Thursday, October 22, 2026

POLITICS: Vance’s Billionaire Mentor Predicts We Are ‘Sleepwalking Into Armageddon

It’s a time of apocalyptic worldviews in Silicon Valley. The latest AI doom cycle is driven by effective altruism, a philosophy that has lurked around the fringes for years but recently burst into the mainstream because its adherents are embedded across the AI industry, from Anthropic to newly appointed AI safety watchdog METR. EA is a utilitarian approach to charity premised on doing the most good for the most people over the longest time, and EA advocates see halting an AI-induced doomsday as critical to saving as many humans as possible.


But EA has an important and equally apocalyptic rival in the crosscutting cosmologies of the tech titans — a strain of Christianity best represented by Peter Thiel, who believes EA will bring about the Antichrist. It’s an issue on which the billionaire techno-capitalist is a self-styled expert, and, somehow, Thiel has become America’s most provocative and visible Christian theologian.

Months ago, recordings of Thiel’s lectures were leaked to The Verge. We have listened to and read transcripts of all four of these lectures, which provide a window into Thiel’s dizzying religious and sociocultural philosophy.

Read what we found at the link in our profile.

Illustrations by @liakantro


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The Gospel according to Peter (Thiel]

We have Peter Thiel’s secret lectures about the Antichrist.
by David Gibson 

But EA has an important and equally apocalyptic rival in the crosscutting cosmologies of the tech titans — a strain of Christianity best represented by Peter Thiel, who believes EA will bring about the Antichrist. It’s an issue on which the billionaire techno-capitalist is a self-styled expert, and, somehow, Thiel has become America’s most provocative and visible Christian theologian.

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Thiel’s current fixation on the End of the World as We Know It is in theological language called eschatology, the study of the “last things.” His specific bête noire is the Antichrist, the villain of these end times scenarios. Thiel’s riffs on the Antichrist began a little over three years ago, first in a 2023 talk at the Catholic University of America but then, starting in 2025, only in closed-door, invitation-only, multipart lectures out of San Francisco. While that secrecy is frustrating for those of us interested in how uber-rich and politically powerful tech titans see the future of our world, it’s also rather savvy — no surprise from the guy who started hugely successful ventures like PayPal and Palantir. “It’s a pretty good marketing shtick if you want everybody to hear about something, not to let anybody in the room,” Thiel reportedly told one San Francisco audience last fall.

In March, he traveled to Rome for another private, four-part series on the Antichrist. Taking his shtick to the doorstep of the Vatican was guaranteed to generate publicity, and it did.

Months ago, recordings of Thiel’s lectures were leaked to The Verge. We have listened to and read transcripts of all four of these lectures, which provide a window into Thiel’s dizzying religious and sociocultural philosophy. He comes off as an intellectual magpie who somehow combines disparate elements into grave warnings against the AI and general “safetyism” that he claims precedes the Antichrist.

“Peace and safety” — the slogan of the Antichrist, according to Thiel — trouble him throughout the lectures. In the first, he wonders if we’re headed toward World War III or Cold War II, and afterward, potentially, an unjust peace, the corollary to an unjust war:

Somehow, it’s very strange how the first Cold War from ’49 to ’89 ended. But it ended with roughly what I think of as a just peace. Where somehow you didn’t have a nuclear war. And somehow our side, which I think was more the good side, basically won. And you ended up not with a perfect peace, but more or less a just peace. And so if we have World War III, it will be an unjust war. If we have Cold War II, maybe it can end in a just peace or an unjust peace.

Reflecting on this material and thinking about it, it’s obviously not written in stone and there’s a lot of different ways this stuff can go. But I keep thinking that, if you had to put odds on it, aren’t the odds that we’re trending towards the fourth quadrant this time? The fourth possibility is that Cold War II will end an unjust peace. And it’s because the Antichrist talks about Armageddon nonstop. We’re all scared to death that we’re sleepwalking into Armageddon. And then because we know World War III will be an unjust war, that pushes us very hard towards peace at any price.

What I worry about in that sort of situation is you don’t think too hard about the details of the peace and it becomes much more likely that you get an unjust peace. This is, by the way, the slogan of the Antichrist: 1 Thessalonians 5:3. It’s “peace and safety,” the unjust peace. And then what Christ says in Matthew 24:6, the full verse: “And you shall hear of wars and rumours of wars, see that ye be not troubled.” If you’re too troubled, will we always end up with very unjust peace? Or something like this.

We are publishing an analysis of these lectures now because Thiel published a version of these same ideas in the conservative religious journal First Things in July. You can read along for yourself. Titled “The Pope and the Antichrist,” the essay fills in the huge gaps in Thiel’s thinking and allows us to better understand his ideas, such as they are.

The bottom line is that after sifting through all of the arcane references and esoteric exegesis, it turns out that Thiel — a Protestant who likes to describe himself as a “heterodox Christian” — offers a fairly standard-issue American evangelical worldview, and a rather fundamentalist one at that.

He’s less a coherent religious thinker than a repackager of recognizable ideas — dressing them up in the rhetoric of a tech nerd turned theological hobbyist — which he uses to promote his own ideology.

[. . .] The key to Thiel’s theological vision comes at the very opening of his most recent First Things essay, and it is his fixation on, and fear of, the Antichrist. The Antichrist has traditionally been associated with, as Thiel himself put it elsewhere, “an evil king or tyrant or anti-messiah who appears in the end times.” That is true, though Thiel says that the Antichrist interests him “mostly because nobody else is talking about it.” That would be news to anybody with even a passing familiarity with American Christianity.

In fact, the Antichrist and eschatology are arguably the central religious impulse running through American Christianity, and that focus distinguishes the US from most other churches and cultures around the globe. In America, biblical teachings tend to jump from the Ten Commandments at the beginning of the Old Testament to the Book of Revelation at the end of the New Testament. The Gospels, the Beatitudes, all that provides the key teachings of Jesus Christ is a footnote.

Digital hellmouth.

The enthusiasm for the end of the world has been fueled in large part by the series of sweeping revivals, or “Great Awakenings,” that have marked American religious history from the Colonial era up through the 1800s and, some would say, on into the 20th century. These revivals focused not only on personal conversion but on dark warnings about the “end times” as foretold in the New Testament, when Christ would return to gather believers up to Heaven and those who remained would be stuck facing various tribulations on their own.

For American Christians especially, the quest to save souls from eternal damnation was increasingly driven by the fear that the Second Coming was imminent, so you’d better repent now. New apocalyptic movements and sects and cults continued to flourish, from those early tent revivals through the more slickly branded televangelists and, later, the enormously popular Left Behind series of novels in the 1990s. Forecasters variously took snippets in the Book of Daniel and other prophets in the Hebrew Bible and joined them with the often phantasmagoric array of visions from the Book of Revelation, and eventually what had been a confusing jumble of end times scenarios solidified into a widely accepted timeline: increasing natural and human-made disasters, the Second Coming of Jesus, aka the Rapture of true believers, followed by the rise of the Antichrist and seven years of the Great Tribulation on Earth, ending with a final battle between good and evil and a thousand years of peace."



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