Monday, October 02, 2023

EU27: Show of Support for Ukraine after U.S. Budget Deal Snub...“There is absolutely no guarantee anymore, as we see, that the U.S. support will continue at anything like the same rate as it has.”

EU military aid to Ukraine will not depend on decisions taken by the US, the bloc’s top diplomat, Josep Borrell, told journalists during his visit to Kiev on Sunday. Brussels plans to continue and further increase its military assistance to the Ukrainian forces, he added. 
“We have not waited for the [US] decision to be taken to increase our propositions to support Ukraine,” the official stated when asked about the EU’s reaction to the US Congress removing military aid for Kiev from its short-term spending bill, passed over the weekend. 

E.U. makes historic show of support for Ukraine after U.S. budget deal snub

Republican divisions over aid to Kyiv have been a key sticking point in budget negotiations, despite the broad bipartisan majorities in the House and the Senate to continue the support.

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Ukraine Plays Down U.S. Funding Snag - WSJ

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All 27 European Union foreign ministers descended on Kyiv on Monday in a historic show of support following the passage of the U.S. funding bill that contained no new aid for Ukraine and left future support for the war with Russia in the balance.

The E.U.’s top diplomat, Josep Borrell, sought to emphasize the importance of the first meeting of foreign ministers held outside the bloc.“This joint meeting of European Union foreign ministers with Ukraine in Kyiv should be understood as a clear commitment of the European Union to Ukraine and its continuous support in all dimensions — support for the military, support for a just peace, accountability and working for the membership path,” he told reporters after the meeting. 

EU Foreign Ministers Ukraine
European foreign ministers gather with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kyiv on Monday. JosepBorellF via X
The visit comes at an especially difficult time for Kyiv and its effort to oust Russian forces 19 months after the invasion, ahead of winter. 
  • Its touted offensive has languished despite billions of dollars worth of military aid from its Western partners, mostly from Washington. 
  • “By coming to Kyiv, the European Union foreign ministers sent a strong message of solidarity and support to Ukraine in the face of this unjust and illegitimate war,” Borrell said.
  • “It’s also sending a strong signal to Russia — we are not intimidated by your missiles or drones,” he added. “Our resolve to support the fight for freedom and independence of Ukraine is firm and will continue.”
Russia countered with the opposite message regarding the developments in Washington.
  • “This is the beginning of the big end for Ukraine,” Viktor Bondarev, head of Russia’s Federation Council Committee on Defense and Security, said in a post on the Telegram messaging app. 
Since the beginning of its invasion, the Kremlin has made no secret of its long-term game to tire out Kyiv and its backers. Its propaganda machine has been pushing the narrative that Ukraine’s Western supporters will abandon it sooner or later. 
“It is easier to abandon Ukraine,” Bondarev added, “than to lose together with Ukraine.”
On Monday, the White House spokesperson Karine Jean-Pierre said the White House it had been in touch with allies and partners about Ukraine, and emphasized that bipartisan support for Ukraine would continue.
The U.S. has so far been Ukraine’s biggest single military backer, having pledged almost $73 billion in military, humanitarian and financial aid. But the European Union as a whole has also been a strong and reliable supporter, with about $89 billion pledged, according to the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, a German research institute.
Despite the dispute in Washington that potentially could have a huge impact on their country, Ukrainian officials have sounded cautiously optimistic that the U.S. aid will continue to flow.
Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba called the weekend’s Congress vote “an incident.” 
“We don’t feel that the U.S. support has been shattered,” he said, while greeting Borrell in Kyiv on Monday, adding that they are working with both sides of Congress to “make sure that it does not repeat again under any circumstances.”
...Frank Ledwidge, a senior lecturer in law and strategy at Portsmouth University in the United Kingdom and a former British military intelligence officer, said that behind the facade of calm, a growing sense of unease was surely growing in Kyiv. 
“This is a harbinger of major problems to come,” he said. 
There is absolutely no guarantee anymore, as we see, that the U.S. support will continue
 at anything like the same rate as it has.”
  • There is also a consideration of the impact on morale, Ledwidge said, and the “slow dawning” of the strategic reality that the U.S. help is not assured, and that Ukraine may need to plan to fight with a fraction of the resources that it has now.
  • For the time being, however, Ukrainian forces on the ground will not see an immediate cut in the flow of support because the counteroffensive is being fought with weapons and supplies already in the country. 
Still, the counteroffensive isn’t proceeding quickly enough to produce a decisive victory by the end of the year, said Matthew Ford, an associate professor in war studies at the Swedish Defence University in Stockholm. 
And as the war stretches into the winter, Kyiv’s worry will be that 2024 will bring more opportunities for U.S. politicians to debate support for Ukraine, he added












The Big Story from only The Atlantic Staff: The War on Ukraine | The Atlantic Festival 2023...538 views Oct 1, 2023

 

When everyone expects a soft landing, brace for impact

 


www.bloomberg.com


6 Reasons Why a US Recession Is Likely — and Coming Soon

Anna Wong, Tom Orlik
1 minute

The government is staying open for now. But Bloomberg Economics sees risks ahead, from strikes to higher rates and oil prices.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaks following a Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in Washington on Sept. 20.

Photographer: Sarah Silbiger/Bloomberg

When everyone expects a soft landing, brace for impact. That’s the lesson of recent economic history — and it’s an uncomfortable one for the US right now.

