Tuesday, April 28, 2020

Jonathan Pie > Madness Sets In As The The Lockdown Takes It Toll

LOCKDOWN Episode 5


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Daily Earth, Sun & Science News: 04.28.2020 > Solar Eruption, Storm Alert, Amazing Science - Dipole Universe

Suspicious Observers
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Apr 28, 2020

Strong BiFurcation: 5-Year and 10-Year Returns? The Winners and Losers of the Hedge Fund Meltdown

Apr.28 -- Fabio Savoldelli, Columbia Business School adjunct professor, discusses what kind of strategies work and which ones don't during the panic-related sell-off in hedge funds. 
He speaks with Bloomberg's Alix Steel on "Bloomberg Daybreak: Americas."
191 views
Apr 28, 2020

How coronavirus charts can mislead us

Much of the data about the coronavirus epidemic and covid-19 is flawed. It is collected and reported in different ways by different countries, and almost certainly undercounts the number of cases and deaths. But organizations and journalists still need to report the available data to inform the public and help guide policymakers. Much of that data ends up in visualizations, like charts and maps, which can make it easier to understand and analyze. But it's important to know how the process of data visualization can shape our perception of the crisis. In this video, we deconstruct one particularly popular chart of covid-19 cases around the world which uses a logarithmic scale, and explain how to avoid being misled by it.
3,570 views
Apr 28, 2020
 Vox.com is a news website that helps you cut through the noise and understand what's really driving the events in the headlines. 
Check out http://www.vox.com.

City of Mesa Predicted Dwindling Reserves




City of Mesa General Governmental Funds FY 2019/20 Budget (updated as of 5/14/2019) Actuals Budget Projected Budget Forecast Forecast Forecast FY 17/18 FY 18/19 FY 18/19 FY 19/20 FY 20/21 FY 21/22 FY 22/23
Beginning Reserve Balance $100.9 $92.3 $100.4 $88.7 $80.0 $69.8 $55.8 Total Sources $425.0 $432.5 $442.0 $462.2 $454.2 $459.7 $468.7 Total Uses $422.5 $447.3 $450.8 $469.8 $464.4 $473.8 $489.8 Net Sources and Uses $2.6 ($14.7) ($8.8) ($7.7) ($10.2) ($14.0) ($21.1) Future Economic Correction ($3.0) ($3.0) ($3.0) ($1.0) $0.0 $0.0 $7.0
Ending Reserve Balance $100.4 $74.6 $88.7 $80.0 $69.8 $55.8 $41.7 Ending Reserve Balance Percent* 22.1% 15.8% 18.8% 17.2% 14.7% 11.4% 8.3% Dollars in Millions *As a % of all Next Year's uses of funding Note: Includes economic correction beginning FY 20/21 City of Mesa Enterprise Fund FY 2019/20 Budget (updated as of 5/14/2019) Actuals Budget Projected Budget Forecast Forecast Forecast FY 17/18 FY 18/19 FY 18/19 FY 19/20 FY 20/21 FY 21/22 FY 22/23 WATER $12.0 ($3.8) $1.1 ($5.9) ($2.0) ($5.7) ($7.5) WASTEWATER $2.4 ($1.6) $6.5 $0.2 ($1.4) $3.6 $5.7 SOLID WASTE $2.6 ($0.9) $1.0 ($1.4) $0.5 $0.5 ($0.1) ELECTRIC $2.7 $0.9 $2.7 $1.0 $0.2 ($0.1) ($0.2) NATURAL GAS $2.8 $1.4 $4.2 $2.0 $1.8 ($0.7) ($0.6) Subtotal: Utilities $22.5 ($4.0) $15.5 ($4.1) ($0.9) ($2.4) ($2.7) DISTRICT COOLING $0.4 $0.4 $0.5 $0.3 $0.3 $0.2 $0.2 CONVENTION CENTER ($1.5) ($2.0) ($1.5) ($2.5) ($1.3) ($1.6) ($1.8) GOLF ($0.3) ($1.0) ($0.6) ($0.8) $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 CUBS SPRING TRAINING ($0.7) ($1.6) ($0.9) ($1.2) ($1.4) ($1.3) ($0.8) HOHOKAM-FITCH ($1.6) ($1.2) ($1.1) ($1.1) ($1.2) ($1.3) ($1.3) Subtotal: Other Enterprises ($3.7) ($5.4) ($3.6) ($5.3) ($3.6) ($4.0) ($3.7) TOTAL NET SOURCES AND USES $18.8 ($9.4) $11.9 ($9.4) ($4.5) ($6.4) ($6.4) Beginning Reserve Balance $92.7 $106.3 $111.5 $123.4 $114.0 $109.5 $103.1 Ending Reserve Balance $111.5 $96.9 $123.4 $114.0 $109.5 $103.1 $96.7 Ending Reserve Balance Percent* 29.9% 25.9% 31.2% 28.3% 26.3% 23.8% 21.5% Dollars in Millions *As a % of all Next Year's uses of funding Note: Includes economic correction beginning FY 20/21



