Friday, December 15, 2023

SPECULATIVE HISTORY :: Stephen Kotkin for illumination and analysis

Say Ukraine takes back some of its territory—this spring and summer, maybe. And then, two years from now, there’s another Russian gear-up, to something else that might happen. 
How do we prevent ourselves from having hostilities continue indefinitely? 
Which I’m not sure they can, given our industrial base when it comes to production of weaponry. 
We have other priorities—as we should, as a country—where we want to expend taxpayer funding and resources, and build, and do a lot of things that your staff writers write about all the time in your magazine. 
And so I’m in favor of a Ukrainian victory. I’m against the Russian victory. But I’m defining a Ukrainian victory within the circumstances in which we live. . . .Despite the sanctions, the Russian economy didn’t shrink, let alone shrink massively. 
It turns out that the Russian people proved extremely adaptable to the sanctions regime and figured out how to survive—and, in some cases, how to prosper

How the War in Ukraine Ends

An eminent historian envisions a settlement among Russia, Ukraine, and the West.

How the War in Ukraine Ends | The New Yorker

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