12 June 2023

Tracking State Medicaid Disenrollment

 

Tracking State Medicaid Disenrollment

As states unwind from Medicaid’s continuous enrollment provision, more people are being disenrolled from the program. Twenty states have reported disenrolling at least 1,027,000 Medicaid recipients. KFF’s Medicaid Enrollment and Unwinding Tracker has been updated to summarize the latest disenrollment data publicly available across the states. As many as 24 million people could lose Medicaid coverage in the end.

Get the Latest Data

Medicaid Enrollment and Unwinding Tracker

Note: This tracker was first published on May 3 and is updated regularly as new data become available.

The Medicaid Enrollment and Unwinding Tracker presents the most recent data on monthly Medicaid enrollment, renewals, disenrollments, and other key indicators reported by states during the unwinding of the Medicaid continuous enrollment provision. The unwinding data are pulled from state websites, where available, and from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS).

To view data for specific states, click on the State Enrollment and Unwinding Data tab

State Medicaid Disenrollment Data

  • At least 1,027,000 Medicaid enrollees have been disenrolled as of June 12, 2023, based on the most current data from 20 states. 
Another 1.5 million enrollees had their coverage renewed, though four of the 20 reporting states do not provide data on renewed enrollees. At least 2.5 million total renewals were completed across the 20 states. However, these data undercount the actual number of disenrollments because not all states have publicly available data on total disenrollments.
  • The median disenrollment rate is 40%, but there is wide variation across states ranging from 12% in Nebraska to 73% in Idaho. For Idaho, the disenrollment rate is among only those enrollees whose coverage was maintained during the pandemic and who the state believes are no longer eligible, which may explain, in part, the higher disenrollment rate. Differences in who states are targeting with early renewals as well as differences in renewal policies and systems capacity likely explain some of the variation in disenrollment rates. Some states are initially targeting people early in the unwinding period that they think are no longer eligible or who did not respond to renewal requests during the pandemic, but other states are conducting renewals based on an individual’s renewal date. Additionally, some states have adopted several policies that promote continued coverage among those who remain eligible and have automated eligibility systems that can more easily and accurately process renewals while other states have adopted fewer of these policies and have more manually-driven systems.
  • There is also wide variation in rates of procedural disenrollments across states reporting this breakout, ranging from 89% in Kansas to 43% in Pennsylvania. Procedural disenrollments are cases where people are disenrolled because they did not complete the renewal process and can occur when the state has outdated contact information or because the enrollee does not understand or otherwise does not complete renewal packets within a specific timeframe. High procedural disenrollment rates are concerning because many people who are disenrolled for these paperwork reasons may still be eligible for Medicaid coverage.

Background on the Unwinding of the Medicaid Continuous Enrollment Provision

The Medicaid continuous enrollment provision, which had halted Medicaid disenrollments since March 2020, ended on March 31, 2023. Primarily due to the continuous enrollment provision, KFF estimates that enrollment in Medicaid/CHIP grew by 23.3 million to nearly 95 million from February 2020 to the end of March 2023. As states unwind the continuous enrollment provision over the following 12 months, they will redetermine eligibility for all Medicaid enrollees and will disenroll those who are no longer eligible or who may remain eligible but are unable to complete the renewal process. Millions of people are expected to lose Medicaid coverage during this unwinding period.

States will begin disenrolling people from Medicaid in different months, with some states resuming disenrollments in April, others in May or June, and even July or later for some states. The figure below shows the month in which disenrollments are expected to begin in each state.

STATE ENROLLMENT AND UNWINDING DATA

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