File #:




20-0507
   
Type:ResolutionStatus:Agenda Ready
In control:City Council
On agenda:5/18/2020
Title:Take action on the tentative adoption of the proposed FY 2020/2021 budget.
Attachments:1. Council Report,
2. Pie Charts,
3. Gen Govtl and Enterprise Funds Forecast,
City of Mesa General Governmental Funds FY 2019/20 Budget (updated as of 5/14/2019)




4. Tentative Budget FY1920 


GGF Forecast Charts and Tables 20190513.xlsx

 1


 

Tentative Adoption of the Fiscal Year 2019/20 Budget >> Next Week Monday May 4, 2020 @5:45 PM: TENTATIVE AGENDA

Heads Up early and ahead of time on this one - it's way too many items on just one Tentative Agenda to wrap our heads around in one post - but here are the basics first. 
NOTICE: The last item
Tentative Adoption of the 
Fiscal Year 2019/20 Budget
_________________________________________________________________
Item 8a
The total tentative budget for FY19/20 is $1.83 billion.

You can access, download and view the entire 27-item Tentative Agenda using the link provided below. (printed 04/23/2020)
Source: http://mesa.legistar.com/Calendar.aspx 
Next Month May 2020

Mayor's Welcome
Roll Call
Pledge of Allegiance
Awards, Recognitions and Announcements
> 1 Take action on all consent agenda items

> *2 Items on the Consent Agenda *2 
20-0500 Approval of minutes of previous meetings as written.
Approval of minutes of previous meetings as written.
Attachments:1. March 5, 2020 Study,
2. March 24, 2020 Study,
3. April 20, 2020 Study,
4. April 20, 2020 Regular
> Item 4 
Take action on the following contracts (8) Items *4a-*4h

> Item 5 
Take action on the following resolutions: (10) Items *5a-*5j

> Item 6 
Introduction of the following ordinance and setting May 18, 2020 as the date of the public hearing on these ordinances:
*6a 
File #:20-0459   
Type:OrdinanceStatus:Agenda Ready
In control:City Council
On agenda:5/4/2020
Title:ZON20-00024 (District 4)
Within the 100 to 200 block of East 1st Street (south side) and within the 0 to 100 block of North Hibbert (west side). Located west of Mesa Drive and north of Main Street (1.3± acres). Rezone from T4NF to T5MSF within the Form Based Code Regulating Plan. Marlene Imirzian & Associates Architects, applicant; Rich Van Anda, owner. Staff Recommendation: Approval with conditions P&Z Board Recommendation: Approval with conditions (Vote: 7-0)
Attachments:1. Staff Report, 2. Ordinance, 3. Ordinance Map, 4. Vicinty Map, 5. Site Plan, 6. Minutes, 7. Submittal Documents
_________________________________________________________________
> Item 7 
Discuss, receive public comment, and take action on the following ordinances: (3) Items *7a-*7c

> Item 8
Take action on the tentative adoption of the following proposed FY 2020/2021 budget: 
Item *8-a 
20-0507 Take action on the tentative adoption of the proposed FY 2020/2021 budget.

