Russian MoD issued a second update about the June 1 Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast border raid, largely fixating on the timeliness and scope of the Russian response to the raid. The MoD claimed that additional Russian Western Military District (WMD) elements reinforced the border area within an hour of the start of the raid and conducted heavy air, artillery, and flamethrower strikes against the raiding units and their reserves. The MoD claimed that over 135 people and 35 vehicles in total conducted the raids and that various Russian defensive efforts - including small arms fire and mines - repelled the raids. The MoD later celebrated the commander of an unspecified motorized rifle battalion, Lieutenant Colonel Alexander Nikitin, for leading the defensive effort, likely to preempt attempts to attribute the “victory” achieved by Belgorod border defense on Russian Colonel General Alexander Lapin as the information space did during the May 23 raid. The Russian MoD’s fixation on portraying Russian forces and the Russian military command as capable defenders of Russia likely reflects internal and broader information space anxiety over the coming Ukrainian counteroffensive as well as any reverberating informational impacts from any failures to defend against Ukrainian counterattacks.

Iran Update, June 2, 2023

1). Iran is training its militias in Syria to use a range of improvised and advanced weapons to attack US personnel in Syria. Iranian-backed militias in Iraq may conduct attacks against US forces in Syria.

2). Iran likely calculates that it has achieved strategic depth and using militias in Iraq and Syria to attack US forces will keep conflict confined to Syria.

3). Iranian media circulated reports of an IRGC-conducted a drone strike targeting Kurdish Iranian separatist groups in the Iraqi Kurdistan region on June 2.

4). The Iranian regime is pursuing increased gas swaps with Turkmenistan, likely to preempt electricity shortages in the summer that could fuel internal unrest.

The Best Palantir Interview Of All Time 424 views Jun 4, 2023

2,046,000 views Jun 2, 2023 #12 on Trending Best & Worst Dressed at the Jordanian Royal Wedding

FASHIONISTAS? 
Here is a list of the best and worst dressed at the recent Jordanian royal wedding of Crown Prince Hussein to the now Princess Rajwa, some of those who attended included Catherine the Princess of Wales (Kate Middleton), Princess Beatrice and Queen Rania of Jordan, the mother of the groom. We also have Queen Maxima, Princess Catharina-Amaila, Crown Princess Mary, Crown Princess Victoria, Princess Elisabeth, and more!! What do you think of the brides gowns? Who is wearing your favorite look?

Nearly half of Kyiv bomb shelters inspected during an initial audit were closed or unfit for use } Reuters News

Thursday's deaths caused a public outcry and a promise of a harsh response by Zelenskiy, which appeared aimed at Kyiv mayor Vitali Klitschko, who has clashed with the president before.

Ukraine minister in 'disbelief' at closed Kyiv bomb shelters

Kindergarten employee leads children to a bomb shelter during an air raid in central Kyiv
A kindergarten employee leads children to a bomb shelter during an air raid, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in central Kyiv, Ukraine March 7, 2023. REUTERS/Gleb Garanich/File Photo

KYIV, June 4 (Reuters) - A senior Ukrainian government official expressed "disbelief" on Sunday after learning that nearly half of Kyiv bomb shelters inspected during an initial audit were closed or unfit for use.

  • President Volodymyr Zelenskiy ordered an inspection of all Ukrainian shelters on Friday, a day after three people were killed in Kyiv when they were unable to access one during a Russian air strike.

Oleksandr Kamyshin, Ukraine's minister of strategic industries, said that out of 1,078 shelters examined on the first day, 359 were unprepared and another 122 locked, while 597 were found to be usable

  • "I greeted with disbelief that fact that half were open and considered ready," he wrote on the Telegram messaging app.
  • "Yesterday, when we selectively checked the shelters in the Obolon district with our mayor, the absolute majority of the shelters were closed."

Kamyshin said the inspections, taking place with the Kremlin's full-scale invasion of Ukraine now in its 17th month, would continue. . ."