A summer in which inflation trended lower, jobs remained plentiful and consumers kept spending has bolstered confidence — not least at the Federal Reserve — that the world’s biggest economy will avoid recession.

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Why a US Recession Is Still Likely — and Coming Soon

THIS MODERN WORLD Monday 02 October 2023

 

AeroSpace & Defense News: Slovakia will be the first European country to receive the F-16 Block 70.

 

www.asdnews.com

Lockheed Martin Announces Successful Flight of 1st Slovakian

3 minutes

This news is classified in: Defense Military Aircraft

Sep 30, 2023

Lockheed Martin Announces Successful Flight of 1st Slovakian F-16 Block 70 Aircraft

Lockheed Martin [NYSE: LMT] today announced the successful flight of the first Slovakian F-16 Block 70.

The flight occurred Sept. 29 at 9:30 a.m. EST at Lockheed Martin’s production facility in Greenville, South Carolina, with test pilot Ryan ‘Cujo’ Blake successfully conducting multiple system tests to validate performance and supersonic capabilities during the flight.

Slovakia will be the first European country to receive the F-16 Block 70.

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“The Slovak Air Force is taking significant steps forward with the capabilities of the F-16,” said OJ Sanchez, vice president and general manager, Integrated Fighter Group, Lockheed Martin. “The integration of this proven platform will allow the Slovak Air Force to effectively safeguard its borders and partner with allies across Europe, NATO and the world.”

This F-16 Block 70 jet is the first of 14 to be delivered to Slovakia. The country signed its Letter of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for 14 F-16s in December 2018.

“The F-16 Block 70 offers allies and partners advanced 21st Century Security capabilities, affordable operating and lifecycle costs, and strategic partnership opportunities,” added Sanchez. “It’s a state-of-the-art fighter aircraft system that our Greenville, South Carolina, team is proud to build. The production line in Greenville is a national security asset, providing F-16 fighter capabilities to allies around the world, like Slovakia, who will rely on this platform for peacekeeping within their own borders and those of their partners.”

Six countries have selected Block 70/72 aircraft. In addition to the current official backlog of 126 jets, Jordan last year signed an LOA for 12 jets and Bulgaria signed an LOA for an additional eight jets. Once these are finalized, the backlog will increase to 146. 

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“When it’s been five minutes and you haven’t asked for a billion dollars in aid.”

 www.rt.com

Musk mocks Zelensky over aid demands

RT
4 - 5 minutes

Ukraine was previously angered by the billionaire’s refusal to allow the use of Starlink for a planned attack on Crimea

SpaceX and Tesla CEO Elon Musk has ridiculed Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky over his demands for more financial support from the US and its allies amid the conflict with Russia.

Posting on his X (formerly Twitter) social media platform on Sunday, Musk shared the popular ‘stressed guy’ meme with Zelensky’s face photoshopped onto it and with a caption reading: “When it’s been five minutes and you haven’t asked for a billion dollars in aid.”

The post had already gained more than 25 million views and over 350,000 likes at the time of writing. 

The ‘stressed guy’ meme features an image of a male student whose neck and forehead are bulging with veins while he sits beside a girl in a classroom. The picture is commonly shared for humorous descriptions of frustrating or uncomfortable situations.

Musk’s post comes after Zelensky attempted to drum up more support from the US during a visit to Washington in September. According to US Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, the Ukrainian president told him that “if we don’t get the aid, we will lose the war.”

The administration of US President Joe Biden has provided Kiev with around $46 billion since the beginning of the conflict with Russia in February 2022. However, no funding for Ukraine was included in the last-minute budget deal struck by Congress late on Saturday which allowed the US to avoid a federal government shutdown.

US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who was among the Republicans to oppose the Biden administration’s request to allocate $6 billion more to Ukraine, said that the priority must be protecting America’s borders. 

The Zelensky government considered Musk among its backers early in the conflict with Russia, when SpaceX donated $80 million worth of Starlink satellite internet terminals to Ukraine. Kiev’s forces have relied heavily on the system for communications.

However, the billionaire was involved in a spat with Ukrainian officials and social media users last October after he proposed a peace plan to settle the conflict. Musk suggested that Russia should “redo elections of annexed regions under UN supervision,” while Ukraine would commit to neutrality and drop its claim to Crimea. Four former Ukrainian regions voted to join Russia a year ago, while Crimea held a similar referendum in 2014 after a Western-backed coup in Kiev.

Zelensky reacted to the idea by launching a social media poll, asking followers “which Elon Musk” they “like more” – the one “who supports Ukraine” or the one “who supports Russia.” Kiev’s then ambassador to Germany, Andrey Melnik, went further by telling the US billionaire to “f**k off.” A few days after the row, the Ukrainian military reportedly began experiencing problems with Starlink services.

Musk’s biography by historian Walter Isaacson, which came out in September, described an indecent last autumn in which the billionaire allegedly told his engineers to shut down satellite internet coverage in Crimea amid an attempted Ukrainian drone assault on the Russian peninsula. According to Isaacson, the tech entrepreneur concluded that “allowing the use of Starlink for the attack… could be a disaster for the world.” 

Ukrainian presidential aide Mikhail Podoliak claimed that Musk was “committing evil and encouraging evil” with his decision, which he said was the result of “a cocktail of ignorance and big ego.”

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