Meeting Name:City CouncilAgenda status:Tentative
Meeting date/time:5/4/2020 5:45 PMMinutes status:Draft
Meeting location:Virtual Platform
Published agenda:Agenda Agenda
_______________________________________________________________
kkk
8 Take action on the tentative adoption of the following proposed FY 2020/2021 budget:
*8-a 20-0507 Take action on the tentative adoption of the proposed FY 2020/2021 budget.
MEETING DETAIL:
File #:20-0507   
Type:ResolutionStatus:Agenda Ready
In control:City Council
On agenda:5/18/2020
Title:Take action on the tentative adoption of the proposed FY 2020/2021 budget.
Attachments:1. Council Report,
2. Pie Charts,
3. Gen Govtl and Enterprise Funds Forecast, 4. Tentative Budget FY1920
________________________________________________________________
COUNCIL REPORT
Tentative Adoption of the Fiscal Year 2019/20 Budget 
City Council Report 
Date: May 20, 2019 
To: City Council 



Through: Michael Kennington, Chief Financial Officer 
From: Candace Cannistraro, Management and Budget Director 
Subject: Tentative Adoption of the Fiscal Year 2019/20 Budget 

Overview of Tentative Budget 
The budget continues the City’s commitment to providing quality services to residents in a fiscally responsible manner. 
The priority to provide and maintain quality core services is balanced with cost containment methods and program evaluations to achieve efficient use of resources. 
The total tentative budget for FY19/20 is $1.83 billion. 
This includes an annual operating budget of about $1.33 billion and the annual portion of the five-year capital improvement program (CIP) budget of about $496.0 million. 

Included within the operating budget is 

  • $86.0 million in carryover and 
  • $89.6 million in contingency budget authorization. 


The tentative adoption of the budget sets the maximum expenditure budget amount for FY19/20. 
The budget summary is then published on the City’s website and in the local paper for two consecutive weeks before the public hearing and final adoption of the budget take place. 
There are projects that will not be completed, and items ordered that will not be received before the end of the fiscal year. 
These expenditures will occur in the following fiscal year and therefore budget capacity will be needed. 
The City identifies these “carryover” expenses separately on the budget document to allow for better year-over-year budget comparisons. 
The carryover expenses must be added to the FY19/20 budget and included in the City Council budget appropriation as State law does not allow prior year budget authorization to be used in a subsequent year. Page 2 

State Expenditure Limitation/Home Rule 
The State sets the maximum expenditure budget amount for municipalities based on the FY79/80 adopted budget adjusted for population and inflation. The Mesa voters approved a Home Rule option in November 2018 that allows the City to determine its own expenditure limitation, within available resources. 
Home Rule approval is effective for four fiscal years. 
In the case of Mesa’s 2018 Home Rule option, this includes FY19/20 through FY22/23. 

Modifications since Proposed Budget Summary 
> Water Resources 
Two field worker positions were presented to Council but added after the proposed budget summary was distributed. 

> Golf Course 
City Council approved a contract for management services at the Dobson Ranch Golf Course. 
This contract will provide a professional golf management company to manage operations and maintenance of all elements of the Dobson Ranch Golf Course including the golf shop, full-service restaurant and banquet facilities, concessions, driving range, and course maintenance. 

Comparison of FY 19/20 to FY 18/19 General Governmental Funds Budget 
The expenditure budget for the General Governmental Funds for FY19/20 is $457.7 million (excludes carryover), compared to $445.4 million (excludes carryover) for the FY18/19 adopted budget. 
A significant portion of the change occurred in the Public Safety category.
As mentioned during the forecast presentation, the public safety pension contribution rate increased from 52% to 56% for both Police and Fire. Another notable change involves the Fire and Medical Department. 
The FY19/20 budget includes a $1.5 million placeholder for training/coverage and $800,000 for a fire recruit academy

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