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IMAGINE THAT > NSA and FBI Warning : Kimsuky Hackers Pose as Journalists to Collect and Steal Intelligence | Bleeping Computer

Also known as Thallium and Velvet Chollima, Kimsuky has conducted large-scale espionage campaigns supporting the national intelligence goals since at least 2012.

NSA and FBI: Kimsuky hackers pose as journalists to steal intel

 
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NSA and FBI: Kimsuky hackers pose as journalists to steal intel

State-sponsored North Korean hacker group Kimsuky (a.ka. APT43) has been impersonating journalists and academics for spear-phishing campaigns to collect intelligence from think tanks, research centers, academic institutions, and various media organizations.

The warning comes from multiple government agencies in the U.S. and South Korea who are tracking the hackers' activity and analyzed the group's recent campaigns and themes used for attacks.

A joint advisory from the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), the U.S. Department of State, the National Security Agency (NSA), alongside South Korea’s National Intelligence Service (NIS), National Police Agency (NPA), and Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA), notes that Kimsuky is part of North Korea’s Reconnaissance General Bureau (RGB)...

“Some targeted entities may discount the threat posed by these social engineering campaigns, either because they do not perceive their research and communications as sensitive in nature, or because they are not aware of how these efforts fuel the regime’s broader cyber espionage efforts,” reads the advisory.


“However, […] North Korea relies heavily on intelligence gained by compromising policy analysts […] (and) successful compromises enable Kimsuky actors to craft more credible and effective spear-phishing emails that can be leveraged against more sensitive, higher-value targets.” 

Spear-phishing as journalists

Kimsuky hackers meticulously plan and execute their spear-phishing attacks by using email addresses that closely resemble those of real individuals and by crafting convincing, realistic content for the communication with the target.

“For over a decade, Kimsuky actors have continued to refine their social engineering  techniques and made their spear-phishing efforts increasingly difficult to discern,” warns the advisory.

  • ...In many cases, the hackers impersonate journalists and writers to inquire about current political events in the Korean peninsula, the North Korean weapons program, U.S. talks, China’s stance, and more.
  • Among the themes observed are inquiries, invitations for interview, an ongoing survey, and requests for reports or to review documents.
  • The initial emails are usually free of malware or any attachments, as their role is to gain the target’s trust rather than achieve a quick compromise.
  • If the target does not respond to these emails, Kimsuky returns with a follow-up message after a couple of days.
  • The FBI says that despite the adversary’s efforts, the English emails sometimes have an sentence structure and may contain entire excerpts from the victim’s previous communication with legitimate contacts, which had been stolen.

Emails from Kimsuky hackers
Kimsuky hackers posing as journalists and writers
source: U.S. Government

  • When the target is South Korean, the phishing message might contain a distinct North Korean dialect.
  • Also, the addresses used for sending phishing emails spoof those of legitimate persons or entities; however, they always contain subtle misspellings.

How to stop Kimsuky

The advisory provides a set of mitigation measures, which include using strong passwords to protect accounts and enabling multi-factor (MFA) authentication.

Additionally, users are advised not to enable macros on documents in emails sent by unknown individuals, no matter what the messages claim.

The same caution should be applied with documents sent from known cloud hosting services, as the legitimacy of the platforms does not constitute a guarantee of the safety of those files.

> When in doubt about a message claiming to come from a media group or journalist, visit that organization’s official website and confirm the validity of the contact information.

> The joint advisory recommends conducting a preliminary video call as an effective strategy to disperse any uncertainty of potential impersonation before deciding to engage in further communication."

Related Articles:

Kimsuky hackers use new recon tool to find security gaps

Dark Pink hackers continue to target govt and military organizations

Lazarus hackers target Windows IIS web servers for initial access

US sanctions orgs behind North Korea’s ‘illicit’ IT worker army

FBI confirms BianLian ransomware switch to extortion only attacks techniques and made their spear-phishing efforts increasingly difficult to discern,” warns the advisory.

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